Elastic-Trial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$700

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

488

Trades

615

lifetime

Volume

$5.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 47% -$234

Sports

28% 52% -$297

Other

25% 49% -$170

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on april 10	2	$265	170	165	+5	Yes	+$70	04-10 16:17
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$150	278	0	+278	Spurs	-$150	06-08 21:10
spx up or down on june 8 2026	1	$150	254	0	+254	Up	-$150	06-07 19:43
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$142	93	93	+0	Up	+$43	05-01 20:58
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 29?	3	$138	88	88	+0	Up	+$38	04-29 20:19
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 4?	4	$131	92	92	+0	Up	+$25	05-04 20:59
mlb lad ari 2026 08 08	2	$126	76	76	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$27	08-09 03:47
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	2	$113	63	63	+0	Sean O'Malley	+$13	06-15 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	2	$99	74	74	+0	No	+$49	05-15 16:02
Raiders vs. Patriots	2	$96	150	0	+150	Patriots	+$54	10-11 04:26
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$86	51	51	+0	Up	+$16	04-30 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?	2	$85	57	55	+2	Up	+$27	04-26 17:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	2	$81	76	76	+0	No	+$71	05-16 17:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	5	$75	68	50	+18	Up	+$18	10-28 17:51
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	2	$74	94	94	+0	Broncos	-$25	01-18 00:53
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$70	45	45	+0	Up	+$20	05-28 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$64	43	42	+1	Up	+$15	04-27 23:20
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	2	$63	38	38	+0	O'Malley	+$13	01-25 04:37
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	2	$54	30	29	+0	No	+$4	04-16 15:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$1	05-05 17:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	1	$50	100	0	+100	No	-$50	04-26 17:20
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	1	$50	62	0	+62	Justin Gaethje	-$50	06-15 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	1	$50	106	0	+106	Up	-$50	05-19 16:25
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 28?	1	$50	93	0	+93	Down	-$50	04-27 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	2	$50	107	0	+107	Up	-$50	05-18 18:49
bitcoin above 70k on march 9	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-09 18:42
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 29?	1	$45	80	0	+80	Down	-$45	05-28 20:49
Lions vs. Bills	1	$44	45	0	+45	Bills	+$1	09-18 03:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	03-06 17:49
ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	2	$43	45	45	+0	Down	-$5	06-05 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:50:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x1293ca…
10-29 01:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Down	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0xade830…
10-28 21:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$3	0xa86279…
10-28 21:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$3	0x0400bd…
10-28 17:51:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xec530f…
10-28 16:55:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xa1147c…
10-28 00:31:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x655f37…
10-28 00:30:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x04d3cc…
10-27 20:29:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xf11f84…
10-26 20:43:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc4d86f…
10-26 19:03:39	spx up or down on october 27 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x865593…
10-25 23:51:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xaa62a1…
10-23 00:09:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x2d0a65…
10-23 00:06:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x52f9a1…
10-22 21:02:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xab2672…
10-22 05:12:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6ec03a…
10-16 20:19:23	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xf56a7e…
10-16 13:40:06	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0c121f…
10-15 16:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16?	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x14e396…
10-14 20:27:30	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x24f70c…
10-14 16:47:18	bitcoin above 82k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc80095…
10-14 14:42:03	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xb7f9a8…
10-13 20:53:43	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0331c7…
10-13 17:13:15	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xb25070…
10-12 21:54:33	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0181bd…
10-12 16:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xfff255…
10-12 16:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x240a14…
10-12 14:13:48	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x3ab8f9…
10-12 14:07:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2d8ad2…
10-11 04:27:57	Will CD Castellón win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9e27cb…
10-11 04:26:26	Raiders vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xd06792…
10-11 04:25:57	Raiders vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x4864f4…
10-09 19:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x90b1d1…
10-09 16:16:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xe10e1c…
09-18 03:04:34	Lions vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x2fcaa5…
09-14 00:22:30	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xdbb37d…
