Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$2.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$176
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 07-02 19:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68%
Other
31%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? No -53 $-49 95¢ $-50 $-1 06-12 10:54
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +235 $40 12¢ $29 $-11 06-13 22:26
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +31 $20 74¢ $23 +$3 06-02 09:45
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? No -25 $-22 86¢ $-22 +$0 07-01 09:35
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -22 $-21 94¢ $-21 $-0 07-01 09:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -18 $-15 88¢ $-15 $-1 06-14 04:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +56 $10 28¢ $15 +$5 06-30 15:57