Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$516

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$4.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$152

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-10 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Politics

73% 33% -$270

Other

14% 23% -$349

Tech

11% 80% +$97

Sports

2% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+260	$78	45¢	$117	+$39	09-16 14:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+500	$25	4¢	$22	-$2	10-10 22:13
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+1,569	$10	1¢	$10	+$0	09-29 21:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	+1,250	$10	0¢	$2	-$8	10-10 22:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump praise allah again by april 15	1	$500	549	0	+549	Yes	-$500	04-07 08:17
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$300	495	0	+495	No	-$300	03-03 23:08
trump approval up or down this week 596	9	$258	263	263	+0	Down	+$60	03-06 20:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$230	250	0	+250	Yes	+$20	03-22 19:40
will uae strike iran by march 31	6	$220	286	286	+0	No	+$20	03-09 04:00
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$200	228	0	+228	No	+$28	03-05 09:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$150	2,324	0	+2,324	No	-$150	04-09 05:41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$150	194	0	+194	Yes	+$44	05-01 10:51
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	1	$130	1,083	0	+1,083	Yes	+$953	02-15 21:57
will trump say transgender this week march 8	2	$110	228	0	+228	No	+$118	03-01 22:28
will trump say toyota this week march 8	6	$102	120	0	+120	No	+$18	03-01 15:36
us strike on somalia by march 7 324	2	$101	126	0	+126	No	+$25	03-10 07:50
will trump say g20 this week march 8	1	$100	125	0	+125	No	+$25	03-07 10:53
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$100	909	0	+909	No	-$100	03-09 17:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$100	148	0	+148	Yes	+$48	05-01 10:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$100	112	0	+112	No	+$12	02-28 23:19
will trump say n word in march	1	$100	111	0	+111	No	+$11	03-01 14:04
will trump say ass or shit this week march 15	1	$100	133	0	+133	Yes	-$100	03-08 18:45
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	3	$92	100	100	+0	No	+$6	03-11 12:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$78	260	0	+260	open	—	09-16 14:43
will trumps approval rating be between 42pt0 and 42pt4 on february 27 2026	2	$75	73	73	+0	Yes	+$5	02-26 19:49
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$66	52	52	+0	No	+$6	03-01 14:05
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	2	$63	34	34	+0	No	+$3	03-02 00:21
will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 6 2026	17	$60	718	0	+718	No	-$60	03-03 17:51
trump approval up or down this week 619	1	$50	120	0	+120	Down	-$50	03-07 00:14
will trump say iq this week march 8	1	$50	58	0	+58	No	+$8	03-07 20:53
will trump say transgender during miami address	1	$50	101	0	+101	Yes	-$50	03-09 17:03
will trump say hottest during miami address	1	$50	132	0	+132	Yes	-$50	03-09 17:04
will hegseth or cooper say epic fury 5 times during press conference	1	$50	81	0	+81	No	+$31	03-05 16:41
will khamenei tweet again by march 7 216	1	$50	68	0	+68	Yes	-$50	03-06 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 22:13:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xe2af1b…
10-10 22:13:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x06b3cc…
09-29 21:24:54	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,569	1¢	$10	0x301bb8…
09-16 14:48:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$20	0xeedfc6…
09-16 14:43:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	260	30¢	$78	0x91234e…
05-01 10:51:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x5da54f…
05-01 10:51:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	194	77¢	$150	0x656a32…
04-09 05:41:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,824	3¢	$50	0x247ffe…
04-07 08:17:33	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xcfb83f…
03-24 08:13:13	will israel take military action in gaza on march 25 2026	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x961b32…
03-24 08:13:07	will israel take military action in gaza on march 24 2026	No	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x9cc344…
03-24 08:12:51	will israel take military action in gaza on march 23 2026	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x4961c6…
03-24 08:09:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0xe3ca69…
03-22 19:40:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0xb4041b…
03-22 19:25:59	will trumps approval rating be at least 42pt0 on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	631	4¢	$25	0x754b41…
03-13 21:36:23	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0x92f364…
03-11 12:30:39	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	Yes	SELL	98	49¢	$48	0x0d1dd3…
03-11 12:29:33	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x1086e0…
03-10 14:34:35	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5e8caf…
03-10 14:11:27	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0x387810…
03-10 13:10:31	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x7ee935…
03-10 13:03:21	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3447da…
03-10 12:24:49	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x639a6d…
03-10 11:54:23	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8fd61d…
03-10 11:08:45	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$1	0x3080b8…
03-10 11:08:43	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xd2e98c…
03-10 10:07:57	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xba8676…
03-10 10:07:49	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd3246d…
