Reckless-Publication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

951

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-13 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 97% +$1

Sports

3% — —

Other

3% 100% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	40¢	$2	+$0	06-12 21:54
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+3	$1	52¢	$2	+$1	05-29 10:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+2	$1	50¢	$1	+$0	06-02 22:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774357200	4	$324	164	164	+0	open	—	03-24 13:14
btc updown 15m 1774839600	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	03-30 03:14
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8pm et	2	$276	142	142	+0	open	—	03-24 01:04
btc updown 15m 1774832400	2	$276	140	139	+0	open	—	03-30 01:14
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	2	$260	131	131	+0	open	—	03-23 13:05
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 12am et	2	$226	115	115	+0	open	—	03-23 05:15
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1am et	3	$223	112	112	+0	open	—	03-23 06:07
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 1am et	3	$207	106	106	+0	open	—	03-24 05:59
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 6am et	4	$205	105	104	+0	open	—	03-23 11:51
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 10pm et	4	$205	104	103	+2	open	—	03-24 03:01
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 4am et	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	03-23 09:02
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 8am et	3	$203	102	102	+0	open	—	03-29 13:12
btc updown 15m 1774252800	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-23 08:13
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 5am et	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-23 10:44
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 3am et	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-23 07:53
btc updown 15m 1774258200	2	$199	102	102	+0	open	—	03-23 09:43
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	6	$196	114	110	+3	open	—	03-24 05:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$185	117	117	+0	open	—	02-06 12:13
btc updown 15m 1774356300	1	$158	159	0	+159	open	—	03-24 12:59
btc updown 15m 1774354500	1	$153	158	0	+158	open	—	03-24 12:29
btc updown 15m 1774343700	2	$152	154	0	+154	open	—	03-24 09:27
btc updown 15m 1774353600	1	$152	153	0	+153	open	—	03-24 12:11
btc updown 15m 1774831500	1	$135	138	0	+138	open	—	03-30 00:59
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 6pm et	3	$135	156	1	+155	open	—	03-24 22:59
mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	9	$134	85	73	+12	open	—	06-13 04:19
btc updown 5m 1774831800	1	$133	135	0	+135	open	—	03-30 00:54
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 9am et	1	$131	133	0	+133	open	—	03-23 13:51
btc updown 15m 1774391400	2	$130	133	0	+133	open	—	03-24 22:43
btc updown 5m 1774831200	1	$129	133	0	+133	open	—	03-30 00:44
btc updown 15m 1774390500	2	$129	130	0	+130	open	—	03-24 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 08:14:22	atp shelton shimabu 2026 06 12	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb29feb…
06-13 04:19:40	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x80a34b…
06-13 04:16:55	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	73	80¢	$58	0x6579c7…
06-13 04:13:58	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x67872c…
06-13 04:09:42	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x074af9…
06-13 04:09:31	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xe0304c…
06-13 03:59:57	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4380dd…
06-13 03:52:04	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2fe923…
06-13 03:51:28	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb6466d…
06-13 03:50:22	mlb tb laa 2026 06 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7af636…
06-13 03:35:58	mlb atl nym 2026 06 12	New York Mets	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x77c708…
06-13 03:32:06	mlb atl nym 2026 06 12	New York Mets	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xf7cfa3…
06-13 03:21:45	atp shelton shimabu 2026 06 12	Sho Shimabukuro	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x2ecb29…
06-13 03:17:37	mlb hou kc 2026 06 12	Houston Astros	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xff2e82…
06-13 03:15:43	mlb hou kc 2026 06 12	Kansas City Royals	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xca5beb…
06-13 03:12:31	mlb hou kc 2026 06 12	Kansas City Royals	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5f8d1d…
06-13 03:12:04	mlb hou kc 2026 06 12	Houston Astros	SELL	29	84¢	$25	0xe53678…
06-13 03:08:30	mlb hou kc 2026 06 12	Houston Astros	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x34c5de…
06-13 03:05:31	mlb hou kc 2026 06 12	Houston Astros	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x8d85c3…
06-13 03:01:43	mlb hou kc 2026 06 12	Houston Astros	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x773861…
06-13 02:57:36	atp shelton shimabu 2026 06 12	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9363f7…
06-12 21:59:58	btc updown 5m 1781301300	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe72548…
06-12 21:59:40	btc updown 5m 1781301300	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6a5f09…
06-12 21:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x34cb15…
06-12 12:08:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xba320c…
06-12 11:17:46	btc updown 5m 1781262900	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2d30a1…
06-12 10:49:49	btc updown 5m 1781261100	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x16bb2f…
06-12 10:44:40	btc updown 5m 1781260800	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe5a4c7…
