Grumpy-Marble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$264

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 100% +$6

Other

14% 75% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up		+38	$25	99¢	$38	+$13	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up		+3	$2	96¢	$3	+$1	05-05 22:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	8	$52	91	+91	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	18	$37	49	+49	open	—	05-05 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	10	$25	33	+33	open	—	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	13	$25	38	+38	open	—	05-05 23:10
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	14	$19	22	+22	Down	+$2	05-05 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	10	$15	29	+29	open	—	05-05 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$10	17	+17	open	—	05-05 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	8	$9	12	+12	Up	+$2	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	7	$8	15	+15	open	—	05-05 16:07
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$8	9	+9	Up	+$1	05-05 00:34
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	7	$8	9	+9	open	—	05-05 16:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	05-05 18:07
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:23
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 21:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$3	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-04 21:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-04 22:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:15
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-04 23:50
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 19:37
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$0	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 03:50
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$0	0	+0	Down	$-0	05-04 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xfe6b65…
05-05 23:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xafcdcd…
05-05 23:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x6b7523…
05-05 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd4a1cd…
05-05 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x362b16…
05-05 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb525b6…
05-05 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x11e587…
05-05 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xad5e53…
05-05 23:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe37158…
05-05 23:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x99b78d…
05-05 23:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x97ef83…
05-05 23:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7d3167…
05-05 23:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xcbcaa1…
05-05 22:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb95501…
05-05 22:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x94ce35…
05-05 22:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3bb4c3…
05-05 22:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x42aedc…
05-05 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$3	0x511f0e…
05-05 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe0489b…
05-05 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7eb874…
05-05 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa38f15…
05-05 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7a0421…
05-05 22:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa709c0…
05-05 22:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2638de…
05-05 22:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x3e150a…
05-05 21:39:54	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4cde0a…
05-05 21:39:52	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7b0ea5…
05-05 21:15:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x5556ce…
05-05 21:15:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x464084…
05-05 20:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x62df92…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1f286f…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xbfd608…
05-05 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x114ded…
05-05 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x58ee9b…
05-05 20:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x74ee13…
05-05 20:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x627283…
05-05 20:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xf1f29d…
05-05 20:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe144f0…
05-05 20:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x175b1e…
05-05 20:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6a7363…
05-05 20:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe95b95…
05-05 20:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xa208ac…
05-05 20:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x28f27b…
05-05 20:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0xc51b52…
05-05 20:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaa67cf…
05-05 20:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa098d0…
05-05 20:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x131a77…
05-05 20:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x4e9bf4…
05-05 19:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc1e884…
05-05 18:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x0bdbeb…
05-05 18:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x505442…
05-05 18:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x682bae…
05-05 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xfe00e5…
05-05 18:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x101281…
05-05 18:07:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xd3c3ee…
05-05 17:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x50c3dd…
05-05 17:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x295519…
05-05 17:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x75347e…
05-05 17:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x6b71a9…
05-05 17:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x518b40…
05-05 17:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x9fb7bb…
05-05 17:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x6c6c72…
05-05 17:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x40f180…
05-05 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x6855ef…
05-05 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6e06b9…
05-05 16:34:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2e98ec…
05-05 16:34:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x38a696…
05-05 16:34:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x005b93…
05-05 16:34:26	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x11e8b6…
05-05 16:34:26	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe03a6e…
05-05 16:34:24	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2dd51d…
05-05 16:34:24	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x978747…
05-05 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1e6d60…
05-05 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe48e8d…
05-05 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xa5e174…
05-05 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x445558…
05-05 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9f6cdd…
05-05 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x42ff6b…
05-05 16:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe62054…
05-05 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2ad2dc…
05-05 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x87230d…
05-05 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xda0727…
05-05 15:47:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe1680c…
05-05 15:47:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0d2039…
05-05 15:47:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x643261…
05-05 15:47:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb1b07d…
05-05 15:47:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x56d9f2…
05-05 15:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xe4980e…
05-05 15:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0x445107…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x2495d2…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xdc7c2b…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xd16fad…
05-05 15:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xe1c6ab…
05-05 15:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x8dde6e…
05-05 15:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x97ffee…
05-05 15:27:30	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x39f0c4…
05-05 04:15:32	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x59b741…
05-05 04:15:30	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x791bd9…
05-05 03:50:08	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x64bd44…
05-05 02:49:42	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xf7489e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	14	$3.54K	79	05-05 23:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$2.70K	142	05-05 23:10
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	13	$2.44K	94	05-05 23:05
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	13	$552	47	05-05 23:10
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	12	$708	33	05-05 23:05
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	11	$822	54	05-05 23:10
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	11	$713	68	05-05 23:10
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	11	$649	30	05-05 23:05