Ready-Bell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$434

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

498

Trades

10,880

lifetime

Volume

$1.76M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Politics

76% 57% -$32,787

Other

20% 62% +$544

Sports

3% 94% +$1,070

Crypto

1% 56% -$151

Tech

0% 75% +$78

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	-$191	71¢	$0	+$191	09-14 02:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	05-18 16:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$625	3¢	$0	-$625	09-01 08:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	127	$63.4K	50,568	52,401	-1,834	Yes	-$802	03-29 12:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	65	$57.2K	32,824	33,787	-963	No	+$958	04-15 16:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	140	$52.2K	24,687	29,687	-5,000	No	-$214	03-13 07:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	250	$42.9K	123,118	123,118	+0	No	-$6,593	04-21 15:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	97	$41.9K	23,558	25,158	-1,600	No	+$9	04-01 04:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	84	$35.6K	20,603	17,518	+3,085	No	+$1,803	03-31 08:11
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	155	$33.6K	24,881	26,614	-1,732	No	+$1,625	03-22 19:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	81	$33.6K	33,764	33,764	+0	No	-$9,650	04-15 21:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	54	$30.6K	15,920	15,920	+0	Yes	+$108	04-07 16:55
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	167	$29.6K	20,489	21,581	-1,092	No	+$573	03-09 14:21
will uae strike iran by march 31	156	$29.0K	19,644	17,794	+1,850	No	+$1,834	03-22 17:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	88	$27.5K	21,287	21,621	-334	Yes	-$163	02-22 09:10
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	181	$25.8K	22,954	34,881	-11,927	Yes	-$7,740	04-04 17:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	188	$22.1K	29,025	30,562	-1,538	No	+$1,647	05-30 01:59
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	89	$21.4K	11,495	10,935	+559	Yes	+$26	01-23 04:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	49	$21.3K	12,601	11,796	+805	No	+$492	05-22 03:57
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	55	$21.2K	11,606	11,606	+0	Down	+$215	03-02 14:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	52	$18.2K	11,359	11,359	+0	Yes	+$319	04-22 04:25
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	67	$17.2K	11,477	11,477	+0	No	-$2,118	04-10 16:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	106	$17.2K	33,564	34,085	-520	No	-$7,969	04-24 14:10
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	18	$17.0K	8,655	8,655	+0	No	+$35	02-23 04:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	31	$17.0K	10,847	10,846	+0	No	+$1,536	04-12 19:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	88	$17.0K	28,702	28,831	-129	Yes	+$1,246	04-03 19:12
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	32	$16.6K	7,600	9,600	-2,000	No	-$42	03-14 12:15
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	73	$15.6K	12,400	12,400	+0	Yes	+$619	02-28 02:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	58	$15.6K	16,255	16,255	+0	No	-$2,802	04-21 00:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	21	$15.3K	8,753	8,753	+0	No	-$96	04-17 13:00
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	86	$14.4K	10,724	10,724	+0	No	+$90	03-14 04:25
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	50	$14.4K	7,148	7,813	-665	Yes	+$318	03-01 06:45
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	10	$14.3K	7,237	7,237	+0	No	+$33	02-25 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:35:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x866f84…
10-28 12:35:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xaaf012…
10-27 11:09:27	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x72bd74…
10-26 02:06:38	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x59efe2…
10-24 21:00:57	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x3a4e2b…
10-24 20:57:12	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	59	33¢	$19	0x5da59b…
10-24 17:26:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	139	94¢	$131	0x80eed5…
10-17 15:40:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	557	87¢	$485	0x78095d…
10-04 03:52:17	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x13aa8f…
10-04 03:06:43	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	62¢	$37	0xd0420e…
10-04 03:06:41	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	406	62¢	$252	0x4d525a…
10-04 02:55:13	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	160	62¢	$99	0xf4164c…
10-04 02:55:13	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	149	62¢	$92	0x661132…
10-04 02:55:10	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	133	62¢	$82	0xf85fa3…
10-04 02:50:13	Army vs. Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xf97466…
10-04 02:50:13	Army vs. Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x7cecf2…
10-04 02:50:13	Army vs. Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	SELL	81	95¢	$77	0x2c935e…
10-04 02:45:01	Army vs. Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	BUY	150	98¢	$148	0xd6a8e9…
10-04 02:45:01	Army vs. Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x408420…
10-04 02:45:01	Army vs. Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0x14d0d5…
10-04 02:45:01	Army vs. Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0x03f8e1…
10-04 02:32:31	Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0x51ff8e…
10-04 02:20:20	Army vs. Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0x4f6026…
10-04 01:59:35	Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	BUY	277	97¢	$269	0x1da070…
10-04 01:59:25	Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcd6c34…
10-04 01:58:49	Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x92fc14…
10-04 01:58:47	Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	BUY	161	97¢	$156	0x4176af…
10-03 19:36:54	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x2d61fb…
10-03 19:34:12	UCF vs. Houston	Houston	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xa0e9cd…
