Mortified-Sender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$546

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$37.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$287

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-26 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

32% 100% +$2

Crypto

29% 82% -$6

Other

19% 85% +$135

Sports

19% 67% -$677

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		-25	-$16	56¢	$-14	+$2	08-24 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$3.5K	1,757	1,757	+0	No	+$0	02-10 15:17
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.0K	1,498	1,498	+0	open	—	05-13 07:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?	2	$2.9K	1,477	1,477	+0	No	+$3	06-12 20:50
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$2.8K	1,421	1,421	+0	No	+$1	02-15 06:10
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$2.2K	1,109	1,109	+0	No	+$0	03-19 11:35
will solana reach 170 in february 2026	3	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$0	02-12 08:03
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	877	877	+0	open	—	05-25 03:03
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$1.5K	777	777	+0	open	—	07-15 01:18
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$1.5K	751	751	+0	open	—	07-17 00:11
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.5K	734	734	+0	open	—	06-16 19:36
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	1	$1.4K	1,420	0	+1,420	No	+$1	05-25 03:04
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$1.3K	1,345	0	+1,345	No	+$1	04-27 01:30
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.3K	666	666	+0	open	—	07-07 19:40
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	2	$1.2K	625	625	+0	No	+$1	05-19 15:26
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	03-23 03:44
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	1	$1.1K	1,152	0	+1,152	No	+$2	02-24 15:22
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$1.1K	1,056	0	+1,056	No	+$2	02-24 15:23
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	20	$882	444	444	+0	open	—	07-30 17:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$738	0	1,157	-1,157	Yes	-$13	02-20 15:53
nba uta sac 2026 03 15	1	$708	1,540	0	+1,540	Kings	-$708	03-15 09:21
atp sonego rublev 2026 04 16	3	$475	345	345	-0	Andrey Rublev	-$1	04-15 05:34
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	4	$421	213	212	+1	Yes	+$0	02-15 01:03
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$343	344	0	+344	No	+$1	03-18 11:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$273	142	142	+0	No	+$0	02-13 13:12
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$215	111	111	+0	open	—	05-18 02:27
atp tabur marti 2026 04 15	4	$167	329	329	+0	Clement Tabur	+$2	04-15 14:28
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	2	$120	61	61	+0	No	+$0	02-10 15:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$116	62	62	+0	Yes	-$1	02-14 14:51
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	2	$111	57	56	+1	No	+$0	02-14 15:25
nba por uta 2026 02 12	1	$110	155	0	+155	Trail Blazers	+$45	02-12 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:44:57	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdd200c…
10-26 03:44:51	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfb32cf…
09-29 05:58:56	Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in September?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfb6d99…
09-29 05:58:12	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x052a56…
08-24 11:42:54	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xe6caa1…
08-24 11:41:00	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0xea1207…
07-30 17:13:08	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	304	99¢	$302	0xc4d256…
07-30 16:38:42	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa7ea77…
07-30 14:33:02	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x46fc99…
07-30 14:18:50	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x872771…
07-30 13:06:42	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbade0a…
07-30 13:02:39	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2277d4…
07-30 12:32:45	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4727f4…
07-30 11:11:36	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb1fc41…
07-30 10:31:15	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x88948a…
07-30 09:36:44	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb52d2d…
07-30 09:06:23	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb0d854…
07-30 09:02:50	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x26d310…
07-30 07:54:53	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5f2788…
07-30 07:46:41	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x72ee1b…
07-30 07:37:17	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xde363e…
07-30 06:17:24	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4a6871…
07-30 05:45:09	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x72efd9…
07-30 05:01:53	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2f3253…
07-30 04:57:47	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x110229…
07-20 00:51:28	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	444	99¢	$441	0x8348ea…
07-17 00:11:19	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x03f430…
07-16 23:41:19	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x285805…
07-16 23:26:01	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc551f3…
07-16 23:15:25	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x87e0ca…
07-16 23:08:44	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x1a3746…
07-16 21:42:41	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0xed74f8…
07-16 21:34:37	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	152	99¢	$151	0xb802b8…
