Stimulating-Saxophone — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

125 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.01K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-28 21:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

71% 24% -$254

Sports

17% 0% -$168

Crypto

11% 18% -$43

Politics

2% 20% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$128	2,070	2,070	+0	No	-$24	02-08 19:50
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$127	918	918	+0	No	-$88	03-21 19:23
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$102	17,190	0	+17,190	Yes	-$102	03-17 10:10
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$87	300	300	+0	No	-$3	02-08 20:07
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$79	240	0	+240	Seahawks	-$79	02-08 20:09
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$49	377	0	+377	Thunder	-$49	05-06 20:10
highest temperature in seoul on january 19 0c	4	$41	41	41	+0	Yes	-$9	01-18 14:57
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$40	273	0	+273	Thunder	-$40	05-05 20:13
highest temperature in nyc on january 18 34 35f	4	$35	23	23	+0	Yes	+$5	01-18 13:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$29	309	309	+0	Yes	-$4	03-19 14:33
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$28	300	300	+0	No	-$4	03-19 08:18
bitcoin above 88k on january 22	2	$24	400	400	+0	Yes	+$4	01-19 16:40
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$21	714	714	+0	No	-$9	02-08 20:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	2	$16	36	36	+0	Yes	-$2	03-21 21:24
50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	4	$16	189	189	+0	No	+$2	03-18 11:40
will hyperliquid dip to 24 in february 157	1	$13	0	200	-200	No	+$13	02-25 12:32
will binance be accused of insider trading	4	$11	509	509	+0	No	-$9	02-26 13:42
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	4	$11	492	492	+0	No	-$3	02-25 17:35
will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	2	$11	60	2,153	-2,093	No	+$8	02-26 19:07
highest temperature in seoul on january 20 neg 4corhigher	2	$10	20	20	+0	No	-$10	01-20 11:07
bitcoin up or down on january 18	2	$10	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	01-18 13:52
bitcoin above 96k on january 20	1	$10	278	0	+278	No	-$10	01-19 20:58
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$9	4,500	0	+4,500	No	-$9	01-20 18:04
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$8	7,341	0	+7,341	No	-$8	02-08 13:12
will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	3	$7	408	408	+0	No	-$4	02-27 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 14:25 UTC	2	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	02-25 14:27
highest temperature in seoul on january 18 2c	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	01-18 12:18
highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 9c	4	$5	7	7	+0	Yes	-$1	02-15 12:33
bitcoin above 74k on february 9	2	$5	18	18	+0	No	-$1	02-08 20:07
highest temperature in london on february 14 2026 6c	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	02-14 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:51:32	Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xcc7222…
10-28 21:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb8fea4…
10-28 21:43:40	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47f9e0…
10-28 21:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x342522…
10-28 21:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9b5c93…
05-06 20:10:36	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	377	13¢	$49	0xab3ea1…
05-05 20:13:54	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	138	15¢	$21	0x538f5f…
05-05 16:25:58	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	135	14¢	$19	0x72f231…
03-21 21:24:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0x0f1f5c…
03-21 19:24:15	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	Yes	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x34eaa0…
03-21 19:23:05	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	918	2¢	$19	0x673962…
03-19 14:33:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	232	4¢	$9	0x1a0e7b…
03-19 08:20:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	232	5¢	$12	0x9b0644…
03-19 08:18:21	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x1d963d…
03-19 07:38:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x1af9fa…
03-18 19:03:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x5bcb2a…
03-18 18:58:23	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	176	6¢	$10	0x75e081…
03-18 11:40:53	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0xc05e5b…
03-18 11:40:19	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	Yes	SELL	71	6¢	$4	0x25fc75…
03-17 10:15:43	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x376896…
03-17 10:13:19	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2f0cf5…
03-17 10:10:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15,000	1¢	$90	0xa8cfeb…
03-13 19:28:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	690	0¢	$3	0x6c558d…
03-13 19:23:55	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	481	10¢	$50	0x5bd6eb…
03-12 18:15:47	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	437	13¢	$57	0x9ada0a…
03-12 18:14:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,500	1¢	$9	0x0464c7…
02-27 17:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x09fca0…
02-27 17:45:15	will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	408	0¢	$1	0xeabf31…
02-26 19:07:28	will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xa9df39…
02-26 18:50:38	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xa98d71…
02-26 14:25:14	will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	313	1¢	$4	0xba9344…
02-26 14:14:28	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	Yes	SELL	118	4¢	$5	0x031417…
02-26 13:56:10	will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xcb7ec9…
