Thankful-Armor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,122

lifetime

Volume

$178.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-07 11:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 33% $-38

Politics

18% — —

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on june 18 2026	10	$6.7K	3,850	3,850	+0	open	—	06-18 19:32
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	2	$6.7K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	06-12 16:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$6.6K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	06-12 21:17
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	10	$4.2K	2,537	2,537	+0	open	—	03-02 16:26
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-25 15:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	2	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-20 07:31
spx up or down on june 5 2026	66	$3.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	06-05 11:00
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	6	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-17 16:43
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	20	$2.6K	1,699	1,418	+281	open	—	02-26 18:18
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	5	$2.4K	2,535	2,535	+0	Up	$-40	05-05 07:25
will graham platner drop out by july 7	2	$2.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-07 06:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	1	$2.2K	0	4,000	-4,000	open	—	05-22 09:35
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	12	$2.0K	1,436	1,436	+0	open	—	03-03 14:56
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	15	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-13 15:13
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	6	$1.8K	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	04-10 09:26
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	7	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-31 08:37
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 13c	33	$1.6K	824	824	+0	open	—	03-17 19:03
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-04 21:11
highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 13c	38	$1.5K	735	735	+0	open	—	03-16 23:34
highest temperature in munich on march 28 2026 12c	18	$1.4K	734	734	+0	open	—	03-27 22:45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	11	$1.4K	1,306	1,304	+2	open	—	04-28 09:26
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 10c	6	$1.3K	662	662	+0	open	—	03-12 10:03
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 74forhigher	12	$1.3K	663	663	+0	open	—	03-31 08:55
will uk strike iran by march 31	8	$1.3K	780	780	+0	open	—	03-01 16:55
spx up or down on july 2 2026	16	$1.2K	852	752	+100	open	—	07-02 21:27
highest temperature in munich on march 9 2026 17c	7	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-09 17:39
highest temperature in paris on march 16 2026 16corhigher	6	$1.1K	558	558	+0	open	—	03-16 08:01
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	3	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	07-05 15:58
will nepali congress win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	4	$1.1K	536	536	+0	open	—	03-06 16:49
spy up or down on july 8 2026	9	$1.0K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	07-08 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 11:12:28	spy up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x005020…
08-07 11:12:22	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x28d84a…
08-02 19:09:36	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf62bb7…
08-02 19:09:30	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6aac6c…
08-02 09:48:38	spy up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5d2e6d…
08-02 09:48:33	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x26cb92…
07-28 12:24:16	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x8fe35d…
07-27 06:22:09	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x576d83…
07-25 15:06:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	2,000	97¢	$1,946	0xbf1e69…
07-25 12:39:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,944	0x93ab05…
07-24 07:09:16	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0d5395…
07-24 07:09:13	spx up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x66eaaa…
07-22 10:20:09	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xd97d33…
07-22 10:17:33	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xcdb409…
07-17 12:50:12	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbb5e4a…
07-17 12:50:07	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x00e278…
07-16 15:49:43	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x9d35ce…
07-16 15:45:10	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xaadf1c…
07-16 15:44:38	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x89f78a…
07-16 15:44:35	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xaf6412…
07-15 13:05:31	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2dba7c…
07-15 13:05:10	spy up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2be96e…
07-13 13:41:47	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	24	73¢	$18	0x0190df…
07-13 13:41:01	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x9728db…
07-13 13:34:16	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x690920…
07-08 17:46:40	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	200	90¢	$179	0x722cfa…
07-08 17:46:29	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	200	10¢	$19	0x545f4e…
07-08 17:45:37	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x0ce760…
07-08 17:45:11	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x6843b4…
07-08 17:45:07	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	185	85¢	$157	0xef423e…
07-08 17:44:52	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x005be6…
07-08 17:44:47	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x9b5d36…
07-08 17:40:31	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x5854b1…
07-08 17:40:26	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	200	15¢	$31	0x7d02ae…
07-08 17:40:02	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x91d500…
07-08 17:39:58	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x14d2e8…
07-08 17:39:31	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x92fc30…
07-08 17:38:41	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xb4383c…
07-08 17:36:19	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x357648…
07-08 17:33:26	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x7debb5…
07-08 17:30:46	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa8c4a7…
07-08 17:30:43	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xb2a87b…
07-07 20:15:59	spx up or down on july 7 2026	Up	SELL	301	0¢	$0	0xd2f566…
07-07 20:15:44	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x638f3f…
07-07 09:57:32	spx up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x82ab46…
07-07 09:57:29	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x5e3918…
07-07 06:27:01	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	SELL	3,000	34¢	$1,022	0x4b38e6…
07-07 06:03:59	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	BUY	3,000	40¢	$1,200	0x0c6680…
07-07 05:41:37	spx up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	47	37¢	$17	0xe173a1…
07-07 05:31:53	spx up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	154	32¢	$49	0xdfc66a…
07-07 05:31:38	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x44dcb3…
07-07 05:31:37	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x6cbaa2…
07-05 16:05:02	btc updown 5m 1783267200	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x91741a…
07-05 15:59:53	btc updown 5m 1783266900	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3f3927…
07-05 15:58:01	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	SELL	585	66¢	$386	0x527f70…
07-05 15:53:41	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	SELL	215	69¢	$147	0xd0d827…
07-05 15:45:40	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	800	69¢	$554	0xaac929…
07-02 21:32:40	btc updown 5m 1783027800	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc16dae…
07-02 21:27:11	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	752	100¢	$751	0xcf9fdc…
07-02 07:24:52	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x32d5de…
07-02 07:24:44	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xada5bc…
07-02 07:06:10	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x763ded…
07-02 07:05:58	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd00075…
07-02 07:01:02	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x37f559…
07-02 07:00:47	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcfe1b8…
07-02 06:57:31	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xa68f14…
07-02 06:57:25	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xb54bd4…
07-02 06:56:56	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xc014f1…
07-02 06:56:50	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3fe4fd…
07-02 06:52:25	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x74f63a…
07-02 06:52:19	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xef9921…
07-02 06:51:56	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc9b043…
07-02 06:51:52	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x38af77…
07-02 06:49:49	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfd2328…
07-02 06:49:43	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa7ce0b…
07-02 06:49:13	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x3dd122…
07-02 06:49:07	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xda5b0c…
07-02 06:48:35	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	268	47¢	$126	0xcbe8b9…
07-02 06:48:26	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	268	52¢	$139	0xf2141e…
07-02 06:48:05	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0xb8d1b2…
07-02 06:47:56	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x56ad46…
07-01 22:19:20	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xea971f…
07-01 22:19:16	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7e806c…
07-01 22:18:44	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x53bb7f…
07-01 22:18:38	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x62691b…
07-01 22:17:05	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x70e332…
07-01 22:16:59	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xc0456e…
07-01 22:15:43	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc3bb97…
07-01 22:15:35	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x90678b…
07-01 17:06:01	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xd13c5e…
07-01 17:05:56	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0xc70797…
07-01 17:00:40	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x3cc4f0…
07-01 17:00:40	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x22d8e1…
07-01 17:00:40	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x02d723…
07-01 17:00:38	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x60b632…
07-01 17:00:35	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa5ec32…
07-01 17:00:35	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x0bd821…
07-01 15:25:04	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x5c9cdd…
07-01 15:25:01	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc9b90f…
07-01 15:22:26	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xed3458…