Crazy-Secretary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

+$166

Hit rate

11.2%

Resolved

Trades

622

lifetime

Volume

$53.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-20 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

43% 33% $-89

Politics

42% — —

Tech

15% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No		-147	$-166	0¢	$-0	+$166	06-09 23:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	42	$11.8K	8,251	11,345	-3,094	open	—	06-25 12:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$6.5K	4,473	4,473	-0	open	—	06-19 22:21
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	28	$4.5K	11,575	11,574	+0	open	—	07-08 08:03
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$2.2K	1,613	3,013	-1,400	open	—	06-27 09:20
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	21	$2.1K	2,576	2,965	-389	open	—	06-05 23:03
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	6	$2.0K	3,903	3,903	+0	open	—	07-14 10:40
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	6	$1.3K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	07-14 21:15
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	62	$1.2K	4,268	0	+4,268	open	—	06-13 16:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	886	886	+0	open	—	05-29 06:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$795	1,020	1,556	-536	open	—	05-26 08:03
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	4	$775	2,028	228	+1,800	open	—	06-08 02:40
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$739	819	819	+0	open	—	05-12 16:48
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	8	$665	506	502	+4	open	—	05-25 08:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$665	0	700	-700	open	—	06-22 07:49
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	6	$642	900	900	+0	open	—	06-11 17:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$578	661	661	+0	open	—	06-11 20:35
will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	2	$523	725	725	+0	open	—	06-09 16:40
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	2	$517	695	695	+0	open	—	06-09 16:40
will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	3	$508	400	400	+0	open	—	06-07 16:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	3	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-12 19:58
wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	1	$500	1,467	0	+1,467	open	—	07-09 16:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$464	408	408	+0	open	—	06-11 17:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$427	0	547	-547	open	—	05-28 15:01
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	2	$419	220	220	+0	open	—	04-21 23:51
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$404	353	353	+0	open	—	06-11 17:57
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	2	$403	339	339	+0	open	—	06-04 08:49
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	2	$384	1,083	1,083	+0	open	—	07-20 22:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$382	256	256	+0	open	—	04-06 09:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$364	165	312	-147	open	—	06-09 23:26
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	12	$349	465	465	+0	open	—	06-04 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 22:25:45	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	1,083	8¢	$84	0xa49ae5…
07-20 13:57:46	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	1,083	28¢	$300	0x3e052d…
07-19 10:52:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$47	0x42266c…
07-15 09:59:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x26f188…
07-15 09:50:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x6d9d81…
07-14 21:15:08	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	1,250	63¢	$788	0x7de165…
07-14 10:40:37	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	1,812	27¢	$489	0xbc1853…
07-14 10:38:41	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x61f406…
07-14 10:38:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	135	27¢	$36	0x750cb8…
07-14 10:35:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x8b8e2b…
07-13 19:45:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	1,952	26¢	$507	0xafa3e6…
07-12 02:31:32	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	622	40¢	$249	0x6646fe…
07-12 02:31:01	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x72117d…
07-11 23:49:17	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x7dfa84…
07-11 23:49:13	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x38cd92…
07-11 23:47:35	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	353	40¢	$141	0x36c64b…
07-09 16:55:01	wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	1,467	34¢	$500	0xaae730…
07-08 09:29:53	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	3,903	26¢	$1,000	0xfe613c…
07-08 08:03:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	11,574	0¢	$50	0xd7ce04…
07-07 08:35:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x84eb68…
07-07 00:13:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	149	20¢	$29	0xdb534a…
07-06 21:36:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	61	20¢	$12	0x6acd38…
07-06 21:36:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x33e4c8…
07-06 21:34:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0xee54b3…
07-06 21:33:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x823c99…
07-06 21:27:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x7f2ec9…
07-06 21:23:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xef1e57…
07-06 20:52:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	1,595	20¢	$319	0x303e7a…
07-06 17:51:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	179	18¢	$32	0x76b9b7…
07-06 17:44:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	228	18¢	$41	0x06f53c…
