Demanding-Spectacles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

5.9%

Resolved

105

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-10 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Sports

61% 33% -$1

Politics

19% 0% -$2

Other

16% 65% -$6

Crypto

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$2	97¢	$1	-$1	06-19 03:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	2	$1.4K	724	711	+13	No	$0	01-02 09:22
will the los angeles chargers win super bowl 2026	2	$1.3K	690	677	+13	No	$0	01-02 09:24
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$1.3K	663	663	+0	No	-$1	01-16 03:28
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.3K	634	634	+0	No	-$1	01-06 03:10
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$1.3K	632	632	+0	No	-$1	01-19 02:13
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$1.2K	621	621	+0	No	-$1	01-19 02:13
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.2K	609	609	+0	No	-$1	01-05 02:03
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.2K	607	607	+0	No	-$1	01-05 02:04
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.2K	606	603	+3	No	-$1	02-23 10:06
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.2K	599	599	+0	No	-$1	01-05 02:06
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.2K	599	599	+0	No	-$1	01-06 03:07
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.2K	598	598	+0	No	-$1	01-06 03:08
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$1.2K	598	598	+0	No	-$1	01-06 03:08
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$1.2K	597	593	+4	No	-$1	02-23 10:06
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October?	1	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	10-10 02:53
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals dani olmo gte1	1	$92	108	0	+108	No	+$16	07-19 03:01
Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	1	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	09-09 04:53
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	2	$38	23	22	+1	open	—	06-19 03:26
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in August?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-24 05:58
us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	2	$31	17	17	+0	No	+$1	02-20 08:33
lol lgd omg 2026 02 02	1	$31	59	0	+59	Oh My God	-$31	02-02 03:30
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$23	12	11	+1	No	$0	05-23 06:00
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	+$0	04-14 01:30
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	02-02 03:22
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	05-23 06:00
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-27 03:28
will ethereum reach 2400 june 22 28 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-23 07:29
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	1	$16	18	0	+18	Rams	+$2	01-19 02:21
will bitcoin reach 78k june 22 28 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-23 07:27
will ethereum reach 2500 july 13 19 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-14 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 02:53:30	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x1f4cc0…
09-09 04:53:34	Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x6d888c…
08-24 05:58:31	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in August?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x6a84ba…
08-14 05:33:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on August 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1e4480…
08-14 05:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on August 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x49fee3…
08-14 05:32:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xee252c…
07-19 03:01:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals dani olmo gte1	No	BUY	108	85¢	$92	0x79557e…
07-14 05:21:34	will ethereum reach 2500 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xce39e9…
07-14 05:21:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0a0a1a…
07-14 05:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd9fc7b…
07-14 05:20:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9ff882…
07-14 05:20:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fbd29…
07-14 05:19:53	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd3bf8f…
07-14 05:19:16	bitcoin above 54k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x36aa5a…
07-14 05:18:59	bitcoin above 56k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x798fd7…
07-14 05:18:44	bitcoin above 56k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfe3f79…
07-14 05:18:26	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bb1b6…
06-23 07:29:29	will ethereum reach 2400 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x43bc0a…
06-23 07:28:31	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe557d1…
06-23 07:27:53	will bitcoin reach 78k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x230f9c…
06-23 07:27:29	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9a750d…
06-23 07:27:02	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x82c844…
06-23 07:26:53	bitcoin above 52k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9142a9…
06-23 07:26:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf84895…
06-23 07:26:26	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaf7078…
06-19 03:28:26	bitcoin above 58k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x189eef…
06-19 03:27:46	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb16aac…
06-19 03:27:32	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7cf186…
06-19 03:27:23	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x77b9d0…
06-19 03:27:14	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3d285f…
06-19 03:27:05	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x042e2e…
06-19 03:26:56	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x175a4b…
06-19 03:26:44	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe0be15…
06-19 03:26:10	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	82¢	$18	0xf2dea3…