09-12 20:11:51	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	Oregon	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdf31c0…
09-10 23:47:42	49ers vs. Rams	49ers	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xe373c6…
09-10 00:46:21	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x46548d…
09-09 21:46:33	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Patriots	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x621554…
08-31 04:29:13	Will CD Castellón win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0x3fbfe1…
08-23 05:17:30	Will CD Castellón win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x7ba3ef…
08-15 16:05:51	bitcoin above 64k on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xac927c…
08-15 02:22:51	bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x7cd6b1…
08-14 22:33:13	bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x7883c8…
08-12 17:06:40	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x0d7bc7…
08-12 17:03:28	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfc9a0d…
08-12 17:01:45	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x8aabd8…
08-12 16:50:43	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xab6084…
08-11 18:24:25	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x71aeb3…
08-11 04:18:21	mlb kc lad 2026 08 10	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0x0ffaf5…
08-10 22:10:45	mlb kc lad 2026 08 10	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x09e363…
08-10 03:35:07	bitcoin up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1db897…
08-09 16:04:03	nvda up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x5a7cac…
08-09 03:49:21	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa7c3e3…
08-09 03:47:40	mlb lad ari 2026 08 08	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x0d6fa8…
08-08 18:41:58	mlb lad ari 2026 08 08	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	76	65¢	$50	0xee29b2…
08-07 18:59:12	mlb lad ari 2026 08 07	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x5747c6…
08-05 17:21:11	mlb lad chc 2026 08 05	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfbf941…
08-04 17:23:38	mlb lad chc 2026 08 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xb62de6…
08-04 17:22:24	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2c2036…
08-04 04:30:03	mlb lad chc 2026 08 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x6795fa…
08-03 19:28:17	bitcoin up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x630e46…
08-03 02:57:21	bitcoin up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd3c320…
08-01 20:23:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7b18de…
08-01 20:23:21	mlb stl tor 2026 08 01	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x67f013…
07-31 15:59:50	mlb bos lad 2026 07 31	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x767cb4…
07-31 15:59:18	mlb phi bal 2026 07 31	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x740974…
07-30 17:27:48	mlb sea lad 2026 07 30	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xbcde86…
07-30 17:27:21	bitcoin above 66k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x70408b…
07-30 01:23:20	mlb sea lad 2026 07 29	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x371483…
07-29 14:56:02	mlb phi mia 2026 07 29	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xdf22a4…
07-29 14:55:18	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xda85f9…
07-29 03:49:44	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ea673…
07-29 03:48:27	New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x62a8ce…
07-28 22:31:26	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x46dbbd…
07-28 01:56:28	spy up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x235753…
07-28 00:05:13	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdef7f1…
07-26 22:33:00	mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x24fea5…
07-26 18:09:51	mlb laa sf 2026 07 26	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x146f22…
07-26 14:50:22	mlb lad nym 2026 07 26	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x399a28…
07-25 19:56:43	mlb lad nym 2026 07 25	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x8725f5…
07-25 16:39:43	ufc riz tfortu 2026 07 25	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x41b87d…
07-23 19:53:55	mlb lad nym 2026 07 24	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x136eb1…
07-21 16:05:03	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa65a2a…
07-21 16:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5411cd…
07-21 15:17:07	mlb lad phi 2026 07 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbc968b…
07-20 16:30:15	mlb lad phi 2026 07 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x90726d…
07-20 16:30:15	mlb min cle 2026 07 20	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3b750d…
07-19 21:43:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x5bf77d…
07-18 22:33:06	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Dricus Du Plessis	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa412ac…
07-18 22:31:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe40ac9…
07-14 20:37:34	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x05612d…
07-14 13:26:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb4299c…
07-14 01:16:23	nvda up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd6c419…
07-10 04:31:59	meta up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x607cf1…
07-09 17:39:46	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x211746…
07-06 21:39:47	ethereum above 1800 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x619195…
07-02 16:53:23	mlb sd lad 2026 07 02	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x254d77…
07-01 16:15:05	mlb lad oak 2026 07 01	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2f4359…