07-06 17:30:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	145	18¢	$26	0xd8a30b…
07-06 00:03:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	3,000	30¢	$900	0xafdced…
06-29 18:43:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	330	48¢	$158	0x4be751…
06-29 11:28:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x85018a…
06-29 11:28:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xa44eae…
06-29 11:25:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0xbbb13c…
06-29 11:25:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	362	43¢	$156	0x1d0571…
06-29 10:47:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x78bb47…
06-29 10:17:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x1b92b2…
06-27 18:07:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	3,061	53¢	$1,630	0x4da6e6…
06-27 10:07:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd0a1bc…
06-27 10:05:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe4516c…
06-27 09:38:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	49	50¢	$25	0x56596f…
06-27 09:20:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,613	36¢	$584	0x7de5a8…
06-26 14:03:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1e04be…
06-26 13:48:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xdbae11…
06-26 11:29:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0x70e200…
06-26 11:24:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0xf23387…
06-26 06:00:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xfc57a6…
06-25 12:45:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6,147	90¢	$5,505	0xf07c5b…
06-24 23:45:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	147	16¢	$24	0xb815be…
06-23 16:56:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xece9fe…
06-23 16:56:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x304212…
06-23 16:51:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0xb76e9f…
06-23 16:47:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	52	47¢	$24	0x742323…
06-23 16:47:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x062fdb…
06-23 16:46:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	191	47¢	$90	0x427d46…
06-23 16:45:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x2011cd…
06-23 15:16:20	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	462	41¢	$189	0xea0a13…
06-23 15:12:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1bb59f…
06-23 15:12:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	328	41¢	$134	0xd8127f…
06-23 15:11:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	110	42¢	$46	0x7f1bd4…
06-23 15:10:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	160	42¢	$67	0x9062e4…
06-23 13:39:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0xd10040…
06-23 13:38:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x261a76…
06-23 13:37:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	78	48¢	$37	0xa14c76…
06-22 09:41:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0xebaa57…
06-22 07:49:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	700	95¢	$665	0x604aa6…
06-22 07:44:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3ef619…
06-22 07:41:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	800	51¢	$408	0x4fc8d4…
06-21 16:36:19	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,023	49¢	$500	0x7e8162…
06-21 16:32:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,092	48¢	$1,000	0x60bfd4…
06-21 16:15:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	700	82¢	$574	0x77e210…
06-21 16:15:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,000	53¢	$530	0x03296d…
06-21 12:59:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,000	52¢	$520	0x328ec2…
06-21 12:39:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	267	55¢	$147	0x6c3196…
06-21 12:22:49	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x3b52fd…
06-21 11:16:02	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x85ba3f…
06-21 10:51:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x93872a…
06-20 12:39:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0xc04008…
06-20 12:33:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	600	51¢	$306	0xf3fd5a…
06-20 11:28:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	700	13¢	$91	0x0bd4fc…
06-19 22:21:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	4,473	95¢	$4,249	0x385972…
06-19 14:39:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	772	57¢	$440	0x20b461…
06-19 14:28:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	355	43¢	$154	0xcd0bb9…
06-19 13:38:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	630	46¢	$287	0x1892ba…
06-19 11:11:53	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	980	46¢	$451	0x0c64b2…
06-19 11:01:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x43d199…
06-19 10:57:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	665	46¢	$303	0x6d42dd…
06-19 09:31:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x7f80ee…
06-19 08:38:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	682	44¢	$300	0xb98e07…
06-19 07:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x581c54…
06-19 06:47:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb89d29…
06-18 22:32:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xfe3da7…
06-18 18:40:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	330	41¢	$135	0x253399…
06-18 00:35:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xefa0c9…
06-18 00:33:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xb22e77…
06-18 00:20:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	145	31¢	$45	0x8582a8…
06-18 00:13:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	252	31¢	$78	0xf3e326…
06-16 12:21:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	188	60¢	$113	0x4e2bbd…