Fuzzy-Circumference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$283

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 04-28 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-1

Sports

34% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	8	$2.6K	1,322	1,322	+0	open	—	04-10 11:20
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.5K	737	737	+0	open	—	04-03 04:51
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.2K	610	610	+0	open	—	04-04 16:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.2K	581	581	+0	open	—	04-05 12:33
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.2K	578	578	+0	open	—	03-05 18:04
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	4	$1.1K	574	574	+0	open	—	03-07 16:09
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$777	390	390	+0	open	—	04-13 07:19
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$776	390	390	+0	open	—	03-28 20:00
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$762	382	382	+0	No	$-0	04-17 14:15
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$726	363	363	+0	open	—	04-08 12:22
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$718	360	360	+0	open	—	04-14 17:39
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$712	357	357	+0	open	—	04-13 23:55
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$710	356	356	+0	open	—	03-12 01:30
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$702	352	352	+0	No	$-0	04-01 00:40
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$699	351	351	+0	No	$-1	03-25 19:25
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$690	346	346	+0	open	—	04-05 03:48
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$682	342	342	+0	open	—	04-13 17:10
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$680	340	340	+0	open	—	03-12 16:43
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$680	340	340	+0	open	—	02-24 19:18
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$669	336	336	+0	open	—	03-23 09:27
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$652	327	327	+0	open	—	03-24 17:43
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$632	317	317	+0	open	—	03-29 22:11
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$592	296	296	+0	open	—	04-12 18:33
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$576	288	288	+0	open	—	03-15 06:54
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$576	288	288	+0	open	—	03-04 18:11
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$562	281	281	+0	open	—	02-23 17:27
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$558	279	279	+0	open	—	02-15 22:58
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$544	272	272	+0	open	—	03-26 08:33
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$540	270	270	+0	open	—	03-26 21:31
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$536	268	268	+0	open	—	02-13 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 23:22:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x6d3413…
04-17 14:15:00	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	382	100¢	$381	0x468a15…
04-17 11:00:08	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	382	100¢	$381	0x2cb575…
04-14 17:39:50	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	360	100¢	$359	0x0dece7…
04-14 14:17:01	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xa2716c…
04-13 23:55:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	357	100¢	$356	0x5cc7b5…
04-13 17:10:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	357	100¢	$356	0x909418…
04-13 17:10:31	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	342	100¢	$341	0x898508…
04-13 10:40:21	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	342	100¢	$341	0x50f3a1…
04-13 07:19:19	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	390	100¢	$388	0x83dc6c…
04-12 18:33:39	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	390	100¢	$389	0x95b3f9…
04-12 18:33:13	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	296	100¢	$296	0x631489…
04-12 15:55:07	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xd3b756…
04-10 11:20:27	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	386	100¢	$385	0x303a7e…
04-10 08:42:23	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	386	100¢	$385	0x834f41…
04-10 08:42:05	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0xc5e963…
04-08 20:37:55	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0xb416fb…
04-08 12:22:29	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	363	100¢	$363	0x7e3493…
04-08 06:36:37	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0x257974…
04-07 04:07:45	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$264	0x33d0ca…
04-07 02:43:37	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x3adfc4…
04-05 12:33:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0x8a2cb5…
04-05 06:46:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0x83a5fc…
04-05 03:48:03	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	346	100¢	$345	0xae79bd…
04-04 21:29:45	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	346	100¢	$345	0x97df7b…
04-04 16:43:37	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$311	0x549cbd…
04-04 10:51:45	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	312	100¢	$311	0x4623a1…
04-03 20:33:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	299	100¢	$298	0x7988d9…
04-03 08:07:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0xf5aedc…
04-03 04:51:43	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	394	100¢	$392	0x477a37…
04-03 01:35:53	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	394	100¢	$392	0xc01def…
04-02 03:03:29	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	398	100¢	$396	0xc10652…
