Fluffy-Problem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

1,591

Trades

4,240

lifetime

Volume

$621.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-27 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Other

87% 43% -$4,430

Sports

12% 48% +$7,960

Crypto

1% 43% +$246

Politics

0% 67% +$55

Tech

0% 100% +$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	6	$11.3K	6,475	6,475	+0	Argentina	+$46	07-04 00:41
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	2	$8.5K	4,518	4,518	+0	Yes	+$513	05-19 20:28
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	13	$8.5K	5,020	5,020	+0	Gen.G	+$1,540	10-23 18:21
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	4	$8.2K	5,500	5,500	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$2,800	06-12 14:27
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	5	$7.7K	4,720	4,720	+0	Yes	+$1,592	07-03 01:09
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	3	$7.5K	4,542	4,542	+0	Dplus KIA	+$1,537	10-25 19:56
lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 game2	6	$7.4K	4,865	4,865	+0	T1	+$2,270	06-28 05:18
cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	2	$7.4K	3,993	3,993	+0	Vitality	+$589	06-11 15:31
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	6	$7.1K	4,571	4,571	+0	Nongshim Red Force	-$48	05-28 10:53
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	4	$6.0K	5,825	4,425	+1,400	Team Vitality	+$1,893	10-10 13:13
cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	3	$4.8K	7,000	0	+7,000	Spirit	+$2,180	06-12 18:21
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	10	$4.8K	8,218	0	+8,218	LYON	-$4,784	10-25 21:30
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	2	$4.7K	2,421	2,421	+0	Team Falcons	+$119	06-21 19:00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$4.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	Gen.G	+$1,205	10-24 22:50
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	3	$4.6K	3,338	3,338	+0	France	+$1,435	06-26 20:52
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	3	$4.4K	5,276	5,276	+0	Paraguay	+$744	07-04 22:40
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	5	$4.2K	3,509	3,509	+0	Over	+$229	10-22 20:28
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13	12	$4.2K	7,128	7,106	+22	Spirit	-$2,512	06-13 21:02
cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11	7	$4.2K	2,848	2,848	+0	9z	+$1,510	06-11 13:23
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	8	$3.6K	6,114	0	+6,114	Invictus Gaming	-$3,560	10-25 17:36
cs2 furia mouz 2026 06 12	2	$3.5K	1,908	1,908	+0	FURIA	+$299	06-12 12:02
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	7	$3.4K	2,186	2,186	+0	Under	+$931	10-25 21:06
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	2	$3.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	Over	+$40	06-26 16:10
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game4	5	$3.2K	2,002	2,002	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$766	06-06 14:13
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$3.2K	7,397	4,869	+2,528	No	-$531	06-25 21:57
cs2 navi ts7 2026 06 11	2	$3.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	Spirit	+$1,850	06-11 18:40
val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	10	$3.1K	3,283	3,283	+0	Team Vitality	+$994	10-17 10:13
val xlg edg1 2026 06 15	3	$3.0K	2,183	2,183	+0	EDward Gaming	+$47	06-15 15:48
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	6	$2.7K	5,500	0	+5,500	Under	-$2,740	10-25 18:11
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$2.6K	1,716	1,716	+0	Gen.G	+$795	10-25 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:32:33	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0xa6d246…
10-27 17:53:24	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x37307f…
10-27 17:46:36	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	600	62¢	$372	0x79e156…
10-27 17:37:47	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	SELL	842	100¢	$842	0x79c525…
10-27 16:58:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	416	45¢	$187	0x1af4aa…
10-27 16:55:06	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)	TYLOO	SELL	257	2¢	$5	0xc6742c…
10-27 16:16:17	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)	TYLOO	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xfc6f92…
10-27 16:16:02	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)	TYLOO	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x035a5d…
10-27 16:14:41	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	427	49¢	$209	0xb13d9e…
10-27 16:12:57	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x22942f…
10-27 00:52:54	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	287	49¢	$141	0x663f7b…
10-27 00:38:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x32bba0…
10-27 00:37:24	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xa958d6…
10-27 00:36:42	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	195	49¢	$96	0x79d7d8…
10-26 23:02:45	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	1,220	41¢	$500	0x394205…
10-26 23:02:38	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	743	100¢	$743	0x669892…
10-26 22:14:38	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	480	32¢	$153	0x265b70…
10-26 22:02:53	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	430	47¢	$200	0x219227…
10-26 22:01:48	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	105	49¢	$51	0x883cb9…
10-26 22:00:08	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0x792aed…
10-26 21:36:30	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	246	28¢	$69	0xa8bd96…
10-26 21:27:12	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x8d9764…
10-26 21:07:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd36771…
10-26 21:01:18	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x695208…
10-26 20:49:05	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	136	53¢	$72	0x884bd5…
10-26 20:00:44	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0xe0526c…
10-26 19:57:53	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	61	19¢	$12	0x720c52…
10-26 19:07:29	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x7f006c…
