Realized P&L (90d)
+$229
Unrealized P&L
+$149
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved (90d)
9
Trades (90d)
87
1,573 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.95K
$101.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$1.92K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-30 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
82% 51% +$2,021
Crypto
15% 61% +$406
Sports
2% 41% +$49
Politics
1% 100% +$71
Tech
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes +842 $438 70¢ $585 +$147 09-01 14:26
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +561 $359 55¢ $306 -$54 09-28 19:20
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +1,159 $344 20¢ $232 -$112 10-28 21:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +280 $112 77¢ $216 +$104 08-19 05:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +289 $72 73¢ $211 +$139 08-16 12:49
jumper fdv above 100m one day after launch Yes +237 $194 72¢ $169 -$25 09-27 03:52
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +108 $83 70¢ $75 -$8 07-18 06:33
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes +54 $49 90¢ $49 $0 08-10 13:15
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +35 $96 94¢ $33 -$63 09-30 06:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +36 $8 74¢ $27 +$19 08-08 09:06
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +19 $14 84¢ $16 +$2 10-30 16:16
will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191 No +6 $2 30¢ $2 -$1 07-21 19:58