07-15 01:18:49	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	775	99¢	$769	0x3738b2…
07-15 01:13:32	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd3b16f…
07-09 04:31:41	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xfdc2e4…
07-09 04:31:20	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	751	99¢	$744	0xb3501f…
07-09 04:30:58	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	777	99¢	$770	0xaf7e32…
07-07 19:40:58	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	666	99¢	$662	0xdd9e08…
06-16 19:36:16	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	734	99¢	$729	0xebef03…
06-16 02:31:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x301394…
06-16 02:30:55	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x13dbce…
06-16 02:30:15	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	734	99¢	$727	0xb3a2d5…
06-16 02:29:52	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	666	99¢	$661	0xe0f711…
06-12 20:50:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?	No	SELL	1,477	100¢	$1,474	0x5f5113…
06-10 01:58:42	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x07b7b1…
06-10 01:58:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7ae453…
06-10 01:57:18	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	1,477	100¢	$1,471	0x5cda52…
05-25 03:05:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xf5c5c3…
05-25 03:04:34	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,420	100¢	$1,419	0xf6c536…
05-25 03:03:50	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	877	99¢	$870	0x8c6e03…
05-19 15:26:03	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	625	98¢	$612	0xaacebb…
05-18 02:29:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 19?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x39e802…
05-18 02:28:27	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	625	98¢	$611	0x01f2d1…
05-18 02:27:23	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0x3b5602…
05-18 02:27:17	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xeb8689…
05-18 02:26:41	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	877	99¢	$870	0xd403a9…
05-18 02:09:25	Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,750	0¢	$22	0xe527c5…
05-18 02:08:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xc93bfd…
05-13 07:49:04	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,498	99¢	$1,482	0x54f5f8…
05-09 03:27:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x20325e…
05-09 03:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 10?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xebd89a…
05-09 03:26:16	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,498	99¢	$1,480	0xed68e4…
04-27 01:31:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x03625b…
04-27 01:30:42	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	1,345	100¢	$1,344	0xc566a6…
04-27 01:30:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7a7b36…
04-15 14:51:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xc6462f…
04-15 14:51:08	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1ad45b…
04-15 14:28:20	atp tabur marti 2026 04 15	Andres Martin	SELL	156	24¢	$37	0x989e4c…
04-15 14:27:52	atp tabur marti 2026 04 15	Andres Martin	SELL	173	27¢	$47	0xd956df…
04-15 14:24:30	atp tabur marti 2026 04 15	Andres Martin	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb3c28d…
04-15 14:14:44	atp tabur marti 2026 04 15	Andres Martin	BUY	328	25¢	$82	0xfa8575…
04-15 05:34:58	atp sonego rublev 2026 04 16	Andrey Rublev	SELL	60	68¢	$41	0x1eac0b…
04-15 05:34:34	atp sonego rublev 2026 04 16	Andrey Rublev	SELL	285	69¢	$196	0xc6863e…
04-15 05:31:34	atp sonego rublev 2026 04 16	Andrey Rublev	BUY	345	69¢	$238	0xd301e3…
04-15 05:20:32	atp kotov riedi 2026 04 15	Pavel Kotov	SELL	75	44¢	$33	0xdc78af…
04-15 05:13:08	atp kotov riedi 2026 04 15	Pavel Kotov	BUY	75	44¢	$33	0x8e2e22…
03-23 03:44:09	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0xdb5607…
03-19 11:35:17	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	492	98¢	$483	0x24b2da…
03-19 10:44:27	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	126	98¢	$123	0x4d7479…
03-19 10:37:17	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	181	98¢	$178	0x3fd3bb…
03-19 09:18:19	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0x1d2f5f…
03-19 09:08:53	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xcb105a…
03-19 08:57:15	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	177	98¢	$174	0x8d645b…
03-18 11:39:45	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	344	100¢	$343	0x3a1d21…
03-15 09:22:21	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd356e2…
03-15 09:21:55	nba gsw was 2026 03 16	Warriors	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2109ea…
03-15 09:21:41	nba uta sac 2026 03 15	Jazz	BUY	1,540	46¢	$708	0x473745…
03-15 09:21:19	nba por phi 2026 03 15	76ers	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x32f7f5…
03-15 09:19:51	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,109	98¢	$1,088	0xd4f1a2…
03-03 20:12:41	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x3b38b5…
03-03 16:02:13	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x438279…
03-03 16:01:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xe1f0ee…
02-24 15:26:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x27c579…
02-24 15:23:58	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,054	0x39123b…
02-24 15:22:34	will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	No	BUY	1,152	100¢	$1,150	0x192f5b…
02-20 15:53:40	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	186	94¢	$175	0x2d1ef8…
02-20 15:49:42	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xe60586…
02-20 15:47:30	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	156	94¢	$147	0x284bda…
02-15 06:10:59	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	411	99¢	$407	0x641636…