Valuable-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

152

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 06-03 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 48% $-16

Other

3% 80% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down on May 29?	2	$40	62	0	+62	Up	+$11	05-29 13:48
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$40	67	10	+57	Down	$-20	05-27 21:06
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$21	36	0	+36	Up	+$6	06-01 12:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	1	$20	54	0	+54	No	$-20	06-01 20:01
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$20	33	0	+33	Up	+$13	06-01 20:30
XRP Up or Down on May 30?	2	$17	51	0	+51	Up	+$10	05-30 10:50
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-31 13:02
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$14	25	0	+25	Up	+$11	05-31 21:45
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$11	23	0	+23	Up	+$6	05-30 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$11	25	0	+25	Up	+$7	06-01 18:52
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 16:42
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	05-30 20:50
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-30 19:00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	06-01 18:45
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	06-02 17:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-31 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-30 18:11
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	05-30 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-31 21:17
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	06-02 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-31 17:36
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	06-01 19:55
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	06-02 18:15
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	06-02 06:55
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	06-02 07:30
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	06-01 20:41
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	06-01 18:30
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Down	$-10	06-02 08:00
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-31 21:41
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	06-01 11:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 06:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd4b100…
06-03 06:41:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x6b0506…
06-03 06:38:31	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x78dd87…
06-03 06:37:47	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xf11cad…
06-02 18:15:09	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8d45d3…
06-02 18:10:08	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe838ae…
06-02 17:20:35	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc50acd…
06-02 17:16:16	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x41fa2e…
06-02 17:10:12	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe01892…
06-02 17:05:28	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x377c9c…
06-02 12:00:16	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x8a5c61…
06-02 09:40:11	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x654526…
06-02 09:35:20	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf37993…
06-02 08:32:03	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfa7f00…
06-02 08:20:44	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x98dae4…
06-02 08:18:40	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x493c43…
06-02 08:05:20	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc35a32…
06-02 08:00:15	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa78a2b…
06-02 07:50:13	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xffef11…
06-02 07:30:09	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe29ede…
06-02 07:27:42	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x44cc0b…
06-02 07:20:11	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x174f7d…
06-02 07:10:19	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x95f844…
06-02 07:00:16	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2830e4…
06-02 06:55:09	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x368f92…
06-02 06:50:10	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb5a725…
06-02 06:45:21	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x5c2fa4…
06-02 06:40:17	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x366c62…
06-02 06:30:27	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x02600f…
06-01 20:55:22	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8071aa…
06-01 20:43:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xc85e77…
06-01 20:41:47	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaca422…
06-01 20:38:13	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x45c07b…
06-01 20:30:24	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x0ae446…
06-01 20:25:37	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xeebeec…
06-01 20:20:33	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84c76c…
06-01 20:16:24	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x824c3b…
06-01 20:10:13	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x38c362…
06-01 20:05:14	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x10ac3a…
06-01 20:01:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x2fb136…
06-01 20:00:34	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xee117d…
06-01 19:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0cc326…
06-01 19:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc0f407…
06-01 18:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x815e6a…
06-01 18:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x99fb1e…
06-01 18:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1d4fe1…
06-01 18:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc286d9…
06-01 18:43:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4bbe08…
06-01 18:30:30	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6b1a3a…
06-01 18:20:14	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff8baa…
06-01 17:48:51	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2763d4…
06-01 17:22:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcb1fc5…
06-01 17:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x820c1d…
06-01 17:05:31	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2a0bf2…
06-01 16:55:29	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8ae3bd…
06-01 16:45:18	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x93e23b…
06-01 12:57:48	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd56a00…
06-01 12:47:27	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3e1555…
06-01 12:40:23	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb9ea75…
06-01 12:35:38	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x05678a…
06-01 12:30:12	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xebae09…
06-01 12:20:24	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x594511…
06-01 12:17:50	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa9fa77…
06-01 12:15:23	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x79df82…
06-01 12:10:17	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xce691a…
06-01 12:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xce6cf6…
06-01 12:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1b7463…
06-01 11:42:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc6d5e3…
06-01 11:38:35	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcd3393…
06-01 11:30:27	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x3e342c…
06-01 11:15:27	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x421155…
06-01 11:13:42	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xeaf45f…
06-01 11:08:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe489f8…
06-01 11:01:41	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdaeaf4…
06-01 09:39:42	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xb461a0…
06-01 09:34:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe941da…
06-01 09:05:24	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe4fa66…
06-01 08:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9e2b0d…
06-01 07:27:20	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x49e5dc…
06-01 06:16:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xd1788e…
06-01 06:15:44	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4fde82…
06-01 06:10:20	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xccd23a…
05-31 21:51:00	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x53c3c0…
05-31 21:45:26	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x1566fa…
05-31 21:41:07	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xaf4819…
05-31 21:35:50	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf61a32…
05-31 21:26:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x740b81…
05-31 21:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa6ebef…
05-31 21:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1c5080…
05-31 21:12:11	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0ed9fc…
05-31 21:05:51	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2f4c12…
05-31 21:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa1e1d2…
05-31 20:58:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0x2212c5…
05-31 20:54:15	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8f4602…
05-31 20:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb867af…
05-31 20:36:43	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5e7c46…
05-31 20:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbc7d4e…
05-31 20:21:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd79559…
05-31 20:07:07	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x52d44a…
05-31 19:57:08	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x037d84…