Imperfect-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-13 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

64% 96% +$1

Crypto

29% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		-70	-$67	95¢	$-66	+$0	05-07 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	3	$102	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	02-24 12:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-24 13:23
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$82	82	0	+82	No	+$0	03-25 13:36
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$67	0	70	-70	open	—	05-07 15:01
will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	02-23 06:02
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$56	30	30	+0	No	+$0	02-01 14:21
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-01 14:37
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 420 439	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-10 13:38
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 20	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-20 15:14
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 21?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-19 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C on June 27?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-04 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	08-05 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 10?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-09 14:31
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-23 14:59
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-14 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 46°C on June 27?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-26 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-21 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on June 10?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-09 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-09 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 3?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-02 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-04 15:10
ethereum above 1700 on april 2	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 3?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-02 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-13 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-23 14:58
ethereum above 1600 on april 3	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-23 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 27?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-26 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-23 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 14:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2fdfcf…
10-13 14:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe654e7…
10-13 14:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7dc9d9…
09-21 14:50:24	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b50ca…
09-21 14:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x69d07e…
09-03 14:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3b155d…
09-03 14:07:04	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6c7f45…
08-23 15:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbdc77e…
08-23 15:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbe7908…
08-23 15:41:21	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x78b7af…
08-23 15:41:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xada712…
08-05 13:39:20	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf76a45…
08-05 13:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7f1906…
08-05 13:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a1885…
08-05 13:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9f63b1…
08-05 13:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe49ffb…
07-23 14:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2f84c3…
07-23 14:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf74f70…
07-23 14:59:04	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfc899b…
07-23 14:58:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x35a9fa…
07-23 14:58:37	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6e8109…
07-04 15:12:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xba0e46…
07-04 15:11:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb0cbb…
07-04 15:11:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd922b2…
07-04 15:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xebe7a1…
07-04 15:10:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x02bb91…
06-26 12:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x053f12…
06-26 12:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x76d1fc…
06-26 12:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x17686f…
06-26 12:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C on June 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf15f3d…
06-26 12:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 46°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0b9cb4…
06-09 14:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfd1c96…
06-09 14:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8e9c65…
06-09 14:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf90274…
06-09 14:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0c4f79…
06-09 14:30:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf87f9f…
06-02 13:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on June 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42be54…
06-02 13:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x672127…
06-02 13:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xed4c07…
06-02 13:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6b4388…
06-02 13:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc172ab…
05-19 11:10:33	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 21?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd06a91…
05-19 11:09:41	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6d66ac…
05-19 11:09:29	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4081e1…
05-19 11:09:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x16e3e6…
05-07 15:02:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf5ade9…
05-07 15:01:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc72eb9…
05-07 15:01:33	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$67	0x917ebd…
04-29 15:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb936ea…
04-14 13:39:29	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc662db…
04-14 13:39:05	ethereum above 2000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x184f87…
04-01 14:37:03	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd162a9…
04-01 14:36:47	ethereum above 1600 on april 3	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6b2ec5…
04-01 14:36:43	ethereum above 2500 on april 3	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x15d4f3…
04-01 14:36:33	ethereum above 1700 on april 2	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x51a05c…
03-25 13:36:21	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xb0c740…
03-10 13:40:09	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2552e0…
03-10 13:38:59	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 420 439	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6a62c7…
02-24 13:23:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc51351…
02-24 13:09:38	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xe8396d…
02-24 13:03:16	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x92c1c2…
02-24 13:03:16	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0x4fc46b…
02-24 12:54:18	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Down	SELL	90	51¢	$46	0x57e786…
02-24 12:54:00	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xb9e238…
02-24 12:53:48	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xf1068a…
02-23 06:02:36	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc05c33…
02-13 13:54:15	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xef0419…
02-01 14:23:26	ethereum above 2700 on february 1	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc8bab7…
02-01 14:21:54	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xbc30e7…
02-01 14:19:20	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x6a8992…
01-20 15:14:40	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 20	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xca701b…