Poor-Variability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$866

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-11 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$34	28	28	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-26 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-04 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-04 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-26 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	Down	$-15	05-06 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-04 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$12	10	9	+0	open	—	04-27 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	04-26 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	$-10	05-06 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-26 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-06 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	04-26 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-06 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 21:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbfd41f…
05-11 20:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfd3c44…
05-11 19:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x470700…
05-11 19:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x15ee6c…
05-11 19:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf62202…
05-11 19:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4de8bd…
05-11 18:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x07aa44…
05-11 18:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe5a118…
05-11 18:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x3f8687…
05-11 18:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbf5487…
05-11 18:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd11314…
05-11 18:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1552be…
05-11 17:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2e2ea5…
05-11 17:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xb57bc9…
05-11 17:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc87d02…
05-11 17:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe2753b…
05-11 16:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x7a0ddc…
05-11 15:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2e47bc…
05-11 15:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x059066…
05-11 15:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc01de6…
05-06 22:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x997da3…
05-06 20:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x4c133c…
05-06 20:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8e9ba0…
05-06 06:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1f8afa…
05-06 06:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9a3050…
05-06 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x943664…
05-06 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x03709b…
05-06 06:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb918fc…
05-06 06:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x200fc2…
05-06 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x690611…
05-06 06:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xcb5b45…
05-06 06:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x8c7711…
05-06 06:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xf01c6a…
05-06 06:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xced019…
05-06 06:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x09527f…
05-06 06:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x438d4e…
05-06 06:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf02e2d…
05-06 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x82ed83…
05-06 05:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x48661f…
05-06 03:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2918a3…
05-06 03:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x4e9c9d…
05-06 02:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xae0799…
05-05 19:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x073728…
05-05 19:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc7af8b…
05-05 19:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xce5eea…
05-05 19:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7b067b…
05-05 19:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3e0540…
05-05 19:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xc51fc3…
05-05 18:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe1f718…
05-05 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd31f51…
05-05 16:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdcb04f…
05-04 20:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x1defbe…
05-04 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4670c7…
05-04 20:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0623b5…
05-04 20:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x7f1915…
05-04 20:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x206a13…
05-04 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc7dd4d…
05-04 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x0bc3ff…
05-04 19:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3fd5e5…
05-04 19:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf044be…
05-04 19:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe03a2c…
05-04 19:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x032e2a…
05-04 19:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x009f1e…
05-04 19:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xc4a227…
05-04 19:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9986aa…
05-04 19:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x81603c…
05-04 19:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x394869…
05-04 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x33feb8…
05-04 19:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x15bd5c…
05-04 19:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3b7804…
05-04 19:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x514452…
05-04 19:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$8	0x7588e1…
05-04 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x49fad8…
05-04 19:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	81¢	$12	0x217051…
05-04 18:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x319915…
05-04 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5d1947…
05-04 18:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2f4317…
05-04 18:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x02d110…
05-04 18:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xb26a29…
05-04 18:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd55937…
05-04 18:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7c311a…
05-04 18:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xb69c1c…
05-04 18:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa43a5…
05-04 18:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x51531d…
05-04 18:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe34dda…
05-04 18:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xcc37ff…
05-04 18:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0xf856c4…
05-04 18:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2d93c0…
05-04 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7a719e…
05-04 18:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x47271c…
05-04 18:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x3d87a3…
05-04 18:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc954fa…
05-04 18:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xa74cbc…
05-04 18:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xee1f68…
05-04 18:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5f36b1…
05-04 18:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x17bde7…
05-04 18:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xef9777…
05-04 18:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x764a32…
05-04 18:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7c0f37…
04-27 20:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xadf926…