Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

192

316 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$652

$797 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-29 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

73% 45% -$50

Politics

12% 75% -$2

Crypto

7% 0% -$11

Sports

6% 22% -$4

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	+9	$8	83¢	$8	$0	10-24 06:51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+8	$7	96¢	$7	+$1	10-25 04:07
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	+7	$6	99¢	$7	+$1	10-26 01:07
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	+6	$6	96¢	$6	+$0	10-28 08:16
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+6	$6	94¢	$6	+$0	10-28 18:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$3	10-25 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 25?	4	$20	14	14	+0	No	$0	10-25 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-27 08:09
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	3	$18	48	48	+0	Yes	-$4	04-04 16:47
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-25 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 25?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-25 04:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	2	$17	11	11	+0	No	+$2	10-24 22:34
Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	10-25 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$2	10-28 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-26 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	10-25 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	10-29 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-28 21:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-26 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	10-27 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-27 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	10-27 16:09
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$14	48	48	+0	No	-$1	03-11 08:37
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	10-27 23:12
Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	10-29 02:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	10-28 18:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	10-29 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	10-26 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 26?	7	$12	52	26	+26	No	+$0	10-26 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	6	$11	40	40	+0	No	+$6	10-27 01:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	10-28 14:57
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	10-26 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	$0	10-26 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8c198a…
10-29 03:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xc91c56…
10-29 03:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xa0730d…
10-29 02:56:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd208bf…
10-29 02:56:17	Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x531775…
10-29 00:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x79dd9e…
10-29 00:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x20b42c…
10-28 21:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x0683fc…
10-28 18:18:49	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x250509…
10-28 18:17:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5df4c7…
10-28 14:57:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x52f042…
10-28 13:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x891a08…
10-28 12:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5fc605…
10-28 08:16:13	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xea89a7…
10-28 07:52:04	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xdc7dec…
10-28 06:09:01	Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xcb5a51…
10-28 03:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb4826a…
10-28 02:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb8c6c4…
10-28 01:56:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfa8630…
10-28 01:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xaa6704…
10-28 00:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xddae97…
10-28 00:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x71ae1d…
10-28 00:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x045091…
10-28 00:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x6a1846…
10-28 00:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x3b8cd1…
10-27 23:13:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x7d6c19…
10-27 23:12:27	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x4ed637…
10-27 16:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xf72f9b…
10-27 16:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x11b26f…
10-27 16:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x3f791f…
10-27 11:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x4cfffa…
10-27 08:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe8e0bf…
10-27 07:54:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xaa1c50…
10-27 07:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xd3fde6…
10-27 07:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xeec076…
10-27 03:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xa5c6c9…
10-27 02:10:56	Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x08d0a2…
10-27 01:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x7fbac7…
10-27 01:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x899478…
10-27 01:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x6c838b…
10-27 00:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x022ea7…
10-27 00:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x284acf…
10-27 00:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xf33d1d…
10-27 00:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x4284b1…
10-27 00:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xe4ae6f…
10-27 00:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xb5132e…
10-26 23:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x751980…
10-26 22:56:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc135cd…
10-26 15:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xb55005…
10-26 11:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf5176c…
10-26 09:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x977731…
10-26 09:02:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x9fbe34…
10-26 06:24:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x1891f1…
10-26 06:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xcf46d3…
10-26 06:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x775c48…
10-26 01:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0x41a7f2…
10-26 01:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x12bf90…
10-26 01:07:23	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x71ca56…
10-26 01:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb54c92…
10-26 00:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x18b8a7…
10-26 00:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xafddd1…
10-26 00:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xd1b36c…
10-26 00:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x8134b7…
10-26 00:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xb54673…
10-26 00:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf5ded9…
10-26 00:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc3dbae…
10-26 00:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x8846d0…
10-26 00:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x01673a…
10-26 00:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x787a5e…
10-26 00:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd84489…
10-26 00:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf3e4c0…
10-26 00:12:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x5848a2…
10-26 00:12:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x460bca…
10-26 00:12:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x448d0a…
10-26 00:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xc31377…
10-25 19:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x649a0e…
10-25 18:08:42	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x98f7a9…
10-25 17:23:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xb22e1b…
10-25 14:18:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xa86960…
10-25 14:17:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x789356…
10-25 14:17:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xf88dfd…
10-25 09:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xc2ef77…
10-25 08:16:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x8e3a58…
10-25 08:11:27	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x0e086a…
10-25 08:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2ace38…
10-25 08:09:53	Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf0448a…
10-25 07:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xc8c7c2…
10-25 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xef73a7…
10-25 07:03:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x4b180a…
10-25 07:03:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc2c300…
10-25 07:02:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x8d6fb6…
10-25 05:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xe6ea89…
10-25 04:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x9a875e…
10-25 04:31:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xf8a4f0…
10-25 04:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 25?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0xfad5d0…
10-25 04:07:38	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x1ef02c…
10-25 03:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x831d98…
10-25 03:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0x3df65d…
10-25 03:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0xa66c9a…
10-25 03:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x3d2a27…