04-01 20:57:35	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	398	100¢	$396	0x0f3a4c…
04-01 00:40:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0xd50e5c…
03-31 20:24:13	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0x4a1028…
03-31 08:56:07	will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfb7ead…
03-29 22:11:30	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	317	100¢	$316	0x98afdc…
03-29 17:54:54	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	317	100¢	$316	0x1af6f8…
03-29 00:14:14	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$297	0x698b88…
03-28 20:00:54	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xbc0c99…
03-28 20:00:36	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	390	100¢	$388	0x042724…
03-28 11:13:23	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	390	100¢	$388	0x85c8e4…
03-26 21:31:23	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0xe78484…
03-26 15:01:47	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x50b406…
03-26 08:33:17	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0x408068…
03-26 02:02:39	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xa47d49…
03-25 19:25:15	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	351	100¢	$349	0xdd4cd4…
03-25 12:46:19	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	351	100¢	$350	0x5d07ff…
03-24 17:43:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	327	100¢	$326	0xb18841…
03-24 11:11:51	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	327	100¢	$326	0xb639c2…
03-23 09:27:21	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	336	100¢	$334	0x496dc9…
03-23 03:01:49	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0x603da1…
03-17 03:38:05	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	344	100¢	$343	0x59287c…
03-16 21:23:07	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	344	100¢	$343	0x46c28e…
03-15 06:54:47	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	288	100¢	$288	0x467cba…
03-14 15:32:53	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x857950…
03-12 16:43:37	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	340	100¢	$340	0x2c58f3…
03-12 08:13:31	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x223828…
03-12 01:30:23	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	356	100¢	$355	0x0cb2fe…
03-11 16:31:59	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$355	0x8b4c85…
03-08 23:36:37	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Suns	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0x7da24f…
03-08 23:36:09	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xfce09b…
03-07 16:09:55	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	290	100¢	$289	0xcf08c1…
03-06 08:13:37	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0x0a04f4…
03-05 18:04:53	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0x60f236…
03-05 02:07:31	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x7e180a…
03-04 18:11:21	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$288	0xeaaa0d…
03-04 11:14:55	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0xd4aad4…
03-03 13:47:21	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Pelicans	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xafcd47…
03-03 13:46:55	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x606f61…
03-03 13:46:25	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	33	44¢	$14	0xe3989e…
03-02 08:50:33	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$249	0xdd7770…
03-02 02:17:27	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x35253f…
03-01 19:38:43	nba okc dal 2026 03 01	Thunder	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x4ea85b…
02-27 19:59:57	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0xcb1534…
02-27 12:59:43	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$283	0x978b38…
02-25 10:52:38	nba okc det 2026 02 25	Pistons	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x592301…
02-25 10:52:12	nba cle mil 2026 02 25	Bucks	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x363323…
02-25 10:51:40	nba gsw mem 2026 02 25	Warriors	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x6feed2…
02-24 19:18:38	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	340	100¢	$340	0x0a2e80…
02-23 17:28:14	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x6b67c3…
02-23 17:27:56	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0x2b059e…
02-22 22:55:58	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0xf50733…
02-17 21:39:09	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x529979…
02-15 22:58:19	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	279	100¢	$279	0x47c22b…
02-15 03:11:57	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x7e2f36…
02-15 03:11:37	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	284	99¢	$283	0x9173b5…
02-14 15:54:01	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	284	100¢	$283	0x09e2a4…
02-13 06:14:59	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0xe21f02…
02-13 02:10:35	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0xb2b1d0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	35	$4.48K	6,219	04-27 02:25
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	32	$123.3K	1,732	03-09 10:16
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	32	$31.1K	638	04-27 23:42
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	29	$3.91M	60,401	04-28 09:54
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	29	$849.4K	50,452	04-09 19:47
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	29	$364.2K	5,871	04-27 18:23
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	29	$126.8K	2,940	04-28 05:36
(anonymous) 0x4df7…522d	29	$78.7K	738	03-25 10:47