06-12 10:24:48	btc updown 5m 1781259600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8a0814…
06-12 10:24:18	btc updown 5m 1781259600	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb9a936…
06-12 08:34:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x10a1f1…
06-12 06:54:00	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xfe8e48…
06-11 22:19:45	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9bb99b…
06-11 22:17:00	atp romano jones 2026 06 11	Jack Pinnington Jones	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x64490a…
06-08 09:52:09	atp borges atmane 2026 06 08	Terence Atmane	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x59ec35…
06-03 21:17:15	wta preston dudeney 2026 06 01	Taylah Preston	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x314b92…
06-03 21:10:43	atp tseng skatov 2026 06 03	Timofey Skatov	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x091897…
06-03 21:08:33	atp tseng skatov 2026 06 03	Timofey Skatov	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x301de1…
06-03 21:08:04	atp tseng skatov 2026 06 03	Chun-Hsin Tseng	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x44363d…
06-03 21:06:18	atp tseng skatov 2026 06 03	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaf24e9…
06-03 21:04:33	atp tseng skatov 2026 06 03	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x32ab10…
06-03 08:52:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x8be371…
06-03 08:45:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xd7183e…
06-03 08:45:01	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5cab22…
06-03 07:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb46a34…
06-03 07:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x106f6a…
06-03 06:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc8370…
06-03 06:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xe60eda…
06-03 06:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x43f811…
06-03 06:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x78a74a…
06-03 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29579e…
06-03 06:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeee953…
06-03 06:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8f9cf8…
06-03 06:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe76f30…
06-03 06:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x98d230…
06-03 06:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x48b177…
06-03 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x93f599…
06-03 05:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f18d0…
06-03 05:56:52	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc8a841…
06-03 05:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8df8c1…
06-03 03:01:26	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xeea1e6…
06-03 02:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd9f284…
06-03 02:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7b26ac…
06-03 02:34:43	Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	Edas Butvilas	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x12ac7f…
06-02 22:54:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7b489d…
06-02 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xd8cbdc…
06-02 22:43:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x528533…
06-02 22:40:50	Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade	Timo Legout	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xac324c…
06-01 21:34:15	Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Patrick Zahraj	Robin Bertrand	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe9acca…
06-01 21:31:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7c7528…
06-01 21:30:29	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd620c4…
06-01 07:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfb845b…
05-31 21:45:58	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	NRG	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcec3d9…
05-29 22:37:44	Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x909ecb…
05-29 22:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xff503a…
05-29 21:55:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf5eeba…
05-29 21:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9f4dbe…
05-29 11:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf6c4ec…
05-29 11:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe6e9eb…
05-29 11:13:29	Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0b7ec2…
05-29 10:52:41	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x15a5de…
05-29 10:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05143c…
05-29 10:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x007dcb…
05-29 10:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x597cd9…
05-29 10:11:21	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x85b30b…
05-29 07:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x123662…
05-29 07:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcd6b3a…
05-29 07:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3c1cd7…
05-29 06:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x627443…
05-29 06:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf4d12d…
05-29 06:51:42	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5590b5…
05-29 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9a185f…
05-29 06:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e6044…
05-25 10:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee3ad9…
05-25 10:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3dc43…
05-25 10:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c3c8f…
05-25 10:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x5d142d…
05-25 10:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x846316…
05-25 10:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36d69a…
05-25 08:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x027579…