Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$270

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

504

Trades

623

lifetime

Volume

$5.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-11

last 10-26 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 60% -$249

Other

6% 11% -$20

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$169	235	0	+235	Up	-$140	10-12 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$153	193	0	+193	Down	+$35	10-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$102	670	0	+670	Up	-$22	10-11 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$69	89	0	+89	Down	+$6	10-07 23:59
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?	7	$62	80	40	+40	Yes	-$6	10-08 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$57	88	0	+88	Up	+$15	10-06 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$55	88	0	+88	Up	+$12	10-07 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$51	74	0	+74	Down	+$10	10-08 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$51	79	0	+79	Down	+$13	10-07 22:44
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 10%-15%?	3	$49	100	100	+0	open	—	10-23 11:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	10	$43	96	56	+40	No	-$1	10-08 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$41	54	0	+54	Down	+$1	10-10 00:14
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	6	$40	70	10	+60	Yes	-$1	10-08 10:55
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	6	$38	71	25	+47	Yes	+$1	10-08 12:25
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	4	$31	59	19	+40	open	—	10-08 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$27	34	0	+34	Up	-$7	10-07 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Down	+$3	10-10 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Down	+$4	10-11 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Down	+$4	10-10 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	10-12 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Down	+$5	10-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Up	+$6	10-12 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$24	27	0	+27	Down	-$14	10-10 09:29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?	3	$22	41	1	+40	open	—	10-11 16:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:45 UTC	2	$20	24	0	+24	Up	-$9	10-14 16:58
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-08 19:57
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?	2	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	10-07 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$16	22	12	+9	Down	+$6	09-12 20:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	1	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	10-18 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	10-22 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:07:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x2611b7…
10-26 08:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xf4a4d2…
10-26 07:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x3a4dc9…
10-26 06:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xd4943c…
10-26 06:22:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x80b5c5…
10-26 05:38:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0xb46f75…
10-26 05:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x1b3244…
10-26 03:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x6cb6c0…
10-26 03:22:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4b0424…
10-26 01:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	54¢	$14	0x6b844f…
10-26 00:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x70342d…
10-26 00:07:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x7f3479…
10-25 23:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x338052…
10-25 22:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x6b7f4c…
10-25 21:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xeea38e…
10-25 20:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x7a8d09…
10-25 20:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0xf1dd54…
10-25 20:07:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0x271f8e…
10-25 19:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xe77c0f…
10-25 18:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$15	0xa97637…
10-25 18:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x680776…
10-25 16:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe74233…
10-25 16:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0xfc5aa0…
10-25 15:07:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x49575b…
10-25 11:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x92e9b4…
10-25 10:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x2454a9…
10-23 11:01:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x715b49…
10-22 18:19:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x5e38aa…
10-22 18:19:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xfbddfb…
10-22 13:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x52c360…
10-22 13:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x5a098e…
10-22 12:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x65dfd4…
10-22 12:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x893d73…
10-22 10:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x37d60a…
10-22 09:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x7097e4…
10-22 09:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x58a45b…
10-22 07:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xb8e32d…
10-21 23:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xc9582c…
10-21 14:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x351e4d…
10-21 13:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0x6ee293…
10-21 11:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x03257c…
10-21 11:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x064077…
10-21 11:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xa12dcd…
10-21 10:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$15	0xde1d6a…
10-21 09:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x88f7a3…
10-21 09:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x41a3cb…
10-21 08:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0xdc5d70…
10-21 07:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x53b726…
10-21 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x39ec7a…
10-21 04:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x8a9803…
10-21 03:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xda996c…
10-21 01:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xda7ca4…
10-20 22:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x9dc346…
10-20 22:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0xeb5c49…
10-20 21:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x36c269…
10-20 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xd70f95…
10-20 16:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x26cd03…
10-20 15:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x18d944…
10-20 14:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6bc1a0…
10-20 14:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x4dfa39…
10-20 12:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x3344fc…
10-20 11:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x23de6a…
10-20 08:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x8d9168…
10-20 03:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x2f62a0…
10-20 02:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x05c3b9…
10-20 00:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x93c6b0…
10-20 00:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xdf8800…
10-19 23:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0xb4692e…
10-19 23:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0x9ca74b…
10-19 21:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	56¢	$14	0x7745f8…
10-19 21:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0xfde34c…
10-19 21:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x9cd810…
10-19 21:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x929978…
10-19 19:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x5ae6f1…
10-19 19:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0xdaa0c1…
10-19 18:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x402307…
10-19 16:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x6340ab…
10-19 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd7e4f6…
10-19 14:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x849652…
10-19 09:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0x5e0572…
10-19 08:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x1a2a29…
10-19 07:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x6eb9e7…
10-19 07:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x5dabc1…
10-19 04:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xcd2ed0…
10-19 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x15f410…
10-19 02:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x545159…
10-19 02:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0xe09900…
10-19 02:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xb729a8…
10-18 19:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xb424dd…
10-18 19:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x8adf27…
10-18 19:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0xdfd227…
10-18 17:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x22d3b1…
10-18 16:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0x748653…
10-18 16:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$15	0x6bc71f…
10-18 14:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x36d0cf…
10-18 12:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x47a154…
10-18 09:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0xa8ab8f…
10-18 09:01:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x5f3203…
10-18 04:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x641348…
10-18 04:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x157d15…