Meager-Freelance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

436

Trades

832

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-19 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

72% 83% +$3

Crypto

23% 74% +$1

Politics

3% 77% +$0

Tech

1% 80% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	4	$111	55	55	-0	Yes	$0	07-20 04:57
will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-26 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-19 05:59
ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	4	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 23:50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 30?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-29 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 27?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-26 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-22 14:38
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-28 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-24 04:58
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	3	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-26 01:26
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	5	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 19:55
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	4	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	07-24 23:05
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-30 02:16
will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-26 16:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	10-12 16:20
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 05:52
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 19:02
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	07-29 12:38
xrp above 1pt2 on july 25 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-25 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 29?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-28 20:45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 26?	5	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-25 08:13
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 7?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-07 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-20 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 30?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:39
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	11	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-30 19:50
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-19 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-14 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on July 24?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-24 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or higher on July 26?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-25 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:25:12	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd40fb8…
10-18 13:41:42	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x14ba09…
10-16 09:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x14c7ed…
10-13 05:17:57	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xadc5e9…
10-13 00:42:20	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2d1a78…
10-12 20:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x418410…
10-12 16:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x77a9c5…
10-12 05:17:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x84feda…
10-12 02:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xff99b8…
10-12 02:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$4	0x34a32d…
10-12 02:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x04d52a…
10-11 23:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x46e450…
10-11 23:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2dcee9…
10-11 20:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x86bfcc…
10-10 04:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x42c739…
10-07 19:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3ae2b9…
10-05 11:02:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1cdf1d…
10-01 23:58:20	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe25cac…
10-01 23:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2190c2…
10-01 05:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x4576ec…
09-28 02:18:57	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc422b2…
09-23 21:45:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa13437…
09-23 20:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd57cc9…
09-23 05:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6214c3…
09-22 19:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x823e13…
09-22 03:37:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x29f6d2…
09-19 03:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbe817f…
09-18 01:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x44be7b…
09-17 15:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe76592…
09-13 04:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9ee5df…
09-11 15:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xcd248d…
09-11 15:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 14°C on September 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc59774…
09-11 01:16:10	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 14°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x513dd6…
09-10 19:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x786670…
09-07 15:51:00	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1036b0…
09-06 16:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x747e4a…
09-06 08:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6a1224…
09-05 22:50:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x21d720…
09-05 08:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x48b57f…
09-05 01:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1517c1…
09-04 22:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x40c150…
09-04 17:15:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf2092a…
09-04 10:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 4?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x429fbc…
09-04 05:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe417f1…
09-03 21:23:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd598af…
09-03 08:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfc5f6c…
09-03 02:14:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa4660c…
09-02 23:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7358bc…
09-02 11:59:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x2305c0…
09-02 08:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9c889a…
09-01 13:06:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xecc56b…
09-01 06:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x67e4da…
09-01 01:54:24	Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x48db93…
08-31 04:00:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9affd4…
08-31 01:17:00	Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbf1f72…
08-30 19:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdd6c47…
08-30 12:06:42	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb433f9…
08-30 04:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x654367…
08-29 21:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x95c53e…
08-28 15:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x0e6486…
08-28 06:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x092600…
08-27 10:12:31	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x85c839…
08-27 08:42:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa0a848…
08-27 01:34:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x20d44c…
08-26 19:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe01cbe…
08-26 15:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbf5828…
08-26 10:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x6509d3…
08-25 13:21:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0addc5…
08-25 07:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc0be66…
08-24 21:20:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x26b339…
08-24 16:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe479d5…
08-24 10:11:48	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x00fc07…
08-24 00:30:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x977b84…
08-23 20:15:46	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe3d6bd…
08-14 17:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ffaf1…
08-14 07:11:09	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb55e9c…
08-13 17:33:40	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9f0e8f…
08-13 15:08:16	ethereum above 1800 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7722ab…
08-13 08:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c333a…
08-13 06:31:19	will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432962	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf9fd2d…
08-12 22:42:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf98646…
08-12 08:33:15	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f7208…
08-12 03:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5c6bb0…
08-11 23:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa26841…
08-11 21:48:22	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fd794…
08-11 13:59:22	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x565568…
08-10 21:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x03e418…
08-10 19:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3b0917…
08-10 14:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9f723b…
08-10 12:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd9814f…
08-09 18:36:07	will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf19aec…
08-09 10:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9ddba9…
08-09 04:24:25	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x201428…
08-09 03:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9ecf17…
08-08 19:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5557bc…
08-08 06:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x422314…
08-07 20:16:21	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 7	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x626991…
08-07 17:36:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4ec06f…
08-07 10:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x337d94…
08-07 08:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd42b78…