Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

783

Trades

1,478

lifetime

Volume

$5.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

10 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-02 04:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

67% 56% -$94

Sports

27% 66% -$58

Politics

5% 64% $0

Tech

1% 33% $0

Crypto

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+11	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	06-23 15:14
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	56¢	$0	-$1	10-01 03:05
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	+0	$1	72¢	$0	-$1	09-30 10:35
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+0	$1	56¢	$0	-$1	09-30 23:52
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	+0	$1	72¢	$0	-$1	09-24 09:50
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	09-30 22:01
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-16 11:15
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	+0	$0	70¢	$0	$0	09-25 22:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+0	$0	66¢	$0	$0	09-30 20:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	42¢	$0	$0	09-29 02:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	64	$85	72	72	+0	open	—	10-01 03:05
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	39	$84	56	56	+0	open	—	09-30 10:35
atp blan kaouk 2026 06 30	4	$49	76	47	+30	Mickael Kaouk	+$36	06-29 13:45
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	28	$49	41	41	+0	open	—	09-30 23:52
wta ostapen dart 2026 06 29	2	$39	67	67	+0	Jelena Ostapenko	+$27	06-29 13:54
mlb mil pit 2026 07 10	8	$35	45	7	+37	Pittsburgh Pirates	-$16	07-11 18:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	7	$32	28	26	+2	Spain	+$1	07-14 20:19
atp sinner kecmano 2026 06 29 first set winner Sinner vs Kecmanovic	3	$27	34	17	+17	Kecmanovic	+$17	06-29 13:30
mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28	2	$24	48	0	+48	Boston Red Sox	$0	06-28 23:23
cricmlc los sea 2026 06 28	2	$24	48	0	+48	Seattle Orcas	-$3	06-29 00:33
mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28 total 8pt5	2	$24	51	0	+51	Over	+$9	06-28 23:27
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	4	$24	67	0	+67	Under	-$8	06-29 17:02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	20	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	10-01 10:15
val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	3	$22	20	10	+10	Barça eSports	-$2	06-29 17:19
ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	5	$22	30	0	+30	Jose Miguel Delgado	-$14	07-18 23:59
mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28 spread home 1pt5	2	$21	34	0	+34	New York Yankees	-$8	06-29 00:28
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	14	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	09-24 09:50
val mdr bjk 2026 06 29	3	$21	30	9	+21	Mandatory	-$3	06-29 17:19
mlb col lad 2026 07 08	4	$20	30	0	+30	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$3	07-09 04:26
ufc jea2 seo1 2026 07 18	4	$20	26	0	+26	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	-$1	07-18 23:32
mlb kc nym 2026 07 09	4	$20	25	0	+25	New York Mets	-$4	07-09 19:13
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	6	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	09-02 16:34
cs2 mibra pdaf 2026 06 28	2	$18	44	0	+44	Patins da Ferrari	+$2	06-28 23:25
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	10	$17	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 11:13
nbasl nyk det 2026 07 13	4	$16	23	0	+23	New York Knicks	+$1	07-13 21:42
mlb wsh phi 2026 08 03	4	$16	21	0	+21	Philadelphia Phillies	-$16	08-04 00:35
wta udvardy lys 2026 08 03	4	$16	16	0	+16	Panna Udvardy	-$16	08-03 23:59
nbasl uta por 2026 07 17	4	$16	25	0	+25	Utah Jazz	+$6	07-18 03:42
mlb bos lad 2026 08 02	5	$15	18	7	+10	Boston Red Sox	+$1	08-03 01:51
itf yuan naklo 2026 08 16	4	$15	9	9	+1	Chengyiyi Yuan	$0	08-16 05:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 04:30:00	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xe1d299…
10-01 23:32:11	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb74c46…
10-01 22:19:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x9028e4…
10-01 17:35:47	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x02c0c6…
10-01 14:51:35	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xac5f8b…
10-01 13:42:29	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x72cf53…
10-01 13:42:20	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe72cbc…
10-01 13:32:33	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x90c7e0…
10-01 13:22:18	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x4c1d59…
10-01 13:16:30	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x11e859…
10-01 12:59:08	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4a451a…
10-01 12:41:02	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd12f9f…
10-01 10:15:36	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x5e9685…
10-01 10:08:42	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xdacd6b…
10-01 07:09:59	will indiana enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa52f9e…
10-01 06:29:33	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x29b34c…
10-01 06:29:06	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x783ccb…
10-01 05:44:45	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0997fd…
10-01 05:44:36	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3f8954…
10-01 05:43:45	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe38ed3…
10-01 05:43:24	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xcf3f0a…
10-01 05:07:42	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa1e0c5…
10-01 05:07:20	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x5d763f…
10-01 04:38:35	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x235117…