02-26 13:42:24	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	509	0¢	$1	0xf11577…
02-25 17:35:54	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x219643…
02-25 17:35:46	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	292	1¢	$2	0x8143f1…
02-25 15:34:48	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x233bf9…
02-25 14:32:22	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	292	1¢	$4	0x34e4e8…
02-25 14:27:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xe2dee0…
02-25 14:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x378fc4…
02-25 14:20:16	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xfb2157…
02-25 13:20:58	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	444	2¢	$8	0x3628da…
02-25 13:10:08	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x68e82d…
02-25 13:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xc0cac9…
02-25 13:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc73bc3…
02-25 12:52:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1f9bc4…
02-25 12:40:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x615027…
02-25 12:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x01468b…
02-25 12:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd8cff2…
02-25 12:32:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x72728e…
02-25 12:32:10	will hyperliquid dip to 24 in february 157	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$13	0x5e697a…
02-25 12:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x532fc7…
02-25 12:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xa06f30…
02-25 12:14:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa941c1…
02-25 12:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xda14f4…
02-25 12:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x94ad99…
02-25 11:53:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8027a3…
02-25 11:21:42	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xaccb0e…
02-25 10:53:42	will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	Yes	SELL	2,153	0¢	$9	0x175596…
02-24 21:17:28	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf62e9f…
02-15 12:33:45	highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0fffb6…
02-15 12:33:29	highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 9c	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xcd44c9…
02-14 22:55:23	highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xaef10e…
02-14 22:54:59	highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 8c	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xd9f83b…
02-14 19:19:45	highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x44f4a6…
02-14 19:19:33	highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 9c	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x0828b1…
02-14 16:27:47	highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9b33c9…
02-14 16:22:03	highest temperature in london on february 14 2026 6c	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x651240…
02-13 21:59:01	highest temperature in london on february 14 2026 6c	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x472270…
02-12 09:59:01	will xrp reach 3 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$0	0x5dd812…
02-09 07:38:57	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xab64cd…
02-08 20:09:19	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	230	33¢	$76	0x9a63c7…
02-08 20:07:51	bitcoin above 74k on february 9	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x76c198…
02-08 20:07:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	714	1¢	$6	0xe0ef88…
02-08 20:07:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	300	14¢	$42	0x06d374…
02-08 19:58:43	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x995366…
02-08 19:55:49	bitcoin above 74k on february 9	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xe6d0d0…
02-08 19:50:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0x6dc110…
02-08 19:50:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,070	2¢	$52	0x201c93…
02-08 19:47:49	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x26c4db…
02-08 13:12:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0x86e5e9…
02-08 12:31:17	highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfedb4e…
02-08 12:03:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x5feab3…
02-08 11:45:15	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x053c23…
02-08 11:41:47	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8c0d14…
02-08 11:41:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xed143e…
02-08 11:41:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	341	0¢	$1	0xf48806…
02-05 00:50:49	xrp above 1pt8 on february 6	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xe2515b…
02-04 22:29:29	xrp above 1pt8 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6463f2…
02-04 22:29:03	xrp above 1pt7 on february 5	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x9ace6f…
02-04 21:51:55	will xrp reach 3 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xe78bed…
01-31 20:28:20	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x9e491d…
01-31 20:27:56	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x3e3622…
01-31 19:04:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,070	4¢	$76	0x6fe35e…
01-31 19:03:08	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	714	2¢	$15	0x04b19b…
01-20 18:04:52	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$9	0x2d0d11…
01-20 11:07:52	highest temperature in seoul on january 20 neg 4corhigher	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x157496…
01-19 21:00:06	bitcoin above 88k on january 20	No	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xb357a6…
01-19 20:58:26	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x1f81ae…
01-19 16:40:44	bitcoin above 88k on january 22	No	SELL	400	3¢	$14	0xa977e7…