Nimble-Ad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.8%

Resolved

Trades

589

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-21 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

51% 17% +$0

Other

36% 0% $-12

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

6% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$91	2,685	85	+2,600	open	—	07-08 13:54
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	7	$85	430	430	+0	open	—	07-14 21:16
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	3	$85	74	74	+0	open	—	05-29 05:56
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	11	$36	1,552	30	+1,522	open	—	07-01 06:09
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	2	$35	40	30	+10	open	—	05-23 16:51
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	2	$35	12	32	-20	open	—	02-15 17:24
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	9	$35	150	110	+40	open	—	04-29 16:01
dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 spread away 1pt5	2	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	04-22 20:40
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	6	$33	302	302	+0	open	—	07-20 20:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$32	180	100	+80	open	—	05-10 11:24
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$31	11	101	-90	open	—	02-19 07:47
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	07-17 14:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 19	3	$28	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 15:33
epl bou lee 2026 04 22 btts	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 20:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 18:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$23	30	30	-0	open	—	06-19 02:35
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	2	$22	120	120	+0	open	—	07-10 15:49
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	02-19 07:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$20	270	270	+0	open	—	06-03 16:47
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	02-19 07:47
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	1	$20	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-16 13:49
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 06:38
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-20 09:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	06-15 07:42
will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	2	$19	0	25	-25	open	—	06-17 21:47
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$16	99	50	+50	open	—	02-06 14:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$15	140	40	+100	open	—	05-31 15:18
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$15	55	35	+20	open	—	03-12 21:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	16	$14	13,800	0	+13,800	open	—	04-20 17:27
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	3	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	04-14 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:43:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x73220b…
07-20 20:00:00	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x9905fc…
07-20 19:08:09	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x98099f…
07-20 17:07:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x200f7a…
07-20 16:43:07	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	SELL	202	6¢	$12	0x75c620…
07-20 09:09:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$2	0xbf3bd3…
07-20 06:30:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xb0c697…
07-19 16:52:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 16	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x577852…
07-19 15:37:57	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xe6762a…
07-19 15:34:58	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x0fea4d…
07-19 03:40:43	iran successfully targets shipping on july 16	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x52687b…
07-18 17:54:30	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0x60c5c0…
07-18 16:30:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x79064e…
07-18 14:07:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6fc899…
07-17 14:10:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x64e578…
07-16 23:29:32	will ethereum reach 2100 july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xd98586…
07-16 17:46:04	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x28e269…
07-15 00:14:56	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	Yes	SELL	140	4¢	$5	0xdfc555…
07-14 21:18:07	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x165ab4…
07-14 21:16:43	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xda80f9…
07-13 23:04:55	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0xf5fa8d…
07-13 20:38:23	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xa331b5…
07-11 23:44:35	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	215	11¢	$23	0x91d73f…
07-11 23:22:16	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x88af94…
07-11 12:16:22	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xe83a6e…
07-11 11:33:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0x0c0729…
07-10 17:59:49	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x8d1e78…
07-10 15:49:37	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	Yes	SELL	120	9¢	$11	0x3f0863…
07-10 15:47:02	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	Yes	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0xaff9f6…
07-10 15:32:40	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x29dbc4…
07-10 15:32:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	180	13¢	$24	0x98edbc…
07-10 15:21:37	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa193ae…
07-10 14:59:37	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xdf8f36…
07-10 14:52:02	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x92a2ed…
07-10 14:45:14	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc8678b…
07-08 22:14:14	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$4	0xe3974b…
07-08 22:05:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xc34557…
07-08 13:54:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x295398…
07-07 23:27:43	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xf697e7…
07-07 21:42:58	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x17c0e7…
07-07 21:42:50	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x086c9c…
07-07 21:40:22	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x901bda…
07-07 21:39:38	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	32	2¢	$0	0x087c1b…
07-07 21:21:29	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x9af74e…
07-07 21:12:23	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x190547…
07-07 21:10:46	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x6c9ad8…
07-07 21:00:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa7a815…
07-07 20:40:14	wti closes above 74 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x70abd5…
07-07 19:45:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,600	0¢	$3	0x1c6820…
07-07 19:31:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x4d583b…
07-07 18:45:56	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x25ec3f…
07-07 18:30:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0a5966…
07-07 18:07:46	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3d4ef0…
07-07 17:53:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x4b6252…
07-06 21:45:10	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	191	0¢	$1	0xbaf3e8…
07-06 21:07:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe5a4d6…
07-06 21:05:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x7d5e04…
07-06 21:05:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x07f4ea…
07-06 18:16:16	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xeca26b…
07-05 07:26:52	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4db9b7…
07-03 23:27:07	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x60629f…
07-03 18:38:47	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x400319…
07-03 18:38:47	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x06d848…
07-03 18:38:46	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x99ca93…
07-01 06:09:19	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0ab25a…
06-28 02:40:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe429fb…
06-27 10:26:04	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xdbe0ee…
06-26 21:23:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x060387…
06-26 20:47:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x523484…
06-26 18:36:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xe38f90…
06-26 18:07:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x56599b…
06-26 17:30:11	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x33df39…
06-26 17:30:10	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	3¢	$1	0xf06422…
06-26 15:51:46	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x6bc0f4…
06-26 09:19:47	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3018f2…
06-25 22:54:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7aac11…
06-25 21:21:16	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x66e69a…
06-25 20:33:07	btc updown 5m 1782419400	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x7603cd…
06-25 20:32:44	btc updown 5m 1782419400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x46e19f…
06-25 15:48:17	will qatar be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522911	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xb4f4dc…
06-25 07:46:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xde9b5f…
06-24 15:47:22	btc updown 5m 1782315900	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x79aff5…
06-24 15:47:22	btc updown 5m 1782315900	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x74b7b9…
06-24 15:47:22	btc updown 5m 1782315900	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x55577a…
06-24 15:47:22	btc updown 5m 1782315900	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x030429…
06-24 15:38:28	btc updown 5m 1782315300	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x64a88d…
06-24 15:38:28	btc updown 5m 1782315300	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x468779…
06-24 15:38:28	btc updown 5m 1782315300	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x270f4d…
06-24 15:38:28	btc updown 5m 1782315300	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x0f3315…
06-24 15:38:26	btc updown 5m 1782315300	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf1b001…
06-24 15:38:26	btc updown 5m 1782315300	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x704a59…
06-24 15:38:26	btc updown 5m 1782315300	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x69c2d5…
06-24 15:34:11	btc updown 5m 1782315000	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x9457dd…
06-24 15:33:52	btc updown 5m 1782315000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x721729…
06-24 15:22:47	btc updown 5m 1782314400	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x961bed…
06-24 15:18:37	btc updown 5m 1782314100	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0f8388…
06-24 13:02:31	btc updown 5m 1782306000	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9b223c…
06-24 13:01:22	btc updown 5m 1782306000	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf5b25d…
06-24 13:00:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf3da7a…
06-24 12:42:07	btc updown 5m 1782304800	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x35a86c…