10-01 04:38:24	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xe17084…
10-01 04:28:42	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2cb04d…
10-01 04:28:38	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x4cc17b…
10-01 03:28:54	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x556b56…
10-01 03:05:17	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x81ac30…
10-01 01:16:27	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xda02a5…
10-01 01:11:24	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd3118e…
10-01 01:11:02	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x9af295…
10-01 01:03:42	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xed3a06…
10-01 00:23:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xb2c181…
09-30 23:52:39	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe7fab9…
09-30 23:09:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xb5d05a…
09-30 23:08:33	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x0cd315…
09-30 23:08:24	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xd97f3d…
09-30 23:07:17	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xd03901…
09-30 23:07:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x0c720c…
09-30 23:06:17	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x858a5f…
09-30 23:06:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x075c49…
09-30 22:36:48	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x29e0b4…
09-30 22:36:14	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe46124…
09-30 22:01:35	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x338864…
09-30 20:49:23	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0e85dd…
09-30 20:49:11	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xf126c9…
09-30 20:41:02	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa400d5…
09-30 20:40:36	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe76c4c…
09-30 20:36:15	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d343b…
09-30 20:29:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xe0884a…
09-30 19:54:42	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x098036…
09-30 19:48:05	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x8fc2c9…
09-30 18:43:26	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1ef2bd…
09-30 18:42:57	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x4e412f…
09-30 17:54:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa37c2a…
09-30 17:04:53	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x3be2c6…
09-30 16:46:35	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x4a5f0a…
09-30 15:57:54	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x147c03…
09-30 15:57:33	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x2e2e63…
09-30 13:54:27	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4e0350…
09-30 11:09:45	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd5e106…
09-30 11:09:42	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xcefac5…
09-30 10:35:21	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x6d22e5…
09-30 10:07:08	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x643c4b…
09-30 09:53:50	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5f3561…
09-30 09:24:35	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa51127…
09-30 08:44:05	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2c88ea…
09-30 08:43:33	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xd21e3b…
09-30 07:53:00	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa6ce0a…
09-30 07:29:48	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc37ca6…
09-30 07:29:35	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa8262e…
09-30 07:29:27	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf13bb2…
09-30 07:22:51	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc6b63d…
09-30 07:22:38	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x897cbf…
09-30 06:32:00	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x80035a…
09-30 06:18:48	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc45911…
09-30 04:15:42	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x7c5014…
09-30 03:56:38	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x834aa4…
09-30 03:56:11	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4812d7…
09-30 03:11:45	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xdc9662…
09-30 03:11:17	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x757be2…
09-30 02:59:30	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xef5b3f…
09-30 01:30:38	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xad15ed…
09-30 01:30:26	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x49f739…
09-30 01:18:09	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x60c91f…
09-30 01:17:57	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x285422…
09-30 01:01:53	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x18c71b…
09-30 01:01:24	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x74c59a…
09-30 00:23:35	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xf8dae5…
09-30 00:23:08	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xd91e70…
09-30 00:14:05	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xdc6cb2…
09-30 00:13:36	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xe442dc…
09-29 23:31:09	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x159523…
09-29 23:08:42	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xae4a4e…
09-29 23:08:15	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x35238e…
09-29 22:38:14	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x6d0d85…
09-29 19:40:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x49326b…
09-29 18:58:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5a03d6…
09-29 18:51:06	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xaf3090…