Grumpy-Marble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$121

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 100% +$6

Other

20% 75% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (2)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	+91	$52	18¢	$17	$-35	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	+15	$8	22¢	$3	$-5	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	+6	$5	50¢	$3	$-2	05-05 16:22
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	+10	$6	0¢	$0	$-6	05-05 15:47
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	+3	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-05 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xa5e174…
05-05 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1e6d60…
05-05 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe48e8d…
05-05 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9f6cdd…
05-05 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x42ff6b…
05-05 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x445558…
05-05 16:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe62054…
05-05 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x87230d…
05-05 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xda0727…
05-05 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2ad2dc…
05-05 15:47:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe1680c…
05-05 15:47:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0d2039…
05-05 15:47:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x643261…
05-05 15:47:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb1b07d…
05-05 15:47:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x56d9f2…
05-05 15:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xe4980e…
05-05 15:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0x445107…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xdc7c2b…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x2495d2…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xd16fad…
05-05 15:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x8dde6e…
05-05 15:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xe1c6ab…
05-05 15:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x97ffee…
05-05 15:27:30	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x39f0c4…
05-05 04:15:32	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x59b741…
05-05 04:15:30	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x791bd9…
05-05 03:50:08	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x64bd44…
05-05 02:49:42	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xf7489e…
05-05 02:49:42	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x6adc02…
05-05 02:49:42	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x778f94…
05-05 02:49:40	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xba76aa…
05-05 02:49:38	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5c93b8…
05-05 02:49:38	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x72c156…
05-05 02:49:38	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3f9b6e…
05-05 02:49:36	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa58870…
05-05 02:49:34	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x040a44…
05-05 02:49:34	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xda36c3…
05-05 02:49:34	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbb81f1…
05-05 02:49:34	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x03f38d…
05-05 02:49:30	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2cb6f6…
05-05 02:45:28	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xcfa05e…
05-05 00:34:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9cd3d1…
05-05 00:34:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x668630…
05-05 00:34:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc84687…
05-05 00:34:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x75000a…
05-05 00:34:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbb4f3b…
05-05 00:34:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xaf4fae…
05-05 00:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x67588c…
05-05 00:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x21a614…
05-05 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x28ae2e…
05-05 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xfb27e1…
05-05 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xc3a33d…
05-05 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x661681…
05-05 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x72a8fd…
05-05 00:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x586c74…
05-04 23:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3f434d…
05-04 23:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xcf84cd…
05-04 23:50:00	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x881f37…
05-04 22:54:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x4c2f30…
05-04 22:54:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xab164d…
05-04 21:59:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x12a16d…
05-04 21:59:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc4c7fb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	5	$1.02K	29	05-05 16:24
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	3	$567	3	05-05 02:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	8	$52	91	+91	open	—	05-05 15:44
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	14	$19	22	+22	Down	+$2	05-05 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	8	$9	12	+12	Up	+$2	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	7	$8	15	+15	open	—	05-05 16:07
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$8	9	+9	Up	+$1	05-05 00:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 16:22
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$3	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-04 21:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-04 22:54
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-04 23:50
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 15:27
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$0	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 03:50
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$0	0	+0	Down	$-0	05-04 23:50