Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

145

Trades

402

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-21 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

58% 49% -$29

Politics

38% 38% -$5

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+20	$13	68¢	$14	+$0	10-15 08:20
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+20	$7	32¢	$6	$0	10-15 08:20
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	76¢	$4	+$2	10-15 08:52
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	+5	$5	24¢	$1	-$3	10-15 16:09
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	+0	$4	50¢	$0	-$4	10-21 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:13:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x4ad2be…
10-21 06:15:27	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x4ad3f7…
10-21 06:05:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xad598a…
10-21 04:24:27	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xc2c4d8…
10-21 02:59:18	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x4e6a54…
10-21 00:26:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x8c68a0…
10-21 00:04:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x53e825…
10-20 23:55:36	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4cb3b6…
10-20 23:35:05	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x70d5a4…
10-20 23:04:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xe5fa01…
10-20 23:02:29	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x0a03d5…
10-20 23:01:39	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe21d08…
10-20 20:11:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x78c1ad…
10-20 20:11:03	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xced03f…
10-20 14:57:09	ChatGPT Outage by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x6d06b8…
10-20 14:20:23	ChatGPT Outage by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4ea585…
10-20 14:20:23	ChatGPT Outage by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x1d154a…
10-20 13:57:27	Will Laura Loomer be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xc4c178…
10-20 12:31:20	Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x2f75a6…
10-20 09:56:44	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x05ee4c…
10-20 09:21:42	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xbf026a…
10-20 08:18:46	Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd92153…
10-20 07:39:47	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x3f2aea…
10-20 07:04:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xe3860b…
10-20 07:04:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xc938a0…
10-20 06:20:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x8cb0d7…
10-20 06:20:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x19e1d9…
10-20 04:23:12	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x27f4ac…
10-20 04:03:41	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xbb3114…
10-20 03:57:54	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xecd145…
10-20 03:47:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x2f165b…
10-20 02:58:33	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x574f55…
10-20 01:16:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x42a435…
10-20 00:54:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x38e98c…
10-20 00:53:51	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xee6aea…
10-20 00:13:53	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbd9e93…
10-19 21:14:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x15b8e7…
10-19 21:14:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0a1d09…
10-19 14:22:42	Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x22c630…
10-19 12:44:20	Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x5211f4…
10-19 09:21:59	Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x5084cb…
10-19 09:21:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xbfe999…
10-19 07:55:42	Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x71d7b3…
10-18 17:52:38	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xef004e…
10-18 16:30:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x84e873…
10-18 14:41:44	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa719a0…
10-18 10:58:35	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x3ddde0…
10-18 09:57:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x9222b1…
10-18 09:56:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x1c849c…
10-18 00:40:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xa4e8db…
10-17 21:52:27	will agapito be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x5f4bf2…
10-17 19:55:54	will too much to ask from ray gunn be nominated for best original song at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x6c636d…
10-17 17:54:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x617179…
10-17 17:54:00	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xe4d69b…
10-17 16:03:27	will agapito be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xea250a…
10-17 15:16:45	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd1ba1c…
10-17 13:38:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x75752c…
10-17 12:13:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x6e6681…
10-17 12:13:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x30af11…
10-17 11:44:23	Will "Wicker" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xce2b50…
10-17 11:32:02	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x9da69d…
10-17 10:16:21	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb4b20a…
10-17 09:02:15	will laura loomer be the next white house press secretary	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x157281…
10-17 00:42:18	Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0xbac0c6…
10-17 00:15:53	will martin mcdonagh be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x8ed4ec…
10-16 20:34:15	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x53fa67…
10-16 19:17:16	will too much to ask from ray gunn be nominated for best original song at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf4631f…
10-16 18:15:12	will martin mcdonagh be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x9619b7…
10-16 18:01:35	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb8218b…
10-16 16:28:16	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x1c24d2…
10-16 16:27:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x22bfcf…
10-16 16:15:07	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc7d843…
10-16 15:50:36	Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xcb52fa…
10-16 14:12:06	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xfb8094…
10-16 14:07:24	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd72ce7…
10-16 13:33:36	will ppi yoy be 6pt8 or more in october	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x83c961…
10-16 12:34:16	will nathan fielder be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xbac6c0…
10-16 12:30:25	will nathan fielder be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x0eefcd…
10-16 12:30:25	will nathan fielder be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x0eefcd…
10-16 12:28:16	will nathan fielder be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xdf489c…
10-16 11:42:30	Will "Wicker" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xfd8c2d…
10-16 11:22:03	will ppi yoy be 6pt8 or more in october	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x306b06…
10-16 11:00:31	will meeting your maker be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x0254d4…
10-16 10:45:48	will champi peak as a violent typhoon	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0xac52b9…
10-16 10:23:19	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2cbed7…
10-16 10:22:58	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x674895…
10-16 10:15:00	collins flips jackson for maine senate by november 2	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x58f2aa…
10-16 10:14:39	will coward be nominated for best international feature film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x6f3350…
10-16 10:14:37	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x6f797d…
10-16 09:42:37	collins flips jackson for maine senate by november 2	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x7c8655…
10-16 09:42:27	collins flips jackson for maine senate by november 2	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x822c62…
10-16 09:42:22	collins flips jackson for maine senate by november 2	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x22e802…
10-16 09:18:55	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x8518bb…
10-16 08:28:48	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb98779…
10-16 08:01:49	osborn flips ricketts for nebraska senate by november 2	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xdae54c…
10-16 08:01:46	osborn flips ricketts for nebraska senate by november 2	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xaba9d7…
10-16 08:01:46	osborn flips ricketts for nebraska senate by november 2	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xaba9d7…
10-16 07:57:36	osborn flips ricketts for nebraska senate by november 2	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4cb53c…
10-16 07:52:03	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x8e6adf…
10-16 07:02:03	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xfb1378…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump speak to kim jong un by october 31	4	$105	60	60	+0	No	+$1	10-01 02:11
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?	4	$76	50	50	-0	open	—	10-01 06:07
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by October 31?	7	$64	70	70	+0	Yes	+$1	10-01 13:03
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?	6	$47	95	95	+0	Yes	+$3	10-01 12:02
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	4	$46	49	49	+0	Yes	-$5	10-01 19:02
osborn flips ricketts for nebraska senate by november 2	4	$45	60	20	+40	No	+$1	10-16 08:01
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	6	$42	75	75	+0	Yes	+$6	10-01 11:08
Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-15 15:57
will nathan fielder be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	4	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	10-16 12:34
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	6	$39	35	25	+10	open	—	10-15 16:09
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	4	$38	40	40	+0	No	+$6	10-01 02:43
arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting	2	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-01 01:56
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	4	$34	40	40	+0	open	—	10-01 16:50
will because today is saturday be nominated for best animated short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 16:43
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-19 09:21
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	5	$30	45	45	+0	Yes	-$9	10-01 12:25
Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 12:31
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	3	$29	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-24 19:26
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 06:15
Will Morocco win AFCON 2027?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-01 02:13
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 09:21
collins flips jackson for maine senate by november 2	4	$26	50	0	+50	No	-$1	10-16 10:15
Will John Leguizamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 22:10
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-01 01:18
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	3	$25	24	24	+0	open	—	10-03 19:46
Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	2	$25	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 07:13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 09:13
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	09-29 04:42
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 00:26
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	4	$23	44	5	+39	Yes	+$2	10-17 17:54