Crazy-Secretary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.45K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

180

Trades

764

lifetime

Volume

$69.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-26 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

44% 45% -$268

Politics

41% 50% +$2,673

Tech

15% 40% -$4,808

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$46

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+9	$5	30¢	$3	-$2	10-26 22:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	42	$11.8K	8,251	11,345	-3,094	Yes	+$2,688	06-25 12:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$6.8K	4,620	4,620	+0	No	+$1,965	06-19 22:21
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	28	$4.5K	11,575	11,574	+0	Yes	-$4,408	07-08 08:03
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	64	$3.4K	6,008	6,008	+0	No	+$110	06-15 09:51
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,556	1,556	+0	No	+$345	07-05 23:57
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$2.2K	1,613	3,013	-1,400	No	-$452	06-27 09:20
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	29	$2.2K	2,875	2,965	-90	No	+$225	06-05 23:03
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	6	$2.0K	3,903	3,903	+0	No	+$34	07-14 10:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,341	1,341	+0	No	+$77	05-28 15:01
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	4	$1.3K	1,416	1,416	+0	No	-$330	09-18 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$1.3K	869	869	+0	No	+$156	06-22 07:49
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	6	$1.3K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$288	07-14 21:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	886	886	+0	Yes	+$14	05-29 06:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$945	1,556	1,556	+0	No	-$56	05-26 08:03
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	3	$903	600	600	+0	No	+$243	08-13 00:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	4	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$160	06-13 15:19
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	4	$775	2,028	228	+1,800	Yes	+$1,275	06-08 02:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	2	$739	1,087	1,087	+0	Yes	-$261	07-25 10:44
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$739	819	819	+0	Yes	+$339	05-12 16:48
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	9	$669	506	506	+0	No	+$69	05-25 08:28
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$645	1,034	1,034	+0	No	-$555	09-20 17:51
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	6	$642	900	900	+0	No	+$12	06-11 17:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$578	661	661	+0	Yes	-$206	06-11 20:35
will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	2	$523	725	725	+0	Yes	-$477	06-09 16:40
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	36	$523	599	500	+99	No	-$326	08-21 20:03
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	2	$517	695	695	+0	Yes	-$483	06-09 16:40
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	4	$516	342	342	+0	Yes	+$96	06-05 19:13
will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	3	$508	400	400	+0	Yes	+$4	06-07 16:08
wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	1	$500	1,467	0	+1,467	Linda Noskova	-$500	07-09 16:55
grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	8	$498	1,013	0	+1,013	Yes	-$498	08-02 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:48:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf8053d…
10-25 21:13:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	485	1¢	$5	0x70a33b…
10-07 15:03:20	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	153	61¢	$93	0x7444d8…
10-06 12:45:37	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	311	31¢	$97	0x76a234…
10-02 13:23:33	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	311	40¢	$124	0x6c223c…
10-01 11:53:57	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	140	90¢	$127	0x1eb3af…
09-30 17:48:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	485	63¢	$305	0x90fb7e…
09-30 17:32:17	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x52e241…
09-30 17:31:41	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	92¢	$119	0xea26b2…
09-29 22:44:12	Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	208	92¢	$191	0x0f7100…
09-20 23:37:01	Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	208	42¢	$88	0xef6de4…
09-20 23:28:38	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0x5d1495…
09-20 17:51:25	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,034	4¢	$45	0x091b26…
09-18 14:37:04	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	533	25¢	$132	0xc1abae…
09-16 23:35:54	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	131	61¢	$80	0x8b6911…
09-16 16:11:00	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	533	63¢	$336	0x2f10c5…
09-16 16:07:27	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	883	42¢	$374	0x8cc46b…
09-15 10:52:18	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	883	57¢	$500	0xa34ab2…
09-14 14:27:40	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,034	58¢	$600	0xa59990…
08-25 22:44:22	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	241	44¢	$106	0x0da9d1…
08-25 19:24:36	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?	Yes	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xb35f54…
08-25 19:15:34	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?	Yes	BUY	349	29¢	$100	0xf06dc6…
08-24 20:18:07	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0xfe6020…
08-24 04:05:43	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x800c80…
08-24 03:54:03	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0xca8689…
08-23 15:03:16	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	180	41¢	$74	0xc600b2…
08-21 20:03:01	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xef46b4…
08-21 20:01:39	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf7fa95…