03-10 07:50:31	us strike on somalia by march 7 324	No	BUY	66	77¢	$51	0xe12a07…
03-10 07:32:03	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb99fa4…
03-10 07:32:03	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x641108…
03-10 07:32:01	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc82783…
03-10 07:12:21	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xfd7c22…
03-10 07:12:21	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf4a54c…
03-10 07:12:21	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe044cd…
03-10 07:12:21	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x72e035…
03-10 05:48:07	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0xc6f436…
03-10 03:47:59	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0xa38def…
03-10 01:33:05	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x88a175…
03-10 00:00:59	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x8c457d…
03-10 00:00:59	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x6449aa…
03-10 00:00:31	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x424229…
03-09 23:35:17	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7bf4b0…
03-09 22:48:03	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x391a25…
03-09 22:48:01	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8742b4…
03-09 22:31:09	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xb8b36d…
03-09 22:30:45	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4bfd44…
03-09 22:28:41	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe0535e…
03-09 22:28:25	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x8b0812…
03-09 22:28:21	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe47cce…
03-09 22:28:21	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x20e7c5…
03-09 22:09:31	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x9859f1…
03-09 21:51:03	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf383dd…
03-09 20:58:25	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x498486…
03-09 20:50:29	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x363d67…
03-09 20:28:41	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7bf8c8…
03-09 20:27:15	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0x9a928e…
03-09 19:56:15	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x33ab6e…
03-09 18:54:17	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	332	2¢	$7	0xd3682a…
03-09 17:04:05	will trump say hottest during miami address	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xb80c58…
03-09 17:03:41	will trump say transgender during miami address	No	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0xf96ff5…
03-09 17:00:47	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0xe951a3…
03-09 10:24:41	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	276	2¢	$6	0xa248ac…
03-09 07:40:31	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x6fa9ac…
03-09 05:00:51	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x8fb618…
03-09 04:00:11	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	113	42¢	$47	0x7a1730…
03-09 02:46:55	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7699f2…
03-09 02:44:27	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xb28aed…
03-09 02:39:05	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xeccff9…
03-09 02:31:23	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xdd6f08…
03-09 02:28:11	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xfd8348…
03-09 02:28:09	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9c9efc…
03-09 02:28:09	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x81eff1…
03-09 02:27:19	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xa588ca…
03-09 02:27:19	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5a06c7…
03-09 02:27:19	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x2fe848…
03-09 02:27:19	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x29c15f…
03-09 02:27:19	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x241718…
03-09 02:27:03	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xfef5dc…
03-09 02:27:03	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x059a75…
03-09 02:25:57	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x5f68b7…
03-09 02:15:57	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x829ac0…
03-09 01:26:13	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf01c09…
03-09 01:26:13	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x1bad66…
03-09 00:53:29	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcc8a8a…
03-09 00:15:51	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd8bb96…
03-09 00:04:07	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x21e986…
03-08 23:48:21	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x27df06…
03-08 22:44:41	us strike on somalia by march 7 324	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x53622f…
03-08 18:45:29	will trump say ass or shit this week march 15	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x620568…
03-08 16:29:09	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x65ef75…
03-08 16:28:19	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x508511…
03-08 16:27:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xb5b645…
03-08 16:23:17	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	105	42¢	$44	0x400d6d…
03-08 14:19:29	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x4d6e29…
03-07 20:53:13	will trump say iq this week march 8	No	BUY	58	85¢	$50	0x2cf431…
03-07 19:05:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x705de4…
03-07 10:53:43	will trump say g20 this week march 8	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x0f34d4…
03-07 00:14:37	trump approval up or down this week 619	Up	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x72112f…
03-06 20:08:17	trump approval up or down this week 596	Up	SELL	103	54¢	$55	0x3c625a…