06-04 07:47:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef99fe…
06-04 07:46:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x00f4ed…
06-04 07:46:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6d63a6…
06-04 07:46:03	wta preston dudeney 2026 06 01	Taylah Preston	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7a8f6a…
06-04 07:45:54	wta radivoj ristic 2026 06 03	Mia Ristic	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x627828…
06-04 07:45:45	wta kawa joint 2026 06 03	Maya Joint	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xad9830…
05-23 06:13:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x154426…
05-23 06:13:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x819a56…
05-23 06:00:26	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9de126…
05-23 06:00:12	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0432e0…
05-20 05:32:51	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0e4323…
05-20 05:32:32	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b05a4…
05-20 05:32:06	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8baf81…
05-13 08:19:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x429fd5…
05-13 08:19:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8507f4…
05-01 03:14:38	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe501e4…
04-14 01:31:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 16	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x973545…
04-14 01:31:17	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7f4f03…
04-14 01:30:03	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7719d6…
04-03 02:55:01	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x23b565…
04-03 02:54:47	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcbfbfd…
04-03 02:54:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2f42bf…
04-01 03:25:51	bitcoin above 80k on april 2	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xade106…
04-01 03:25:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x357c49…
03-30 07:19:54	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xda7b21…
03-30 07:19:36	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8377c6…
03-17 11:11:51	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x142463…
03-17 11:11:37	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x14eb69…
03-17 11:10:33	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff8c85…
03-09 02:55:39	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c2d1e…
03-09 02:55:23	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ef509…
03-09 02:55:07	bitcoin above 82k on march 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0cf5ef…
03-09 02:55:01	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd1ec9…
03-09 02:54:53	bitcoin above 58k on march 10	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9dbdcd…
03-09 02:54:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x308462…
03-09 02:54:25	ethereum above 2600 on march 12	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd9ef04…
03-09 02:54:15	ethereum above 2600 on march 11	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8e9c20…
03-09 02:54:05	ethereum above 1500 on march 10	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc6b62…
03-09 02:53:59	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x022b5f…
02-23 10:08:08	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on february 23	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd275e8…
02-23 10:07:56	solana above 90 on february 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66ebbb…
02-23 10:07:46	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75cc08…
02-23 10:07:40	bitcoin above 72k on february 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3485f6…
02-23 10:07:24	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa2cab2…
02-23 10:07:14	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 580plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x089de8…
02-23 10:07:08	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 140 164	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41f81c…
02-23 10:07:00	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 460 479	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d4558…
02-23 10:06:48	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x831c13…
02-23 10:06:42	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x37133c…
02-20 08:33:28	us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x966e92…
02-02 03:30:06	lol lgd omg 2026 02 02	LGD Gaming	BUY	59	52¢	$31	0xee5dc5…
02-02 03:29:00	nhl las ana 2026 02 01	Golden Knights	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2fbf54…
02-02 03:28:14	nba orl sas 2026 02 01	Spurs	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x7a82a8…
02-02 03:22:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1fd812…
01-27 03:28:39	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 0 39	Yes	BUY	307	1¢	$3	0x654bbb…
01-27 03:28:21	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0b2b22…
01-27 03:28:11	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x74592d…
01-27 03:28:03	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 500 519	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4029f5…
01-25 04:25:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xd31d31…
01-25 04:24:46	nfl la sea 2026 01 25	Seahawks	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x89b591…
01-25 04:24:08	nfl ne den 2026 01 25	Patriots	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x414ff3…
01-25 04:23:32	nba mia uta 2026 01 24	Heat	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x36909c…
01-19 02:22:04	cfb mia ind 2026 01 19	Indiana	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x3ae2a5…
01-19 02:21:42	nhl stl edm 2026 01 18	Oilers	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xde6ea6…
01-19 02:21:20	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0xee6d86…
01-19 02:13:28	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x01d1db…