Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$154.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$19.9K

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,187

lifetime

Volume

$609.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

$90.6K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Sports

53% 52% -$6,785

Other

46% 35% +$161,707

Politics

1% 42% -$427

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+82,718	$64,383	78¢	$64.1K	-$277	10-20 19:40
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	-82,718	-$13,235	18¢	$-14476	-$1,241	10-20 20:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+93,277	$30,879	8¢	$7.0K	-$23,883	10-19 12:40
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+7,840	$1,803	22¢	$1.8K	-$39	10-21 01:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-22,460	-$7,478	8¢	$-1685	+$5,793	10-16 03:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+140,000	$740	0¢	$490	-$250	10-15 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+555	$438	82¢	$458	+$19	08-03 10:52
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+700	$364	52¢	$364	+$0	10-14 22:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+555	$155	18¢	$97	-$58	07-24 16:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-72,666	-$308	0¢	$-73	+$235	10-19 12:24
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+800	$188	4¢	$31	-$157	08-24 07:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	+700	$77	4¢	$28	-$49	10-15 00:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	414	$83.4K	250,969	0	+250,969	No	+$144,962	08-28 14:08
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	285	$75.8K	96,812	6,254	+90,557	open	—	10-21 01:14
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	298	$68.4K	70,174	54,000	+16,174	No	+$8,039	07-08 01:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	167	$62.6K	131,506	38,229	+93,277	open	—	10-19 12:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	159	$60.0K	102,890	29,485	+73,406	Yes	+$14,299	09-11 11:55
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	38	$52.6K	54,600	0	+54,600	No	+$1,991	07-02 16:00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$37.6K	37,184	54,538	-17,354	No	+$2,870	07-06 15:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	39	$23.2K	29,452	51,912	-22,460	open	—	10-16 03:32
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	119	$15.4K	12,000	124,000	-112,000	No	+$4,090	07-08 23:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	7	$13.2K	0	82,718	-82,718	open	—	10-20 20:42
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	198	$11.0K	0	11,048	-11,048	No	-$43	04-03 15:28
nba chi was 2026 04 09	40	$10.6K	23,000	0	+23,000	Bulls	+$390	04-09 23:56
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	105	$10.1K	20,098	2,463	+17,635	St. John's Red Storm	-$385	03-22 22:14
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	46	$6.9K	8,871	8,870	+1	Knicks	+$8	04-10 00:58
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	66	$6.7K	11,902	2,000	+9,902	Tennessee Volunteers	-$649	03-22 23:20
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	26	$5.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Kings	+$110	04-11 03:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	10	$5.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$5,020	10-01 18:55
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	37	$4.6K	0	4,557	-4,557	No	-$5	04-02 19:12
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$4.2K	4,308	0	+4,308	No	+$104	02-14 01:43
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	12	$4.1K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	+$405	02-22 10:13
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	82	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$30	03-23 00:01
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$3.9K	0	30,000	-30,000	Yes	-$26,090	07-06 17:35
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	10	$3.5K	6,630	0	+6,630	Duke Blue Devils	-$123	03-21 21:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	32	$3.0K	0	206,369	-206,369	No	+$3,000	08-28 08:39
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	41	$2.7K	21,175	12,775	+8,400	Michigan State Spartans	-$1,698	03-21 21:27
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	152	$2.7K	0	119,989	-119,989	No	+$2,690	07-12 02:28
nba lac por 2026 04 10	9	$2.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	Trail Blazers	-$200	04-11 02:44
nba min orl 2026 04 08	77	$2.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	Magic	-$60	04-09 00:06
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	16	$1.9K	4,532	0	+4,532	Iowa State Cyclones	-$594	03-22 19:38
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	21	$1.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	Cavaliers	+$140	04-09 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 01:14:06	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6deb81…
10-21 00:37:21	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0x0a4d61…
10-21 00:36:54	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xab3ab5…
10-21 00:34:12	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xda1092…
10-21 00:22:11	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xe0c04e…
10-20 23:48:11	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x5ce1c9…
10-20 22:11:06	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x4ca898…
10-20 22:02:44	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	125	23¢	$29	0xc7ec25…
10-20 21:47:06	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x0ecf30…
10-20 21:43:59	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	650	23¢	$150	0xd0b2cf…
10-20 21:23:02	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	23¢	$460	0x3c5238…
10-20 21:22:44	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xc1cd4a…
10-20 21:22:26	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	23¢	$460	0xc4feb9…
10-20 21:21:48	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	23¢	$460	0x09b29e…
10-20 21:19:33	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xdabc3b…
10-20 21:06:12	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x85924b…
10-20 20:55:03	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	380	23¢	$87	0xc45271…
10-20 20:42:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	40,280	16¢	$6,445	0xad9d5e…
