Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

412 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$28

$1.37K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$54

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 11-06 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

79% 54% -$76

Politics

11% 75% $0

Crypto

5% 17% -$13

Sports

4% 22% -$4

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 6?	No		+8	$6	100¢	$8	+$2	11-04 15:08
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No		+9	$8	88¢	$8	+$0	10-24 06:51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+8	$7	97¢	$8	+$1	10-25 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 5?	No	—	+8	$6	100¢	$8	+$2	11-04 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 6?	No		+8	$6	100¢	$8	+$2	11-04 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 7?	No		+7	$5	73¢	$5	$0	11-06 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on November 6?	No		+6	$5	80¢	$5	$0	11-05 20:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 7?	No		+7	$5	60¢	$4	-$1	11-05 18:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 6?	No		+7	$5	5¢	$0	-$5	11-04 20:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$3	10-25 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 25?	4	$20	14	14	+0	No	$0	10-25 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-27 08:09
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	3	$18	48	48	+0	Yes	-$4	04-04 16:47
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-25 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 25?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-25 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 29?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$3	10-29 08:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	2	$17	11	11	+0	No	+$2	10-24 22:34
Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	10-25 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$2	10-28 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-26 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	10-25 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 31?	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-31 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$1	10-29 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	10-28 21:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-26 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 2?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$3	11-02 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-29 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$1	10-30 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$1	11-04 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 2?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$2	11-02 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-29 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 30?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$1	10-29 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 5?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$2	11-05 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	10-27 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 3?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$2	11-03 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-27 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 31?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	10-31 03:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 05:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 7?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3c6455…
11-06 04:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 6?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x44d7a3…
11-05 20:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on November 6?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3ffeb4…
11-05 20:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	No	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x50cf74…
11-05 18:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 7?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x52ec7b…
11-05 18:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 5?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xffd8f1…
11-05 04:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x6a6b67…
11-05 04:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 5?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x9aea0e…
11-04 20:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 6?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdbf486…
11-04 16:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 5?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x8c1365…
11-04 16:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xd3619f…
11-04 16:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 5?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0x779cca…
11-04 15:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xfea348…
11-04 15:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xb0ea28…
11-04 06:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 5?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xf7d265…
11-04 06:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 4?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xd127f4…
11-04 03:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x0e94e6…
11-04 03:50:28	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x6b94f0…
11-04 01:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 5?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x222717…
11-04 01:25:52	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x336b43…
11-03 23:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x1f4e54…
11-03 23:49:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5327dd…
11-03 13:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe6caca…
11-03 13:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4049cd…
11-03 13:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x10622c…
11-03 12:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x00384b…
11-03 09:38:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0x4adf6a…
11-03 08:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xadc38c…
11-03 08:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on November 3?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x7f3f10…
11-03 06:22:22	highest temperature in taipei on november 5 2026 32c	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x769af9…
11-03 06:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x130d0f…
11-03 06:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 3?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xbc35ad…
11-03 04:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 4?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe6934a…
11-03 04:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 3?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x2d759a…
11-03 00:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$6	0x522544…
11-03 00:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 3?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x3b2a2f…
11-02 19:42:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2ba65e…
11-02 19:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xfd5169…
11-02 19:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 2?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf12cc1…
11-02 15:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xccd977…
11-02 15:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 2?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xef6f20…
11-02 13:53:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x93e9a3…
11-02 13:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x3fb6f6…
11-02 13:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on November 2?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xcde533…
11-02 08:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x5a4c36…
11-02 08:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 2?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd9ed0f…
11-02 06:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x833a9e…
11-02 05:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xe781e8…
11-02 05:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x7797d6…
11-01 19:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x809cd1…
11-01 19:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xa8094e…
11-01 15:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x6df451…
11-01 03:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xf58cd7…
11-01 03:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 2?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x70a995…
11-01 01:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0xbeaa2c…
11-01 00:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb2effd…
10-31 20:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xdf9913…
10-31 20:06:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x8004dc…
10-31 19:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 2?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x0bf468…
10-31 18:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 2?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x22ca70…
10-31 17:46:06	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xf8d83a…
10-31 17:46:04	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb30c45…
10-31 17:45:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc6dd0d…
10-31 16:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x60f8b6…
10-31 16:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xe68564…
10-31 16:05:31	highest temperature in buenos aires on november 2 2026 28c	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x4b73a4…
10-31 16:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x020265…
10-31 14:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 2?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x99bf81…
10-31 14:58:01	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3ed7b7…
10-31 13:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0xb362ce…
10-31 13:18:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x712673…
10-31 06:41:22	highest temperature in madrid on november 2 2026 21c	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xf6e985…
10-31 05:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 31?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x788b3a…
10-31 04:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x047a52…
10-31 03:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x722bd6…
10-30 16:30:16	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x98805a…
10-30 16:30:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xdfdd5a…
10-30 16:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x83a5c1…
10-30 06:01:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x6e2082…
10-30 05:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x49bdcc…
10-30 05:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x9d212d…
10-30 05:05:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x66ea87…
10-30 00:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x5f5f7b…
10-29 21:20:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xce5e5f…
10-29 17:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd88770…
10-29 16:02:08	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9a8910…
10-29 16:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xde7eb7…
10-29 12:12:08	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8063f1…
10-29 12:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xc41768…
10-29 11:11:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x6bf09f…
10-29 11:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x77462d…
10-29 10:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x250654…
10-29 09:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0db7ea…
10-29 09:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 30?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x2d0257…
10-29 08:53:08	highest temperature in shanghai on october 31 2026 24c	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x78ac37…
10-29 08:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd2d85a…
10-29 07:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xbd9a52…
10-29 06:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8c198a…
10-29 03:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xc91c56…
10-29 03:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xa0730d…