Fancy-Temperature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$645

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

476

Trades

759

lifetime

Volume

$7.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 11-04 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Politics

60% 96% +$632

Other

22% 90% +$11

Crypto

19% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	70	$2.2K	156,958	156,958	+0	No	+$157	04-19 17:11
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	54	$755	79,364	79,364	+0	No	+$146	04-13 13:25
will mira cjl win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	18	$550	27,574	27,574	+0	No	+$70	03-31 08:55
will cr win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	24	$423	41,167	41,167	+0	No	+$68	04-02 05:46
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	14	$414	138,008	138,008	+0	No	+$138	04-30 08:23
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 560 579	8	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	02-27 04:11
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	02-27 04:13
will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	10	$111	29,520	29,520	+0	No	+$52	03-13 09:32
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 560 579	8	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	02-23 06:32
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	6	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	02-20 10:17
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 440 459	6	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	02-26 05:34
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$2	03-09 10:00
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 180 199	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-19 05:32
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 120 139	4	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-13 14:28
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	03-04 02:47
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	2	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	03-17 08:19
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	16	$24	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$0	02-12 10:37
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 165 189	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-11 13:57
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 140 159	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-13 14:48
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-03 06:30
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-13 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	5	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 13:33
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 05:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$18	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-27 15:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	05-04 06:21
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	3	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	03-23 08:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	3	$16	10	10	+0	No	-$2	04-27 10:43
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$3	03-31 07:58
Will CZ post 200+ posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-03 06:11
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$15	10	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-07 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:51:10	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12b99c…
11-04 22:51:04	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e72e7…
11-04 22:51:00	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e2251…
11-04 22:50:52	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c13de…
11-04 22:50:43	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19d5e8…
11-04 22:50:37	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dff6c…
11-04 22:50:31	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65cf75…
11-04 22:49:58	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x994d36…
11-02 21:19:55	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa403d1…
11-02 21:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3ca42…
10-31 21:36:30	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc188d…
10-31 21:35:54	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69b1fd…
10-31 21:35:28	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75357d…
10-30 20:01:03	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1647ed…
10-30 20:00:55	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41ca3a…
10-30 20:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x19c0a2…
10-30 20:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffc2f0…
10-30 19:59:55	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa2f3e9…
10-30 19:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x46647a…
10-30 19:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2a92a…
10-26 21:18:27	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38dd1b…
10-26 21:18:20	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41a7ad…
10-26 21:18:12	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69592e…
10-24 21:35:44	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2961b5…
10-24 21:35:38	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x307e79…
10-24 21:35:29	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e1168…
10-24 21:35:23	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf8936…
10-24 21:35:15	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16c408…
10-24 21:35:03	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x063725…
10-23 21:21:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2629d…
10-23 21:21:23	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf37d65…
10-23 21:21:15	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a101f…
10-23 21:21:08	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9debf2…
10-23 21:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4db7c1…
10-23 21:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe626e8…
10-23 21:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1bd60…
10-17 01:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfec484…
10-17 01:14:05	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f8143…
10-17 01:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x852a8c…
10-17 01:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd85932…
10-17 01:13:09	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f74df…
10-17 01:13:00	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf92a81…
10-17 01:12:42	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed6f1c…
10-17 01:12:32	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30cd1e…
10-17 01:12:23	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf43c32…
10-17 01:12:08	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7a1c1…
10-17 01:11:51	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0edddd…
10-14 10:18:20	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5caf12…
10-14 10:18:11	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6ef5f…
10-14 10:18:02	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98e8ba…
10-14 10:17:55	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdfa1e…
10-14 10:17:49	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7eed3…
10-14 10:17:40	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4afa0…
10-14 10:17:32	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2af524…
10-12 19:15:42	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5275d2…
10-12 19:14:56	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x339cc5…
10-12 19:14:38	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9856a…
10-11 03:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0db8e…
10-11 03:29:11	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1ed45…
10-11 03:29:05	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4138b…
10-11 03:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x402a16…
10-09 20:50:47	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41ccac…
10-09 20:50:37	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e2d41…
10-09 20:50:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2888cc…
10-09 20:50:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x61ed83…
10-09 20:49:59	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x650461…
10-08 22:28:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xaebd82…
10-08 22:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x15d89f…
10-08 22:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xec28a4…
10-08 22:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x6a028a…
10-08 22:23:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb98ea4…
10-08 19:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46ea96…
10-07 08:26:00	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a7376…
10-07 08:24:20	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99bb20…
10-07 08:23:50	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3fa38f…
10-07 08:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02b92d…
10-07 08:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c0e5e…
10-07 08:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05b9b3…
10-07 08:22:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8dbce2…
10-04 07:19:14	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a59bf…
10-04 07:19:05	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadf5df…
10-04 07:18:38	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc4dfb…
10-04 07:18:26	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe9dd9…
10-04 07:18:13	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4fcb0…
10-04 07:18:04	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74c5e9…
09-30 07:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06bea8…
09-30 07:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f39c5…
09-29 05:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc41c82…
09-29 05:27:47	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6d27c…
09-29 05:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x153c53…
09-29 05:26:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4916f…
09-29 05:26:05	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x196cca…
09-29 05:25:54	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa5944…
09-29 05:25:44	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb788a9…
09-29 05:25:35	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d09a1…
09-29 05:25:24	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c7952…
09-29 05:25:15	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc695d9…
09-21 17:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x158fb0…
09-21 17:02:23	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd1dad…
09-21 17:01:56	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73dc70…