Thankful-Armor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,020

lifetime

Volume

$167.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-30 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 33% $-38

Politics

17% — —

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on june 18 2026	10	$6.7K	3,850	3,850	+0	open	—	06-18 19:32
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	2	$6.7K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	06-12 16:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$6.6K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	06-12 21:17
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	10	$4.2K	2,537	2,537	+0	open	—	03-02 16:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	2	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-20 07:31
spx up or down on june 5 2026	66	$3.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	06-05 11:00
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	6	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-17 16:43
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	20	$2.6K	1,699	1,418	+281	open	—	02-26 18:18
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	5	$2.4K	2,535	2,535	+0	Up	$-40	05-05 07:25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	1	$2.2K	0	4,000	-4,000	open	—	05-22 09:35
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	12	$2.0K	1,436	1,436	+0	open	—	03-03 14:56
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	15	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-13 15:13
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	6	$1.8K	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	04-10 09:26
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	7	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-31 08:37
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 13c	33	$1.6K	824	824	+0	open	—	03-17 19:03
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-04 21:11
highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 13c	38	$1.5K	735	735	+0	open	—	03-16 23:34
highest temperature in munich on march 28 2026 12c	18	$1.4K	734	734	+0	open	—	03-27 22:45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	11	$1.4K	1,306	1,304	+2	open	—	04-28 09:26
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 10c	6	$1.3K	662	662	+0	open	—	03-12 10:03
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 74forhigher	12	$1.3K	663	663	+0	open	—	03-31 08:55
will uk strike iran by march 31	8	$1.3K	780	780	+0	open	—	03-01 16:55
highest temperature in munich on march 9 2026 17c	7	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-09 17:39
highest temperature in paris on march 16 2026 16corhigher	6	$1.1K	558	558	+0	open	—	03-16 08:01
will nepali congress win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	4	$1.1K	536	536	+0	open	—	03-06 16:49
highest temperature in paris on march 6 2026 20c	12	$997	500	500	+0	open	—	03-06 15:21
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 19corhigher	3	$974	492	491	+0	open	—	04-15 17:03
highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 16corhigher	10	$939	475	471	+4	open	—	03-15 10:20
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$909	500	500	+0	open	—	03-25 11:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	17	$905	912	912	+0	open	—	05-21 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 15:25:04	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x5c9cdd…
07-01 15:25:01	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc9b90f…
07-01 15:22:26	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xed3458…
07-01 15:22:20	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x8251ce…
07-01 13:38:04	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x908a8f…
06-30 14:05:44	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x4830df…
06-30 14:05:37	spy up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xcaad2a…
06-29 16:18:59	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xbbe0a5…
06-29 16:18:49	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x0ab4f8…
06-29 15:47:04	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x633187…
06-29 15:46:20	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8dcee8…
06-29 15:45:58	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xedf801…
06-29 15:44:20	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd89883…
06-29 13:34:10	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xc377b0…
06-29 13:34:05	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x7e3e04…
06-26 13:43:10	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x3573be…
06-26 13:43:03	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x7c7cb6…
06-26 13:33:55	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x645a9a…
06-26 13:33:46	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xb1a0c4…
06-26 13:31:37	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x4628d3…
06-26 13:31:31	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x08c5e0…
06-18 19:32:14	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	SELL	3,850	0¢	$4	0xdba8dc…
06-18 19:32:05	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	3,850	99¢	$3,812	0x5e9ffb…
06-18 13:30:59	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xff8a26…
06-18 13:30:35	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0x324021…
06-18 10:14:44	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x37c982…
06-18 10:14:38	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0xf7198e…
06-18 10:07:02	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0xfc7f66…
06-18 10:06:53	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x61eae8…
06-18 09:51:11	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0xffaa2f…
06-18 09:51:05	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x804a99…
06-18 09:32:14	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xba9abc…
06-18 09:32:10	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x2aea4c…
06-18 09:31:22	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0x10c8b7…
06-18 09:31:19	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xb9210c…
06-18 09:30:55	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0xe2e223…
06-18 09:30:50	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x8eaff6…
06-18 09:30:08	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x870e42…
06-18 09:30:04	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xf951c1…
06-18 09:29:35	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0xc6682b…
06-18 09:29:31	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0x7228a9…
06-17 10:23:13	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x93700f…
06-17 10:23:02	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x3651b1…
06-17 08:56:26	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xe34f7c…
06-17 08:56:22	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x2f5da0…
06-17 08:53:34	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x405ced…
06-17 08:53:23	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xe51433…
06-17 08:45:59	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xbe2ff6…
06-17 08:45:38	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x5fe98e…
06-17 08:45:31	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0xb8a881…
06-17 08:45:23	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xd9a3c1…
06-17 08:45:04	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xea9d8a…
06-17 08:44:56	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xbef3ed…
06-17 08:44:44	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xcb782d…
06-17 08:44:40	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xdebbeb…
06-17 08:42:58	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x02fadf…
06-17 08:42:50	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x88c7cb…
06-16 09:46:07	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	282	88¢	$248	0xb92ae9…
06-15 15:49:49	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x26835c…
06-15 14:30:10	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x7eeabf…
06-15 11:01:22	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x65e3e9…
06-15 10:14:28	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa4cff2…
06-14 21:25:54	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0x56450f…
06-14 08:01:13	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x8e6a78…
06-13 12:52:22	cs2 rust heroa 2026 06 13	RUSTEC	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x5857e5…
06-13 12:51:37	cs2 rust heroa 2026 06 13	RUSTEC	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x0a70e7…
06-12 21:17:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,500	60¢	$3,300	0x1831c9…
06-12 17:28:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,500	60¢	$3,300	0x361f8d…
06-12 16:56:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	3,500	96¢	$3,360	0xc02cf7…
06-12 16:55:25	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	3,500	96¢	$3,367	0xe9df4b…
06-10 09:28:52	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x4fc3ad…
06-10 09:28:52	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x4aba70…
06-10 09:28:49	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x57ed82…
06-10 09:26:31	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	192	23¢	$44	0xf44b07…
06-10 09:12:51	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x9d3563…
06-10 09:12:16	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x95febb…
06-10 09:11:55	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x581e93…
06-10 09:08:18	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	192	22¢	$42	0xb25f45…
06-10 08:59:31	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xbcd6f2…
06-10 08:57:49	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x2d4dee…
06-10 08:30:10	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0xd459d5…
06-10 08:29:25	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x67a2c2…
06-09 10:09:09	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	293	76¢	$223	0x1cc523…
06-09 10:08:18	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	63	76¢	$48	0xed1bf8…
06-09 10:08:09	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x102afa…
06-09 10:07:24	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xe7fc92…
06-09 10:07:24	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9268c8…
06-09 10:07:24	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x8c62d3…
06-09 10:07:24	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x252121…
06-09 10:07:19	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3e073f…
06-09 10:01:46	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x053a41…
06-05 11:00:55	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0xc8d4f3…
06-05 11:00:55	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x6a295a…
06-05 11:00:55	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	47	72¢	$33	0x5de4bc…
06-05 11:00:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x88587f…
06-05 11:00:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x676f30…
06-05 11:00:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x483ae8…
06-05 11:00:40	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0xc2b1b9…
06-05 11:00:40	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x4719d4…
06-05 11:00:40	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x2e623b…