Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-29 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

73% 50% -$12

Other

20% 44% -$7

Sports

7% 75% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes		+18	$15	84¢	$15	+$0	10-29 12:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$676	530	500	+30	Yes	+$14	10-25 23:35
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	3	$63	100	100	+0	open	—	10-29 12:06
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	3	$51	73	15	+58	open	—	10-29 01:52
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$36	66	66	+0	No	+$10	07-01 17:44
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	3	$25	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	03-26 21:28
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$19	15	10	+5	No	+$1	03-20 12:04
bra fla cre 2026 03 19 fla	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	03-20 00:08
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	10-29 12:15
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	1	$15	37	0	+37	No	-$15	09-29 02:50
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	1	$12	13	0	+13	Yes	+$1	06-22 19:49
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$10	0	13	-13	Yes	-$3	05-16 11:57
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-20 08:09
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	1	$9	101	0	+101	open	—	10-29 01:53
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 tot	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	03-18 21:11
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$7	15	0	+15	No	-$7	09-29 02:51
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	2	$5	8	8	+0	No	$0	03-19 11:23
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$5	200	0	+200	No	-$5	05-18 16:16
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	05-19 20:05
bra cor1 pal 2026 04 12 pal	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	04-09 15:36
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	1	$4	20	0	+20	No	-$4	03-18 16:01
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 20	2	$3	10	10	+0	No	-$3	03-20 14:13
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	03-18 16:35
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nor	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	03-23 15:35
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	10-29 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:15:16	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x341d61…
10-29 12:13:47	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xaaa8c9…
10-29 12:06:01	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x21e3ff…
10-29 01:53:23	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	BUY	101	9¢	$9	0x7e9adb…
10-29 01:52:46	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	No	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xca2a0e…
10-28 01:27:09	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	No	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xc8aeb2…
10-27 15:55:20	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0x454b0c…
10-27 14:57:03	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	No	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0xfb0cb8…
10-27 14:24:27	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x054896…
10-25 23:35:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	71	95¢	$67	0xc18a97…
10-25 22:39:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	380	68¢	$259	0x49abe6…
10-25 22:35:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	66¢	$330	0x15bc8a…
10-15 17:03:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0x006043…
09-29 02:51:50	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xd8dc89…
09-29 02:50:48	Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xf3ea31…
07-01 17:44:20	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	66	35¢	$23	0x63a81a…
06-23 03:28:07	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	66	20¢	$13	0xf9762b…
06-22 19:49:16	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x984c88…
05-19 20:05:56	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x531af3…
05-18 16:16:42	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x9e2379…
05-16 11:57:58	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x4c2eb1…
04-09 15:36:39	bra cor1 pal 2026 04 12 pal	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x058233…
03-26 21:28:43	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	SELL	27	50¢	$13	0x67d05b…
03-23 15:35:49	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x8fce5a…
03-23 15:35:13	fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nor	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x32fe16…
03-21 10:07:01	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xb8c9fb…
03-20 14:13:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 20	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x02a583…
03-20 12:04:09	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb95adb…
03-20 08:09:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x24404d…
03-20 00:08:47	bra fla cre 2026 03 19 fla	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xf72220…
03-19 23:09:17	bra fla cre 2026 03 19 fla	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x120229…
03-19 23:03:39	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x278332…
03-19 11:23:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x64a2c4…
03-18 23:13:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x4c643e…
03-18 23:05:19	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 20	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x9f46b4…
03-18 21:11:23	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 tot	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x65e7fb…
03-18 19:40:53	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb7ba3b…
03-18 19:36:39	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 tot	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe796f8…
03-18 19:32:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x4bb546…
03-18 16:35:55	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe3161a…
03-18 16:01:11	no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x883898…