Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$379
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved (90d)
10
Trades (90d)
142
244 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$14.2K
$27.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$7.40K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 11-12 10:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
40% 41% -$1,056
Politics
27% 26% -$1,473
Pop-Culture
27% 12% -$3,297
Tech
6% 100% +$78
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +1,000 $840 86¢ $855 +$15 11-09 18:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1,000 $736 79¢ $790 +$54 11-10 06:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +800 $704 90¢ $720 +$16 11-07 16:16
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,000 $651 65¢ $653 +$2 11-12 06:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +700 $546 80¢ $564 +$18 11-08 10:06
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +700 $497 78¢ $542 +$45 11-07 04:39
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +2,474 $844 21¢ $520 -$324 11-12 05:27
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? No +940 $423 49¢ $460 +$38 11-12 10:41
Will Backrooms rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? No +693 $266 57¢ $395 +$129 11-12 06:23
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No +1,100 $456 33¢ $363 -$93 11-05 19:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? No +4,000 $340 8¢ $322 -$18 11-12 05:04
Will Moana be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +2,343 $5 9¢ $210 +$205 11-12 06:10
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +1,000 $130 19¢ $190 +$60 11-04 21:37
Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? Yes +1,000 $180 18¢ $180 +$0 11-10 23:12
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027? No +800 $488 16¢ $132 -$356 11-11 07:56
Will Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? No +1,000 $100 11¢ $105 +$5 11-08 07:27
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? No +100 $88 99¢ $99 +$11 11-06 12:48
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? No +209 $83 44¢ $93 +$9 11-12 00:49
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026? Yes +600 $300 13¢ $76 -$224 11-11 00:46
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +552 $55 14¢ $75 +$19 11-07 17:30
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? No +136 $20 18¢ $25 +$5 11-12 06:29
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +19 $12 78¢ $15 +$3 11-05 14:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-29 21:12
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? Yes +6 $4 62¢ $4 +$0 11-01 15:20
Will Widow's Bay be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes +400 $2 1¢ $3 +$2 11-12 00:53
Will Michael B. Jordan be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? Yes +134 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 11-11 03:24