Lively-Tile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

1,086

Trades

2,648

lifetime

Volume

$7.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-09 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

60% 15% +$351

Crypto

34% 17% -$309

Politics

6% 11% -$164

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	9	$999	1,661	1,661	+0	No	+$973	03-10 15:49
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	7	$622	1,167	1,167	+0	No	+$570	02-06 08:51
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	11	$250	150,329	0	+150,329	No	-$250	02-10 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 06:30 UTC	3	$188	191	191	+0	Up	+$186	02-02 06:43
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	5	$172	228	228	+0	Yes	+$122	02-06 02:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:15 UTC	3	$154	205	205	+1	Down	+$94	02-04 05:27
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	3	$104	409	5	+404	No	-$100	02-10 09:55
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	12	$75	13,113	8,000	+5,113	No	-$11	04-03 02:45
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	15	$67	4,212	4,212	+0	No	+$20	03-12 17:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:00 UTC	7	$58	644	250	+394	Up	-$8	02-05 07:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:00 UTC	2	$56	130	130	+1	Up	+$16	02-03 13:09
solana up or down february 6 2am et	2	$51	68	68	+0	Up	+$31	02-06 07:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:15 UTC	2	$48	140	0	+140	Down	-$2	02-05 15:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 13:00 UTC	3	$46	499	0	+499	Down	-$46	02-04 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 11:15 UTC	3	$45	1,178	0	+1,178	Down	-$45	02-03 11:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 11:30 UTC	10	$40	1,770	17	+1,753	Up	-$17	02-05 11:43
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	13	$37	4,933	3,433	+1,500	No	-$11	03-16 23:37
bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	4	$36	1,145	45	+1,100	Down	+$4	02-05 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:50 UTC	1	$36	111	0	+111	Up	-$36	02-15 10:55
will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	8	$35	488	212	+275	No	+$1	03-11 01:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	10	$34	271	271	+0	No	+$6	03-28 09:53
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	6	$32	26	26	+0	Yes	+$19	05-09 14:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 02:15 UTC	4	$32	847	0	+847	Up	-$32	02-03 02:25
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	11	$30	9,167	7,167	+2,000	No	-$12	03-14 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 08:30 UTC	6	$30	88	41	+47	Down	+$57	02-07 08:45
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	4	$28	142	142	+0	No	+$24	03-29 21:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	3	$28	35	35	+0	Yes	+$22	03-26 05:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:00 UTC	9	$28	398	15	+383	Up	-$14	02-08 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 02:00 UTC	3	$28	1,660	0	+1,660	Down	-$28	02-03 02:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:30 UTC	4	$27	1,544	0	+1,544	Down	-$27	02-05 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 02:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x5f7554…
10-09 02:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xd1fdf2…
10-08 11:38:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 174 and 176 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x27aedb…
10-08 11:37:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x42be46…
10-08 11:36:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,145	0¢	$3	0x2b549e…
10-08 11:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x16403d…
10-08 11:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x73bc36…
10-08 11:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x641f99…
10-08 11:20:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,350	0¢	$1	0x530633…
10-08 11:18:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x216acb…
10-08 11:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68b9d4…
10-08 09:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xa076f8…
10-08 09:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x7c8a05…
10-08 09:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09eb74…
10-08 09:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x76725b…
10-08 09:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3a17c2…
10-08 09:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb62717…
10-08 08:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd68aef…
10-08 08:24:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 172 and 174 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x614a3a…
10-08 08:24:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 174 and 176 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xa01cc4…
10-08 07:26:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 174 and 176 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xf6e322…
10-08 07:07:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	1¢	$2	0x6fb8d0…
10-08 07:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,145	0¢	$1	0x62b706…
10-08 07:06:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	594	0¢	$1	0xde0c60…
10-08 07:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	785	0¢	$1	0xf92a66…
10-08 06:48:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	1¢	$2	0xcf773c…
10-08 06:47:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	594	0¢	$2	0x92b3be…
10-08 06:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	955	0¢	$2	0x2d9916…
10-08 06:43:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$2	0x90c5c3…
10-08 06:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc6518b…
10-08 06:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	468	0¢	$2	0xbe5f85…
10-08 06:41:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xa70f0b…
10-08 06:41:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	835	0¢	$2	0xd5ea66…
10-08 01:29:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 172 and 174 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3b27e7…
10-07 01:51:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x8cbafa…
10-07 01:50:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x76290d…
10-07 01:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x35610b…
10-06 12:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x924a23…
10-06 07:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5292f7…
10-06 05:31:36	Will MrBeast's next video get 125 million or more views on day 3?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xce8afb…
10-06 05:31:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xd11582…
10-06 05:27:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	711	0¢	$1	0xcf5343…
10-06 01:53:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0x551486…
10-06 01:52:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x7101e1…
10-05 12:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8e266d…
10-05 11:41:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa79138…
10-05 11:41:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2ca88e…
10-05 10:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9a92a…
10-05 10:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb42443…
10-05 10:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfbe587…
10-05 10:10:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x954a74…
10-05 08:39:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xcf059e…
10-05 08:39:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x672adc…
10-05 08:38:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x695b2a…
10-05 08:38:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1a5c72…
10-05 08:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcb8917…
10-05 08:08:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x5f6db2…
10-05 05:12:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xc14586…
10-05 05:11:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x201457…
10-05 05:08:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x667470…
10-05 05:08:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x23d991…
10-05 01:49:19	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	SELL	235	0¢	$0	0x3ba4ee…
10-05 01:48:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 88 and 92 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	1,210	0¢	$1	0x28ca5b…
10-05 01:47:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1101c2…
10-05 01:47:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 88 and 92 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5f8938…
10-04 06:12:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x91a91a…
10-04 06:11:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x16f2db…
10-04 05:03:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x14ed6d…
10-04 02:56:25	Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0x4c8a3e…
10-04 02:51:46	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	235	0¢	$1	0x12eb6e…
10-04 02:49:37	Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$1	0x23be86…
10-04 02:48:02	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xc5c70c…
10-04 02:47:53	Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x268265…
10-04 01:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xed6d5e…
10-04 01:44:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xb0b46d…
10-04 01:39:35	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 5	No	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x583912…
10-04 01:39:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0xc47474…
10-04 01:38:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x7cc671…
10-03 16:16:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x897a3c…
10-03 16:10:32	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 5	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9893e9…
10-03 16:08:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x80f116…
10-03 16:08:23	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2de206…
06-20 03:52:31	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xaf72fb…
06-19 19:22:07	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2cc2d0…
06-19 19:21:44	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x78e5d6…
06-19 16:18:17	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xd0c0b1…
06-19 16:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1b173b…
06-19 15:58:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfd77b8…
06-19 15:54:47	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0xa4e4c9…
06-19 15:52:05	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x029032…
06-19 13:38:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0xec7d95…
06-19 13:37:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xd2b9db…
06-19 13:37:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x3f918d…
06-18 23:33:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53.5 and 54 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x2d7e73…
06-18 23:32:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4e176c…
06-18 23:32:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53.5 and 54 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9fd835…
06-18 23:31:04	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc4558b…
06-18 17:45:44	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x59df80…
06-18 16:36:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53.5 and 54 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c7d5e…
06-18 16:36:01	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x21749a…