Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 10-30 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

73% 50% -$5

Politics

21% 36% -$6

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-24 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-15 01:25
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-19 01:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-08 06:49
ato quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt36	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-03 14:18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-03 23:04
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-12 13:03
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-21 00:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-04 07:05
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-21 20:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-03 06:00
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-12 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 12:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-04 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-14 17:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 09:06
spy up or down on august 4 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-04 07:06
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 20:46
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-29 00:01
will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-28 02:17
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-29 23:49
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 12:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-26 14:03
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 20:24
will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-31 03:41
will trump say military during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556645	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-24 01:59
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	+$0	07-28 14:46
will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-26 02:02
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	07-27 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:52:03	Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xace3cf…
10-29 02:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x85628a…
10-23 12:12:27	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2f9594…
10-21 15:09:51	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xedc24f…
10-21 07:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4275f3…
10-16 09:11:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x09356f…
10-16 01:09:13	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x59d095…
10-15 17:08:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4e5411…
10-14 09:06:56	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9671ed…
10-14 01:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd3b21b…
10-11 02:56:09	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbc4d0a…
10-09 17:35:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x22eff8…
10-09 09:32:03	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc8a8d9…
10-08 23:25:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc9dad1…
10-07 02:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x80aa6c…
10-06 18:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc54922…
10-06 10:44:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x562fd0…
10-06 02:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcc696c…
10-04 04:16:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9150ff…
10-03 16:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4f8755…
10-03 05:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe93599…
10-02 21:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5adadb…
09-29 10:53:29	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3345c1…
09-29 02:52:26	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x16956b…
09-27 06:01:53	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4e2a37…
09-24 07:39:36	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb7c89d…
09-23 23:39:23	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe04f96…
09-23 15:38:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x268d3d…
09-23 07:34:28	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x451bfe…
09-22 23:18:16	Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0e3eba…
09-20 13:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8be06a…
09-20 00:04:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe3251f…
09-19 11:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x02e534…
09-19 03:54:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x77131d…
09-17 17:48:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf18ad2…
09-17 17:39:07	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xab858c…
09-17 06:48:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa868b7…
09-16 22:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x99ca2d…
09-08 06:49:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x64286d…
09-07 17:39:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xceb126…
09-07 16:49:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d5fe9…
09-07 08:47:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf8059c…
09-03 21:34:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf92134…
08-29 21:52:12	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x99d8bd…
08-29 13:44:49	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3064aa…
08-29 03:07:52	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x37a43a…
08-28 18:29:36	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb7bf37…
08-22 04:54:10	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x63573d…
08-21 20:50:21	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9c35c3…
08-21 00:44:33	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x185240…
08-19 01:38:04	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x752dc9…
08-15 01:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4f9eae…
08-14 17:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1e1504…
08-13 09:06:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe18630…
08-12 13:03:36	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc7dc50…
08-12 04:48:27	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc0169e…
08-11 20:46:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1dc0e4…
08-11 12:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3155af…
08-04 15:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x13a5c7…
08-04 07:06:33	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7d5e0d…
08-04 07:05:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0d4601…
08-03 23:04:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1945f1…
08-03 14:18:12	ato quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt36	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2941e7…
08-03 06:00:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9bee0b…
07-31 20:24:50	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc6ec76…
07-31 12:22:45	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa7209b…
07-31 03:41:33	will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa55082…
07-29 23:49:08	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5de643…
07-29 00:01:32	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa45f76…
07-28 14:46:44	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7ff909…
07-28 02:17:04	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfcd4d9…
07-27 16:54:19	will trump say military during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556645	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x673d5d…
07-27 02:04:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x13e56e…
07-26 14:03:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2dc60d…
07-26 02:02:18	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xd4f03c…
07-25 14:01:43	will trump say security during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556649	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbc20da…
07-25 02:01:28	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd1fb98…
07-24 14:00:00	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5bd52f…
07-24 01:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xe2adde…