Distorted-Frame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$458

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-06 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	10	$41	45	0	+45	Up	+$4	05-06 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	5	$23	27	27	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	7	$22	28	3	+25	Up	+$0	05-06 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$18	18	2	+16	Down	+$1	05-06 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$13	32	29	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	Down	$-12	05-06 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$12	21	21	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$11	11	4	+7	Up	$-3	05-05 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$11	126	0	+126	Up	$-11	05-05 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$11	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$9	47	0	+47	Up	$-9	05-05 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$9	54	0	+54	Down	$-9	05-05 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$8	23	6	+17	Up	+$19	05-05 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Down	$-6	05-06 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	6	$8	11	7	+4	Up	$-0	05-06 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$7	28	5	+23	Up	$-3	05-05 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$7	6	1	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$7	33	0	+33	Down	+$26	05-05 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$7	26	0	+26	Up	$-7	05-05 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$7	8	0	+8	Up	+$1	05-05 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-06 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$6	10	8	+2	Up	+$2	05-05 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$6	23	0	+23	Up	$-6	05-05 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$5	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 09:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xc26703…
05-06 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2c4b52…
05-06 09:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb4fe41…
05-06 09:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe80f5f…
05-06 09:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa0f10b…
05-06 09:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x587a70…
05-06 09:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x48b1f1…
05-06 09:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x813af2…
05-06 09:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdf2e96…
05-06 09:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x2a7ca2…
05-06 09:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xda5c04…
05-06 09:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa3ac5e…
05-06 09:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0b54b0…
05-06 08:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf196cd…
05-06 08:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x92a8f8…
05-06 08:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0dc44e…
05-06 08:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x069d1d…
05-06 08:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x027d9e…
05-06 08:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x93e328…
05-06 08:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd521a1…
05-06 08:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x08c139…
05-06 08:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x777eb2…
05-06 08:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x95e9aa…
05-06 08:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2134a0…
05-06 08:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3d3106…
05-06 08:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x346d19…
05-06 08:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x02c59d…
05-06 08:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x86c616…
05-06 08:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x95eab5…
05-06 08:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x738157…
05-06 08:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcfa238…
05-06 08:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x3ff700…
05-06 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1b12fe…
05-06 08:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc589f5…
05-06 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8468c5…
05-06 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x46cad3…
05-06 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd7454e…
05-06 08:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x788ef1…
05-06 08:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x1f5f63…
05-06 08:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x73803f…
05-06 08:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xca794f…
05-06 08:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x378663…
05-06 08:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xb687cd…
05-06 08:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x72e680…
05-06 08:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x68b7f6…
05-06 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb891ec…
05-06 08:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x22ae12…
05-06 08:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xf53931…
05-06 08:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x679f8e…
05-06 08:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7ac16d…
05-06 08:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x4be62d…
05-06 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xda403e…
05-06 08:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3f87b8…
05-06 08:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6ab942…
05-06 08:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x404230…
05-06 08:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd5b40c…
05-06 07:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x02802d…
05-06 07:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe1d590…
05-06 07:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf3de6d…
05-06 07:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0xbb95d9…
05-06 07:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7bcc9e…
05-06 07:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9657d9…
05-06 07:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa6e8f8…
05-06 07:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x266b67…
05-06 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x00b40f…
05-06 07:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9b91b8…
05-06 07:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d8702…
05-06 07:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0fe9a1…
05-06 07:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x3c796a…
05-06 07:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc68aa6…
05-06 07:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x47224b…
05-06 07:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0x6fffd7…
05-06 07:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x51d347…
05-06 07:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf7fd28…
05-06 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2f7924…
05-06 07:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2ae08b…
05-06 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x291628…
05-06 07:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xec3344…
05-06 07:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x726452…
05-05 21:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0c8610…
05-05 21:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x52e7a5…
05-05 21:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb9dc8d…
05-05 21:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x2bcc7e…
05-05 20:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe03e1b…
05-05 20:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8bc615…
05-05 20:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4823ea…
05-05 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa81fce…
05-05 20:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x49f91b…
05-05 20:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7e9e96…
05-05 20:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa5defd…
05-05 20:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf5591e…
05-05 11:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xf327c3…
05-05 11:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc76059…
05-05 11:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x517e2a…
05-05 11:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe24dbd…
05-05 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x39babb…
05-05 11:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xda6c57…
05-05 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa91b34…
05-05 11:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd53d3a…
05-05 11:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xda71e4…