Realized P&L (30d)
-$187
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved (30d)
654
Trades (30d)
1,415
1,428 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.19K
$3.33K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$67
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 10-29 03:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
60% 24% -$116
Sports
24% 32% -$99
Politics
10% 75% +$14
Crypto
6% 28% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $6 36¢ $6 +$0 10-01 14:05
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +11 $4 44¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:40
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +11 $4 46¢ $5 +$0 10-27 12:41
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 10-27 00:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $4 32¢ $3 $0 10-05 16:20
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-05 18:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $4 32¢ $3 $0 10-05 16:30
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $3 29¢ $3 +$0 10-08 11:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +11 $4 28¢ $3 -$1 10-05 16:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $3 22¢ $3 $0 10-05 12:10
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +14 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 10-23 04:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 34¢ $2 +$1 10-05 06:10
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 10-04 00:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-14 15:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-23 09:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 14¢ $2 $0 10-23 03:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 10-23 01:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +6 $2 30¢ $2 $0 10-20 11:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +25 $2 6¢ $2 $0 10-23 09:50
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +5 $1 30¢ $2 +$0 10-03 05:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $0 10-08 11:25
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 10-05 08:50
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 24¢ $1 -$1 10-11 02:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-04 00:41
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-04 23:59
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-10 23:55
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +2 $1 32¢ $1 $0 10-24 22:11
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +22 -$39 3¢ $1 +$40 10-05 00:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $0 10-04 23:59
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +24 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-21 06:20