10-20 20:41:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xaa3c4b…
10-20 20:40:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x3d7a91…
10-20 20:40:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	313	16¢	$50	0x33f535…
10-20 20:39:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,794	16¢	$287	0xf3ba82…
10-20 20:39:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0xfe9714…
10-20 20:39:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	40,218	16¢	$6,435	0xfc7a1a…
10-20 19:40:51	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	6,254	77¢	$4,816	0xd8b895…
10-19 12:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xd085a0…
10-19 12:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x9cb007…
10-19 12:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x8eba8a…
10-19 12:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	66	11¢	$7	0x726b13…
10-19 12:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x523efb…
10-19 12:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x2737dc…
10-19 12:40:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	338	11¢	$37	0x360ab3…
10-19 12:24:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29,060	0¢	$116	0x4b689f…
10-19 11:13:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xdcfecd…
10-19 10:50:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xde2e1b…
10-19 10:34:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	472	0¢	$2	0xca170f…
10-19 10:29:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	420	0¢	$2	0x36ac39…
10-19 09:59:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,250	0¢	$5	0x9cadd4…
10-19 09:25:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd2ad93…
10-19 07:09:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0xeac253…
10-19 06:36:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xb5dfee…
10-19 06:04:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x7a99c4…
10-19 05:21:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23,548	0¢	$94	0x9316f7…
10-17 12:22:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x2e32d2…
10-17 11:52:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xa39cc9…
10-17 11:10:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xbf9457…
10-17 11:07:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x1cbbbc…
10-17 10:59:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xb4d2d8…
10-17 10:48:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x1e87ee…
10-17 10:25:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xc3fe7e…
10-17 10:24:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,448	13¢	$448	0x0aad5b…
10-17 10:08:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x9ba6c8…
10-17 10:06:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x3f8975…
10-17 10:01:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x9475be…
10-17 10:00:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xcbc248…
10-17 09:50:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x5fd384…
10-17 09:38:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x7588a9…
10-17 09:37:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x786519…
10-17 09:26:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x66e75e…
10-17 09:21:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xedb019…
10-17 09:18:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x45ad9e…
10-17 09:17:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xf70393…
10-17 09:07:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xcf908e…
10-17 09:00:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xfcf6fe…
10-17 08:49:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x84fd68…
10-17 08:35:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	924	13¢	$120	0x3dc104…
10-17 08:34:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9,420	13¢	$1,225	0x897e6d…
10-17 08:27:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x3a9c27…
10-17 08:20:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	182	13¢	$24	0xc0f6f3…
10-17 08:08:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xc68dc8…
10-17 07:19:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x63e691…
10-17 07:12:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xa44bbf…
10-17 07:09:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xb0a5a9…
10-17 06:53:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xe5c234…
10-17 06:46:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x6fd7e1…
10-17 06:26:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf10bbb…
10-17 06:26:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x7fbbf4…
10-17 06:24:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb58624…
10-17 06:11:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x0215dd…
10-17 06:10:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x53b90b…
10-17 05:56:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0x4fdc3f…
10-17 05:40:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x1399be…
10-17 05:26:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	69	13¢	$9	0x6861e6…
10-17 04:36:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1a1ad7…
10-17 04:25:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xb561c4…
10-17 04:21:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4bc0de…
10-17 04:04:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6bcddc…
10-17 04:00:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	575	13¢	$75	0xce4042…
10-17 03:54:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x3d16c1…
10-17 03:52:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb4af01…
10-17 02:43:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,458	13¢	$580	0x664e39…
10-16 03:32:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0x58ee7f…
10-16 03:32:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	28¢	$1,400	0xfe9a45…
10-16 03:26:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0x499336…
10-16 03:21:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	353	28¢	$99	0x87d477…
10-15 20:47:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xafb1e9…
10-15 15:15:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xfa66e2…
10-15 14:57:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x69fc70…
10-15 05:42:22	Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	82,718	0¢	$83	0x597482…
10-15 05:02:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4,540	25¢	$1,135	0xf2aebb…