10-26 19:07:08	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	641	100¢	$640	0x54bd9d…
10-26 19:00:48	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xc224d4…
10-26 18:58:30	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x07cff6…
10-26 18:54:09	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb4145e…
10-26 18:20:12	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xa0fbab…
10-26 18:19:27	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x0fe327…
10-26 18:18:50	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0xc89ee0…
10-26 17:56:39	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	641	71¢	$455	0x12bbd6…
10-26 17:55:23	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	463	100¢	$462	0xb986a1…
10-26 17:51:56	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	283	69¢	$195	0xbc5a9a…
10-26 17:47:18	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	985	21¢	$207	0xfbbbcd…
10-26 17:10:56	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	93	45¢	$42	0x2274e5…
10-26 17:10:39	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	135	32¢	$43	0x344653…
10-26 17:10:11	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xabd5e9…
10-26 17:04:23	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa7c9c…
10-26 17:02:38	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	289	50¢	$145	0x1ba00d…
10-26 17:02:23	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe31a8d…
10-26 17:00:47	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcf728f…
10-26 16:48:56	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x4f74bc…
10-26 16:40:06	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x47c33e…
10-26 16:39:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,152	9¢	$104	0x011a8e…
10-26 16:35:24	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	819	22¢	$180	0xe9e872…
10-26 16:34:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	345	21¢	$72	0x038208…
10-26 16:32:42	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0xb0304c…
10-26 16:03:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaa371d…
10-26 16:03:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x91db61…
10-26 16:02:24	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	SELL	233	20¢	$47	0xe06632…
10-26 15:52:33	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xf4a996…
10-26 15:51:12	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xd37122…
10-26 14:45:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	250	66¢	$165	0xaf2b98…
10-26 14:16:09	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xd73eec…
10-26 14:14:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x51693c…
10-26 13:58:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xeee373…
10-26 13:55:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x6ed211…
10-26 13:55:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x0fd2e4…
10-26 13:45:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xd95eb5…
10-26 13:43:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x0f1d50…
10-26 13:43:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x297a66…
10-26 13:39:51	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb49264…
10-26 13:32:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$42	0x83e245…
10-26 12:15:39	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	9z	BUY	184	61¢	$112	0xb82bd0…
10-26 12:15:06	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	477	25¢	$119	0x765002…
10-26 01:42:32	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	308	36¢	$111	0x3261fd…
10-26 01:39:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,000	11¢	$113	0x624f15…
10-26 01:29:32	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	477	31¢	$148	0x3f73ce…
10-26 01:29:08	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	508	21¢	$107	0x9ad65d…
10-26 01:29:03	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	2,572	2¢	$51	0x988fac…
10-26 01:11:50	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2,572	54¢	$1,389	0x6ddbe1…
10-25 23:46:03	Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x45237d…
10-25 23:44:23	Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x774e8e…
10-25 23:44:12	Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb418fc…
10-25 23:44:12	Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x9025f5…
10-25 23:44:11	Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc015a0…
10-25 23:35:00	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	1,716	100¢	$1,715	0xb85792…
10-25 23:32:35	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	800	29¢	$232	0xb51aee…
10-25 22:58:14	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	807	52¢	$420	0x8c1774…
10-25 22:56:18	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xca2bdf…
10-25 22:51:26	Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5	Over	BUY	628	50¢	$314	0xd7b4fe…
10-25 22:40:50	nba lac okc 2026 10 25 1h total 109pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc73458…
10-25 22:39:12	nba lac okc 2026 10 25 1h total 109pt5	Over	BUY	133	50¢	$66	0x353bea…
10-25 22:35:59	nba lac okc 2026 10 25 1h total 109pt5	Over	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xc8d240…
10-25 22:35:54	nba lac okc 2026 10 25 1h total 109pt5	Over	BUY	128	50¢	$64	0x812894…
10-25 22:35:50	nba lac okc 2026 10 25 1h total 109pt5	Over	BUY	540	50¢	$270	0xb0ac91…
10-25 22:31:44	nba lac okc 2026 10 25 1h total 109pt5	Over	BUY	30	49¢	$14	0xa1e1d2…
10-25 22:28:39	nba lac okc 2026 10 25 1h total 109pt5	Over	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0x31eb44…
10-25 21:57:51	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	328	8¢	$26	0x9a9d9c…
10-25 21:51:39	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	328	30¢	$100	0x78d65e…
10-25 21:30:02	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	732	41¢	$300	0x8484cd…
10-25 21:29:44	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	795	38¢	$300	0xc153cb…
10-25 21:23:15	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	1,057	47¢	$500	0x13d516…
10-25 21:22:50	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0xcabc8c…
10-25 21:21:53	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xd89c8d…