Curvy-Heartbeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,604

lifetime

Volume

$241.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$564

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 18:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

51% 67% +$246

Crypto

35% 86% +$1,065

Politics

11% 67% +$15

Sports

3% 50% +$249

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No		-500	$-470	100¢	$-499	$-28	06-02 15:21
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		-71	$-67	91¢	$-65	+$2	06-04 12:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	73	$13.6K	13,947	14,502	-555	open	—	01-06 09:59
lol gen kt 2026 04 03	89	$8.5K	18,033	18,816	-784	open	—	04-03 11:47
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	37	$7.0K	4,692	4,691	+1	open	—	04-14 15:43
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	7	$6.9K	7,690	0	+7,690	open	—	04-30 19:10
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$6.5K	3,627	3,773	-146	Yes	+$784	04-13 17:54
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$6.1K	3,500	3,446	+54	open	—	04-30 07:46
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	48	$6.1K	13,000	13,000	+0	open	—	04-18 18:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	19	$5.2K	2,788	2,754	+34	open	—	04-22 12:32
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	41	$4.9K	3,070	3,000	+70	open	—	04-26 20:52
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	5	$4.8K	2,615	2,615	+0	open	—	01-04 17:22
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	19	$4.5K	2,556	2,556	+0	open	—	04-01 19:59
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	33	$4.5K	5,712	1,410	+4,302	open	—	01-17 03:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	36	$4.2K	5,949	5,715	+233	open	—	05-23 21:39
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	7	$4.1K	2,212	2,200	+12	Michael	+$259	05-03 03:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$4.0K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	05-06 09:19
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	20	$4.0K	2,772	2,772	+0	open	—	04-23 12:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$42	05-05 17:32
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	19	$3.9K	3,222	1,715	+1,507	open	—	04-30 20:18
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?	11	$3.6K	1,912	1,912	+0	Yes	+$235	04-03 11:40
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	12	$3.5K	2,699	1,099	+1,600	open	—	04-01 08:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	37	$3.5K	2,805	2,231	+574	open	—	05-08 13:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$3.4K	2,000	1,950	+50	open	—	04-26 18:46
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	9	$3.4K	2,143	1,645	+498	open	—	04-22 15:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	10	$3.2K	1,765	1,765	+0	open	—	05-07 03:09
lol fox1 bro2 2026 04 03 game1	15	$3.0K	2,700	2,695	+5	open	—	04-03 11:48
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	8	$3.0K	1,557	1,557	+0	open	—	03-24 05:19
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	21	$3.0K	2,410	2,410	+0	open	—	01-04 10:09
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	10	$2.6K	2,336	1,336	+1,000	open	—	05-21 10:16
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	19	$2.5K	1,927	1,927	+0	open	—	04-16 07:34
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	20	$2.4K	2,645	1,758	+887	open	—	04-22 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 18:50:04	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	SELL	690	0¢	$3	0x0524cd…
06-11 16:44:00	Over $10M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xd7901a…
06-11 16:42:52	Over $20M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	418	98¢	$410	0x9618df…
06-04 18:50:54	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x682ddd…
06-04 12:53:54	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x6a3b24…
06-04 12:42:28	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0xeaf4a9…
06-04 12:41:06	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xd1f52f…
06-04 12:41:04	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?	No	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x9c373d…
06-03 20:18:58	Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xbd5712…
06-03 20:18:48	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	SELL	90	16¢	$14	0xb93980…
06-02 15:21:33	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0xa4b890…
06-01 17:40:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0xe10ed6…
05-23 21:39:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xba3521…
05-23 21:31:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	261	10¢	$26	0x199e81…
05-23 21:25:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x088eec…
05-23 21:24:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	86	7¢	$6	0x1677f6…
05-23 21:23:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x836aaa…
05-23 21:18:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	999	22¢	$220	0xda2e66…
05-23 21:18:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x2e455e…
05-23 21:18:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	217	25¢	$54	0xc0b3b1…
05-23 21:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xb73f13…
05-23 21:08:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xdd78fd…
05-23 21:03:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	2,900	5¢	$145	0xa646af…
05-23 20:51:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x9d2ab3…
05-23 20:50:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	260	10¢	$26	0x80cc9d…
05-23 20:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0xed45b2…
05-23 20:46:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x9a5786…
05-23 20:45:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0xa93edb…
05-23 20:42:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x17bc47…
