Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4
lifetime
Volume
$1.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$315
Open exposure
$1.24K
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 18:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
67%
Other
33%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -450 $-450 100¢ $-450 +$0 05-05 13:15
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -400 $-397 100¢ $-400 $-3 05-05 17:02
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? No -396 $-222 53¢ $-210 +$12 05-05 18:36
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? No +214 $190 85¢ $183 $-7 05-05 02:55