Fluffy-Problem — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$7.69K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

220

5,033 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$55.8K

$764.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 11-14 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Other

85% 43% -$7,760

Sports

14% 47% +$6,982

Crypto

1% 43% +$246

Politics

0% 67% +$55

Tech

0% 100% +$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	6	$11.3K	6,475	6,475	+0	Argentina	+$46	07-04 00:41
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	17	$9.5K	11,841	10,413	+1,429	Natus Vincere	-$2,264	11-06 09:22
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	2	$8.5K	4,518	4,518	+0	Yes	+$513	05-19 20:28
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	13	$8.5K	5,020	5,020	+0	Gen.G	+$1,540	10-23 18:21
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	4	$8.2K	5,500	5,500	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$2,800	06-12 14:27
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	5	$7.7K	4,720	4,720	+0	Yes	+$1,592	07-03 01:09
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	3	$7.5K	4,542	4,542	+0	Dplus KIA	+$1,537	10-25 19:56
lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 game2	6	$7.4K	4,865	4,865	+0	T1	+$2,270	06-28 05:18
cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	2	$7.4K	3,993	3,993	+0	Vitality	+$589	06-11 15:31
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	6	$7.1K	4,571	4,571	+0	Nongshim Red Force	-$48	05-28 10:53
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	4	$6.0K	5,825	4,425	+1,400	Team Vitality	+$1,893	10-10 13:13
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	9	$5.1K	4,939	4,939	+0	Gen.G	+$455	11-08 00:40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	3	$4.8K	7,000	0	+7,000	Spirit	+$2,180	06-12 18:21
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	10	$4.8K	8,218	0	+8,218	LYON	-$4,784	10-25 21:30
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	2	$4.7K	2,421	2,421	+0	Team Falcons	+$119	06-21 19:00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$4.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	Gen.G	+$1,205	10-24 22:50
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	3	$4.6K	3,338	3,338	+0	France	+$1,435	06-26 20:52
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	3	$4.4K	5,276	5,276	+0	Paraguay	+$744	07-04 22:40
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	5	$4.2K	3,509	3,509	+0	Over	+$229	10-22 20:28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	12	$4.2K	7,128	7,106	+22	Spirit	-$2,512	06-13 21:02
cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11	7	$4.2K	2,848	2,848	+0	9z	+$1,510	06-11 13:23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	6	$4.2K	7,953	0	+7,953	FURIA	-$4,172	11-12 05:36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	11	$3.7K	3,104	3,104	+0	MOUZ	+$444	11-07 10:27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	6	$3.6K	5,631	0	+5,631	G2	-$3,600	11-11 12:09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	8	$3.6K	6,114	0	+6,114	Invictus Gaming	-$3,560	10-25 17:36
cs2 furia mouz 2026 06 12	2	$3.5K	1,908	1,908	+0	FURIA	+$299	06-12 12:02
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	7	$3.4K	2,186	2,186	+0	Under	+$931	10-25 21:06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	19	$3.4K	3,087	3,087	+0	BetBoom Team	+$899	11-06 14:20
Celtics vs. Raptors	4	$3.3K	2,216	2,216	+0	Celtics	+$1,169	11-12 02:45
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	2	$3.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	Over	+$40	06-26 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 02:46:28	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	404	54¢	$218	0xe96a90…
11-13 04:37:54	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	89	57¢	$51	0x0b3e7f…
11-13 02:45:27	Spread: Wizards (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x871c10…
11-12 06:31:46	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	66	28¢	$18	0x7d4bb1…
11-12 06:05:45	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xc8bfdc…
11-12 06:05:40	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x1a9be8…
11-12 05:36:57	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	217	25¢	$54	0xb51ab4…
11-12 05:34:18	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	1,538	26¢	$400	0x88ebe0…
11-12 05:29:43	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	1,000	48¢	$480	0x9eba68…
11-12 05:28:27	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	1,526	47¢	$717	0xaefd54…
11-12 05:27:31	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	740	19¢	$144	0xb8549f…
11-12 05:23:48	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xe7713c…
11-12 05:21:49	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	1,555	64¢	$1,000	0xf5837f…
11-12 05:21:25	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	1,000	50¢	$500	0xc51298…
11-12 05:21:04	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	SELL	515	3¢	$15	0x7ac25c…
11-12 05:20:42	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	SELL	1,271	7¢	$89	0xc34b4c…
11-12 05:14:45	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0x3906ec…
11-12 05:10:15	Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)	Vitality	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5680aa…
11-12 05:00:16	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	SELL	1,525	100¢	$1,523	0x7ef6bf…
11-12 04:59:31	Spread: Rockets (-13.5)	Warriors	SELL	492	42¢	$207	0x34da97…
11-12 04:56:00	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0x7a015e…
11-12 04:54:43	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	1,786	56¢	$1,000	0x2af389…
11-12 04:49:36	Warriors vs. Rockets	Warriors	SELL	455	4¢	$18	0xdf4884…
11-12 04:46:49	Warriors vs. Rockets	Warriors	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xd1edf4…
11-12 04:05:36	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xab3e65…
11-12 03:27:55	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x527962…
11-12 03:25:27	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	SELL	887	10¢	$89	0x51b33a…
11-12 02:52:01	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x3f7223…
11-12 02:51:45	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xf9338c…