08-21 20:00:30	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xeaeb9c…
08-21 19:25:03	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5a83e9…
08-21 19:23:33	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4895b3…
08-21 19:22:22	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe21932…
08-21 19:21:28	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x874ab1…
08-21 19:20:34	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x962222…
08-21 19:19:24	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd14640…
08-21 19:18:34	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2ffe9c…
08-21 19:17:30	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x529037…
08-21 19:16:51	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd00481…
08-21 19:16:03	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5cb2e5…
08-21 19:15:19	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8b48c9…
08-21 19:14:33	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x559c7f…
08-21 19:07:09	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x596b4f…
08-21 19:06:37	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x402701…
08-21 19:06:01	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x00c4ee…
08-21 19:05:04	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x70ac59…
08-21 19:04:42	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1984c8…
08-21 19:04:12	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x348478…
08-21 19:03:48	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2ae777…
08-21 19:03:15	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa714a4…
08-21 10:18:07	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0xfa8770…
08-21 10:18:03	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0xf332e0…
08-21 10:18:03	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc18063…
08-21 10:18:03	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xa53d41…
08-21 10:18:03	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0x1f944d…
08-20 18:38:34	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x3bcb25…
08-20 18:37:49	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x126a60…
08-20 18:37:33	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x235bbc…
08-20 18:37:33	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0x0d0f06…
08-18 07:19:13	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x75952c…
08-17 09:17:27	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	91	26¢	$24	0x6e8859…
08-14 18:08:54	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	500	70¢	$349	0x9e673c…
08-14 10:44:34	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	SELL	156	4¢	$6	0xa80681…
08-13 17:25:30	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xee811c…
08-13 09:21:10	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x088791…
08-13 00:43:30	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	600	95¢	$573	0x185bb9…
08-12 15:09:58	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xc94743…
08-11 16:49:45	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$115	0x299a57…
08-04 11:51:03	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	598	55¢	$329	0x6497e1…
08-04 11:50:48	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd845e7…
08-02 19:27:02	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x5adf56…
08-02 14:54:03	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xebd723…
08-02 14:23:08	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	107	53¢	$57	0x535886…
08-02 13:41:53	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x005d38…
08-02 13:41:50	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x919adb…
08-02 13:38:20	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfbc30c…
08-02 13:35:27	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x7fc45b…
07-31 22:28:20	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 15 20260710184334566	No	SELL	500	31¢	$156	0xb8bda7…
07-27 21:50:43	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	432	44¢	$190	0x5cca1c…
07-25 10:44:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	1,087	22¢	$239	0x17a907…
07-23 22:47:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	1,087	46¢	$500	0x65dedb…
07-20 22:25:45	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	1,083	8¢	$84	0xa49ae5…
07-20 13:57:46	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	1,083	28¢	$300	0x3e052d…
07-19 10:52:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$47	0x42266c…
07-15 09:59:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x26f188…
07-15 09:50:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x6d9d81…
07-14 21:15:08	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	1,250	63¢	$788	0x7de165…
07-14 10:40:37	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	1,812	27¢	$489	0xbc1853…
07-14 10:38:41	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x61f406…
07-14 10:38:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	135	27¢	$36	0x750cb8…
07-14 10:35:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x8b8e2b…
07-13 19:45:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	1,952	26¢	$507	0xafa3e6…
07-12 02:31:32	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	622	40¢	$249	0x6646fe…
07-12 02:31:01	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x72117d…
07-11 23:49:17	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x7dfa84…
07-11 23:49:13	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x38cd92…
07-11 23:47:35	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	353	40¢	$141	0x36c64b…
07-09 16:55:01	wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	1,467	34¢	$500	0xaae730…
07-08 09:29:53	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	3,903	26¢	$1,000	0xfe613c…
07-08 08:03:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	11,574	0¢	$50	0xd7ce04…
07-07 08:35:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x84eb68…