Substantial-Moustache — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-04 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 100% +$0

Other

36% 100% +$0

Politics

23% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$264	133	133	+0	open	—	03-21 14:13
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$184	192	192	+0	open	—	05-14 12:23
highest temperature in beijing on april 8 2026 27corhigher	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	04-07 05:25
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	04-04 15:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$144	145	0	+145	open	—	03-29 07:27
will solana reach 85 on april 2	1	$143	144	0	+144	open	—	04-02 15:51
solana above 30 on april 16	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-14 15:23
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-26 03:53
xrp above 1pt7 on april 11	1	$116	117	0	+117	open	—	04-09 01:33
will the price of solana be between 40 50 on april 21	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	04-19 15:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	04-23 09:41
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 21 2026 151	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	03-21 14:17
will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-25 05:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	04-27 16:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$77	77	0	+77	open	—	05-29 17:17
will bitcoin reach 78k june 1 7 2026	1	$73	73	0	+73	open	—	06-04 13:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 7?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	05-03 16:48
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$45	142	0	+142	open	—	05-14 12:25
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-11 04:45
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 10?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-08 09:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	05-06 06:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	05-03 16:45
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 47forbelow	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-18 14:33
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 20corbelow	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-09 01:32
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in february 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	02-25 05:40
highest temperature in hong kong on march 23 2026 18corbelow	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-21 14:16
will bnb dip to 500 in february	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	02-25 05:40
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	03-21 14:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 16:42
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 17corhigher	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-09 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 13:39:36	will bitcoin reach 78k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x0bd8c8…
06-04 13:38:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xe770f5…
05-29 17:17:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x4cd82a…
05-14 12:25:42	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	142	32¢	$45	0x764e01…
05-14 12:23:55	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	192	24¢	$46	0x0b0633…
05-14 00:31:42	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	192	72¢	$138	0xb9e184…
05-11 04:45:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x5d4f0d…
05-08 09:08:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 10?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xbc9068…
05-06 06:14:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x7e4017…
05-03 16:48:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 7?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xba2ebf…
05-03 16:45:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xfbeca9…
05-02 07:20:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xf91def…
04-27 16:46:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x10ab53…
04-27 16:44:44	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa024c7…
04-27 16:43:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc6594…
04-27 16:42:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x64ac4f…
04-27 16:41:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x9b55d7…
04-26 03:53:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x80e442…
04-26 03:53:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2e597c…
04-25 04:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xf0c7f8…
04-23 09:41:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x3feaa3…
04-19 15:29:36	will the price of solana be between 40 50 on april 21	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xe77e07…
04-18 14:33:08	highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 47forbelow	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x71520b…
04-15 15:41:38	highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 29c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeea4ae…
04-14 15:23:43	solana above 30 on april 16	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x719011…
04-12 08:31:57	highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 11corbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72a870…
04-11 05:55:13	highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 5corbelow	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x755b8a…
04-09 01:33:29	xrp above 1pt7 on april 11	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0xe91eb6…
04-09 01:32:19	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x11ce9a…
04-09 01:31:35	highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x411a8b…
04-07 05:25:23	highest temperature in beijing on april 8 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x04a470…
04-04 15:30:59	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x716345…
04-04 15:25:53	btc updown 5m 1775316300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x055c6c…
04-04 15:20:29	btc updown 5m 1775316000	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6394f0…
04-02 15:51:17	will solana reach 85 on april 2	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x306d74…
04-01 09:55:05	highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc8d3f0…
03-29 07:27:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0xaf5d44…
03-21 14:17:35	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xc7cd39…
03-21 14:17:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 21 2026 151	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xb8c9a8…
03-21 14:16:15	highest temperature in hong kong on march 23 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdcf7ef…
03-21 14:15:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x083e2a…
03-21 14:13:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x228c7c…
03-16 02:05:33	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x816c5e…
03-16 02:01:05	btc updown 5m 1773626400	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x377f97…
03-16 01:56:49	btc updown 5m 1773626100	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9d48bd…
03-16 01:51:01	btc updown 5m 1773625800	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x541f73…
02-25 05:40:22	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in february 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x451e1a…
02-25 05:40:02	will bnb dip to 500 in february	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x31aa1a…
02-25 05:39:28	will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x18d925…