11-12 02:51:45	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x64761d…
11-12 02:51:45	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x3ea25a…
11-12 02:50:33	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	114	36¢	$41	0x235053…
11-12 02:50:19	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0ebb33…
11-12 02:50:13	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	671	36¢	$242	0xb88063…
11-12 02:48:52	Spread: Rockets (-13.5)	Warriors	BUY	492	59¢	$290	0x441a4c…
11-12 02:45:39	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	SELL	2,216	100¢	$2,214	0x33eb95…
11-12 02:25:33	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	BUY	1,534	50¢	$772	0x4ae11e…
11-12 02:22:52	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x793093…
11-12 02:19:58	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	BUY	281	26¢	$73	0x50464b…
11-12 02:17:25	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0c75aa…
11-12 02:16:10	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	1,930	57¢	$1,100	0xaf74e2…
11-12 02:13:10	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	742	22¢	$163	0xf034d7…
11-12 02:10:12	Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	2,580	7¢	$179	0x0b4296…
11-12 01:45:54	Spurs vs. Bulls	Spurs	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x036ddc…
11-12 01:45:09	Spurs vs. Bulls	Spurs	BUY	1,076	66¢	$710	0x90b940…
11-12 01:44:52	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?	Over	SELL	1,000	49¢	$490	0x35cdca…
11-12 00:31:36	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5	Yes	BUY	112	32¢	$36	0x7f1070…
11-12 00:27:37	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5	Yes	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0xed496e…
11-12 00:27:36	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5	Yes	BUY	936	30¢	$281	0xf275d6…
11-12 00:27:34	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x19c6d7…
11-12 00:26:37	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?	Over	SELL	1,000	50¢	$500	0x0fa232…
11-12 00:05:18	Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	2,580	50¢	$1,290	0xf45fcc…
11-11 12:09:10	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0xf460b0…
11-11 12:08:49	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	305	33¢	$100	0x915dc3…
11-11 12:06:48	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xbd6e1e…
11-11 12:05:16	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	688	44¢	$300	0x46cd85…
11-11 11:46:36	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x696b24…
11-11 11:46:09	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	2,794	72¢	$2,000	0xa2d664…
11-11 11:44:36	Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1ccaf3…
11-11 11:44:31	Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3c35b1…
11-11 11:44:25	Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x36fe84…
11-11 11:43:43	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xad3e4e…
11-11 11:43:40	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	202	52¢	$105	0xd1da6b…
11-11 11:43:27	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x5a0fcb…
11-11 11:43:01	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x313853…
11-11 11:42:58	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf296af…
11-11 11:42:39	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3377ae…
11-11 11:42:28	Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	626	52¢	$325	0xea1444…
11-11 11:38:15	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x9fd7e3…
11-11 10:50:45	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x372325…
11-11 10:50:36	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xfebc85…
11-11 10:23:31	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x82d9d0…
11-11 09:59:27	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	52	49¢	$26	0x213a6a…
11-11 09:47:55	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	990	52¢	$515	0x98fb68…
11-11 09:47:43	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbf6584…
11-11 09:31:54	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	410	57¢	$234	0x5c350c…
11-11 09:27:45	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	1,299	77¢	$1,000	0x86af0c…
11-11 09:01:24	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	Spirit	SELL	1,471	97¢	$1,424	0xd7a4d7…
11-11 08:39:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	Spirit	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x0ecd85…
11-11 08:26:00	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x89de59…
11-11 08:00:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x6dd722…
11-11 08:00:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x159b86…
11-11 07:11:42	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	SELL	588	14¢	$82	0x43a150…
11-11 07:11:34	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x02fb78…
11-11 06:56:15	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	764	23¢	$176	0x5a1b46…
11-11 06:21:43	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	Over	SELL	57	28¢	$16	0xf82631…
11-11 06:21:15	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5	Over	SELL	300	59¢	$177	0xc0434a…
11-11 06:01:21	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	SELL	667	6¢	$40	0x7007bc…
11-11 05:57:34	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xc8ab63…
11-11 05:54:52	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc8a5a9…
11-11 05:30:52	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x3b6987…
11-11 05:27:21	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xf240e8…
11-11 05:18:27	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	57	50¢	$28	0x4c8ff0…
11-11 05:15:58	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	SELL	700	55¢	$385	0x61a1da…
11-11 05:15:24	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)	Vitality	SELL	858	65¢	$560	0x7d8489…
11-11 05:14:04	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)	Vitality	SELL	150	66¢	$99	0xfacff3…
11-11 04:07:06	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xbfa258…
11-11 04:00:43	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	254	39¢	$99	0xc12ee7…
11-11 03:37:55	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	154	40¢	$62	0x2bfd7c…
11-11 03:24:21	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x483f38…