10-03 19:23:57	UCF vs. Houston	Houston	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0x4dad55…
10-03 18:08:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	120	73¢	$88	0x458e16…
10-03 16:53:59	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x4aae1b…
10-03 16:43:00	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	163	73¢	$119	0x3b8bb8…
10-03 15:21:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x573b43…
10-03 15:06:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd9eaf9…
10-03 14:46:17	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x40c293…
10-03 14:40:41	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	73¢	$48	0x6a3c33…
10-03 14:39:12	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	370	73¢	$270	0xeb5429…
10-03 14:07:39	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xd7f572…
10-03 12:59:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc98adb…
10-03 10:24:53	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	203	73¢	$148	0xf48628…
10-03 04:32:47	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	464	98¢	$452	0x0a3de5…
10-03 04:32:06	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x7cb775…
10-03 04:01:03	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb9fce2…
10-03 04:00:39	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x7eedd6…
10-03 04:00:20	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdf1e0d…
10-03 03:58:53	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xd2a2db…
10-03 03:41:32	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0xf0aee2…
10-03 03:41:12	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0xab6506…
10-03 03:29:08	Gemini 4.0 released by October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	452	100¢	$452	0xc1a84f…
10-03 02:39:47	Penn State vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0xa4dff1…
10-03 02:39:47	Penn State vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	393	97¢	$382	0x5c0af1…
10-03 02:39:21	Penn State vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0xb62c77…
10-03 02:39:14	Penn State vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x713a65…
10-03 02:37:42	Penn State vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	338	97¢	$328	0xf40a61…
10-03 02:33:11	Penn State vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	107	96¢	$102	0xdc24b2…
10-03 02:30:21	Penn State vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	150	95¢	$143	0xaf1376…
10-03 00:17:57	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x31957a…
10-02 18:32:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0xfb6435…
10-02 18:32:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0xc138fe…
10-02 18:32:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0xb65a59…
10-02 18:32:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0x816201…
10-02 18:32:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	160	22¢	$35	0x2ca418…
10-02 18:32:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0x91d0b3…
10-02 18:32:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0x7699bc…
10-02 18:32:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0x6847ac…
10-02 18:32:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0x5f3676…
10-02 18:32:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0x2be4f4…
10-02 18:32:35	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	489	22¢	$108	0xfc01ac…
10-02 18:32:35	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,057	22¢	$233	0x2aa92e…
10-02 16:40:50	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,636	26¢	$1,465	0x3ccab1…
10-02 16:39:11	Gemini 4.0 released by October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb3d8a5…
10-02 16:38:57	Gemini 4.0 released by October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x75654f…
10-02 14:14:42	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6b159c…
10-02 12:38:14	LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	T1 Academy	SELL	547	100¢	$546	0x9b7f7f…
10-02 12:36:09	LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	T1 Academy	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x05a29a…
10-02 12:36:08	LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	T1 Academy	BUY	182	97¢	$177	0xbbc604…
10-02 12:35:53	LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	T1 Academy	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x0a825d…
10-02 12:35:50	LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	T1 Academy	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0xf17cd0…
10-02 10:41:09	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	684	19¢	$130	0x53825a…
10-02 10:41:09	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	746	19¢	$142	0x221fbc…
10-02 10:39:11	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	8,000	13¢	$1,040	0x6770fe…
10-02 10:29:35	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	8,000	14¢	$1,120	0x9bc853…
10-02 10:24:03	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x627a95…
10-02 10:11:47	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x23daab…
10-02 09:51:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4d0b64…
10-02 09:51:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x18910c…
10-02 09:51:14	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	1,364	19¢	$259	0x50be5d…
10-02 09:26:23	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x75deaf…
10-02 09:25:59	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x8928c4…
10-02 09:25:59	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x2dfc3b…
10-02 09:23:12	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xfb8839…
10-02 09:23:12	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xa39176…
10-02 09:23:12	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x544838…
10-02 09:13:32	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	39	21¢	$8	0xcbc82b…
10-02 09:11:47	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	39	21¢	$8	0x037775…
10-02 09:11:29	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xa381e9…
10-02 09:11:29	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x7be136…
10-02 09:10:48	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x71ac7c…
10-02 09:10:48	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x59e5ff…