05-23 20:41:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	280	10¢	$28	0x900a89…
05-23 20:41:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0x1f3240…
05-23 20:40:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xf10d55…
05-23 20:40:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x644e87…
05-23 14:48:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x26ea37…
05-23 14:47:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	204	52¢	$106	0xf28530…
05-23 14:42:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	480	53¢	$254	0xa6e14a…
05-23 14:34:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xbf0441…
05-21 18:40:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0x6e5f49…
05-21 18:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	171	14¢	$24	0x61bf3f…
05-21 18:39:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	292	14¢	$41	0x7dcadf…
05-21 18:39:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	292	14¢	$41	0xcac6ca…
05-21 18:39:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	281	14¢	$39	0xa547cb…
05-21 17:11:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	175	60¢	$105	0xe05b64…
05-21 10:37:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	116	60¢	$69	0x8e6fe8…
05-21 10:37:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	214	60¢	$128	0x6d67c2…
05-21 10:16:38	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	475	95¢	$451	0x1628e3…
05-20 16:25:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	1,030	35¢	$361	0x7cc825…
05-20 15:30:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x6b2940…
05-20 15:15:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xb04c0d…
05-20 14:46:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	439	68¢	$299	0x415a66…
05-20 14:36:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	149	36¢	$54	0x081fef…
05-20 13:36:16	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0x523094…
05-20 13:30:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	131	49¢	$64	0xd82186…
05-20 10:02:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	19¢	$12	0x40b9f7…
05-19 17:40:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	213	56¢	$119	0x235954…
05-19 15:59:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	148	56¢	$83	0x8a5407…
05-19 14:35:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	194	74¢	$144	0x9b9666…
05-19 14:28:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x558ca6…
05-19 00:47:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	294	70¢	$206	0xc6c398…
05-17 16:12:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	1,589	61¢	$969	0x46807d…
05-17 10:59:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	131	35¢	$46	0xebb49d…
05-17 10:29:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	324	78¢	$253	0x241627…
05-17 10:22:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	1,299	35¢	$455	0x799464…
05-17 08:18:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x7eba83…
05-16 04:59:53	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	365	2¢	$7	0x05ea23…
05-16 04:49:00	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x7d42ec…
05-16 04:47:52	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xe2c66e…
05-16 04:45:34	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	526	2¢	$10	0x44236e…
05-15 02:30:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	1,327	49¢	$650	0xa81cb7…
05-15 01:00:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	206	48¢	$99	0xe5413c…
05-15 01:00:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	172	48¢	$83	0x1bce7a…
05-15 00:59:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	206	48¢	$99	0xe4474d…
05-15 00:58:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	206	48¢	$99	0xec3474…
05-15 00:50:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x43ab53…
05-14 10:57:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0xc5a658…
05-13 06:12:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1,200	83¢	$996	0x1f8875…
05-13 02:58:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	986	66¢	$651	0x77b57d…
05-13 02:52:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xf50eb3…
05-12 22:03:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x6baef1…
05-12 11:45:26	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	172	23¢	$39	0x10e81a…
05-12 10:13:44	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	117	23¢	$27	0x22a704…
05-12 05:33:39	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x43621a…
05-10 23:59:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	20¢	$62	0x5f3a0c…
05-10 23:56:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	505	20¢	$101	0xbc1e08…
05-10 21:29:09	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	224	24¢	$53	0x96e957…
05-10 18:13:39	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x837748…
05-10 18:10:40	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x10a4f3…
05-10 18:00:28	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xf83309…
05-10 17:44:06	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x667f71…
05-10 17:41:06	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x995602…
05-10 17:24:21	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x0aab6c…
05-10 17:21:16	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xf56252…
05-10 17:18:14	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x4e649d…
05-10 17:15:12	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x2a04ef…
05-10 17:09:13	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xca832c…
05-10 17:06:13	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x839550…
05-10 17:03:14	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x24ca9a…
05-10 17:00:14	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x6b05ea…
05-08 13:15:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	262	80¢	$209	0x6535a7…
05-08 13:15:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	278	80¢	$223	0x1b6963…