Ignorant-Dialect-Defendant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

106

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$457

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 07-01 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 51% +$14

Other

21% 23% -$37

Politics

18% 57% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$3	06-01 10:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$19	19	15	+4	Yes	+$3	06-04 21:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$3	07-01 14:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	06-04 18:55
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$15	66	0	+66	Yes	-$15	06-18 06:30
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	07-01 14:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	06-04 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$12	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$11	36	20	+17	Up	+$1	05-19 08:18
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	-$10	06-04 21:01
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$3	05-31 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$8	17	5	+12	Up	+$6	05-18 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$7	12	4	+7	Up	-$1	05-18 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$6	22	0	+22	Down	-$1	05-19 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	Up	-$1	05-18 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-18 21:28
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	06-01 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 19:19
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	06-04 20:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$5	40	31	+8	Up	+$1	05-30 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$5	18	5	+13	Up	+$1	05-18 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$5	8	3	+5	Down	-$1	05-18 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	-$5	05-16 19:16
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	-$5	06-18 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	Up	-$1	05-19 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$5	49	0	+49	Down	+$1	05-18 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$5	19	0	+19	Down	$0	05-19 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 14:52:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x17b493…
07-01 14:52:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcdcde3…
06-18 06:30:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2ed6a9…
06-18 06:30:20	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8e5cf2…
06-04 21:19:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1bf77a…
06-04 21:19:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x4b89a7…
06-04 21:08:43	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x662486…
06-04 21:01:34	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa75dec…
06-04 20:52:58	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x6db432…
06-04 20:43:19	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x40c815…
06-04 20:26:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc9fc9f…
06-04 20:15:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x29bebf…
06-04 20:10:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1478dc…
06-04 20:07:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xee0829…
06-04 20:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7a58dd…
06-04 20:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xea8de9…
06-04 20:01:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5d58e2…
06-04 19:58:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6cf97f…
06-04 19:56:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x391b25…
06-04 19:55:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3b3b88…
06-04 19:53:28	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x4b9b6a…
06-04 19:52:01	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x79be28…
06-04 19:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc8ffb7…
06-04 19:42:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x99e858…
06-04 19:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe5998c…
06-04 19:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6307d5…
06-04 19:23:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x92e7e6…
06-04 18:55:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xada9dc…
06-04 18:55:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x19f6ae…
06-01 10:25:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0xbbb852…
06-01 10:25:24	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x6a91f8…
06-01 10:25:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x88197c…
05-31 05:34:57	Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5f250d…
05-30 14:05:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x7c76e5…
05-30 13:26:35	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Norway	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x20e5ce…
05-30 13:24:32	Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x58b436…
05-30 13:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xba26e2…
05-30 13:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xf98b30…
05-30 13:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x8bf1f9…
05-30 13:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x07b729…
05-30 13:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x5f97b4…
05-30 12:58:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8ec0ca…
05-30 12:54:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa86236…
05-30 12:51:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe7de43…
05-30 12:47:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x06add9…
05-30 12:47:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xeda258…
05-30 12:41:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xfa65ff…
05-30 12:35:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf99ced…
05-30 12:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x601786…
05-30 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1faafd…
05-30 12:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x054304…
05-30 12:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xc10db0…
05-30 12:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe2ee16…
05-30 12:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbf2727…
05-30 12:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x77f376…
05-30 12:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x82c28f…
05-30 12:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe822a3…
05-30 12:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1689c6…
05-30 11:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xac6c37…
05-30 11:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb2fe47…
05-30 11:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x803296…
05-30 11:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbad795…
05-30 11:18:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2ea57f…
05-23 20:56:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x668662…
05-23 20:53:35	Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x2f8516…
05-21 17:54:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x6e5729…
05-21 17:24:27	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3fe205…
05-19 10:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd6902f…
05-19 10:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x98480e…
05-19 10:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfd51bd…
05-19 10:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xf1d08b…
05-19 08:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x82c14f…
05-19 08:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8d3a59…
05-19 08:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c62ce…
05-19 08:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x737262…
05-19 08:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x173ca9…
05-19 08:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6941e1…
05-19 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9de375…
05-19 08:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2e3075…
05-19 08:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x3df930…
05-19 08:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5040c3…
05-19 08:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x20ceba…
05-19 08:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xad6a0a…
05-19 08:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9c7b6b…
05-19 08:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd2756d…
05-19 08:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x027d9f…
05-19 08:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xebac4a…
05-19 07:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5e983f…
05-19 07:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x4c924c…
05-19 07:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5313d3…
05-19 07:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x96b075…
05-19 07:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x127811…
05-19 07:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf20658…
05-19 07:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xdbcfb7…
05-19 07:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x773f56…
05-19 07:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x70ae13…
05-19 07:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x983bc3…
05-19 06:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x915550…
05-19 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x214132…
05-19 06:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb02ae4…