Nifty-Lumber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

567

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-17 08:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 30% +$1

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 24	40	$94	85	125	-40	open	—	02-24 09:59
bitcoin up or down on february 19	24	$60	58	72	-14	open	—	02-19 14:27
bitcoin up or down january 16 5am et	13	$39	35	35	+0	open	—	01-16 10:25
bitcoin up or down on february 18	13	$35	25	45	-20	open	—	02-18 13:01
bitcoin up or down on february 26	11	$32	20	50	-30	open	—	02-25 22:27
bitcoin up or down february 24 5am et	11	$29	24	34	-10	open	—	02-24 10:16
btc updown 15m 1768812300	17	$29	30	40	-10	open	—	01-19 08:55
btc updown 5m 1775893200	6	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	04-11 07:43
btc updown 15m 1768725900	9	$27	35	15	+20	open	—	01-18 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 18:47
bitcoin up or down january 18 3am et	11	$21	31	11	+20	open	—	01-18 08:39
btc updown 15m 1768530600	6	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	01-16 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 19:07
btc updown 15m 1768517100	7	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	01-15 22:50
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	6	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-20 09:48
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	6	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	06-17 08:50
btc updown 15m 1768472100	8	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	01-15 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$14	15	5	+10	open	—	05-24 14:09
btc updown 15m 1768515300	5	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	01-15 22:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$13	6	16	-10	open	—	01-19 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	4	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-25 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	05-24 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 06:55
bnb updown 5m 1776825900	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 02:50
bitcoin up or down on february 25	3	$9	5	15	-10	open	—	02-24 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 08:58:41	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x2d1014…
06-17 08:58:13	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x15dcf0…
06-17 08:57:58	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x514e79…
06-17 08:50:44	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x3118ee…
06-17 08:31:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcbe27c…
06-17 07:41:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x16469b…
06-17 07:40:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x108cc0…
06-17 07:40:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xa7b85e…
06-17 07:39:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb4240b…
06-17 07:29:31	btc updown 5m 1781681100	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa6b614…
06-10 13:09:55	btc updown 5m 1781096700	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x69e436…
06-05 06:02:19	btc updown 5m 1780639200	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3b6abc…
06-05 01:07:09	btc updown 5m 1780621500	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb0ecfe…
06-04 22:13:03	btc updown 5m 1780611000	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x01b57e…
05-30 12:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05bb17…
05-26 10:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x2d6e25…
05-26 10:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3e802b…
05-26 10:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x442ce2…
05-26 10:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6c5114…
05-26 07:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x48016d…
05-26 07:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x08f99a…
05-26 07:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x95e4eb…
05-26 07:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x36db24…
05-26 07:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x225179…
05-25 12:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ed21a…
05-25 12:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2184c2…
05-25 12:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x27fac2…
05-25 12:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7d780f…
05-24 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8508d8…
05-24 14:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf44a1c…
05-24 14:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3ddf7b…
05-24 14:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf84828…
05-24 14:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8ab901…
05-24 14:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x53dd1f…
05-24 14:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0af8a9…
05-24 12:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc87c6c…
05-24 12:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x04f52e…
05-24 12:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf66b66…
05-21 10:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x06d515…
05-21 10:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x00e603…
05-21 07:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa0c8b1…
05-21 07:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbfdbba…
05-20 12:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x873bb6…
05-20 12:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7d827d…
05-20 09:48:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xfa33a1…
05-20 09:46:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe44d73…
05-20 09:33:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x4d9ba7…
05-20 09:30:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8650f6…
05-20 09:13:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x2bd21b…
05-20 09:12:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8ac9e0…
05-20 09:07:15	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x1baf77…
05-20 09:06:28	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe24628…
05-11 19:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdda1d5…
05-11 19:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa6d964…
05-11 19:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2518a9…
05-11 19:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x91abf3…
05-11 19:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2e022b…
05-11 19:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcc0fb2…
05-11 19:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x424be6…
05-11 19:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5ae4c5…
05-11 19:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5846a8…
05-11 19:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x756802…
05-11 19:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x1526b7…
05-11 18:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x1455cb…
05-11 18:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc45152…
05-11 18:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x39ad5e…
05-11 18:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa9155c…
05-11 18:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x58b2b8…
05-11 18:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xdf1d04…
05-11 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb2eea9…
05-11 18:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf1f447…
05-11 12:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe1b774…
05-11 12:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb56326…
05-11 12:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x3405da…
05-11 12:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x91fbf8…
05-11 12:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x625fb0…
05-11 12:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1b196d…
05-06 12:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x555472…
05-05 02:13:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x5f1002…
05-05 02:12:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x79f004…
05-05 01:46:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x2626c8…
05-05 01:46:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x48d902…
04-27 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd4014…
04-27 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8bf3a4…
04-27 11:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f4f54…
04-27 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e1f70…
04-27 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52c783…
04-27 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x00476c…
04-27 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9bad88…
04-27 07:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabf9ee…
04-27 06:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xebc604…
04-27 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e69df…
04-27 06:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaaf00e…
04-27 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe88a34…
04-26 21:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x219ccd…
04-26 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x87bb40…
04-26 19:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0b6e1f…
04-26 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x653020…
04-26 17:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5260d6…
04-26 17:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc8763b…