Frightening-Lounge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-08 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

62% — —

Other

29% 67% $-23

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$759	502	312	+191	open	—	06-01 04:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$638	332	332	+0	open	—	06-08 01:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$440	270	270	+0	open	—	05-26 17:16
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	3	$338	255	255	+0	No	+$4	04-08 13:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$231	0	248	-248	open	—	06-08 01:18
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	4	$217	377	377	+0	Yes	$-50	04-09 14:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$176	121	121	+0	open	—	06-08 01:18
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	3	$122	66	66	+0	open	—	03-27 03:35
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5	3	$79	95	65	+30	open	—	05-25 02:34
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$77	287	0	+287	open	—	04-08 13:57
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	2	$73	51	51	+0	open	—	03-26 21:23
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$64	306	0	+306	open	—	04-09 14:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	3	$60	350	0	+350	open	—	03-27 15:37
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$39	42	42	+0	open	—	03-27 15:15
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5	1	$30	53	0	+53	Under	+$23	05-10 04:07
btc updown 5m 1771035000	8	$29	28	27	+0	open	—	02-14 02:15
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$28	29	29	+0	open	—	03-31 02:05
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	1	$24	47	0	+47	open	—	02-08 04:50
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$22	94	94	+0	open	—	02-11 16:23
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$20	51	51	+0	open	—	03-27 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 02:11
btc updown 5m 1771035600	5	$19	72	71	+0	open	—	02-14 02:24
btc updown 5m 1771035300	5	$15	34	22	+12	open	—	02-14 02:19
btc updown 15m 1770826500	2	$11	38	38	+0	open	—	02-11 16:24
btc updown 15m 1770827400	2	$9	37	37	+0	open	—	02-11 16:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	1	$9	78	0	+78	open	—	03-31 02:06
btc updown 5m 1771035900	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	02-14 02:25
btc updown 5m 1771033500	6	$5	9	4	+5	open	—	02-14 01:49
btc updown 5m 1771125900	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	02-15 03:25
btc updown 5m 1771034700	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 01:18:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	248	93¢	$231	0x3e0f0d…
06-08 01:18:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x6a9c7c…
06-08 01:18:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	121	76¢	$92	0x37a521…
06-03 23:10:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	121	70¢	$84	0x0a371b…
06-03 23:10:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	90	94¢	$85	0xcd50b0…
06-01 04:02:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	332	94¢	$312	0x9a3202…
06-01 04:00:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$311	0x6bee9d…
05-31 03:03:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	312	98¢	$305	0xd3d93b…
05-26 17:17:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	191	75¢	$143	0xd0f1c1…
05-26 17:16:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0x4cfdbb…
05-25 14:44:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	148	87¢	$129	0x37c2b6…
05-25 02:34:16	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0f29db…
05-25 02:28:12	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	65	61¢	$39	0xf90453…
05-25 02:25:59	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x972bd3…
05-25 02:22:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	122	92¢	$112	0x79057f…
05-24 00:34:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	122	45¢	$55	0x3a23ff…
05-11 02:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xaadb53…
05-11 02:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8f33ed…
05-10 04:07:50	CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x490298…
04-09 14:51:15	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	306	21¢	$64	0x36829b…
04-09 14:50:53	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	350	18¢	$64	0x585608…
04-08 13:57:09	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	287	27¢	$77	0xd60d6d…
04-08 13:56:19	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	350	32¢	$113	0x05a1ea…
04-08 13:55:23	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	SELL	27	72¢	$20	0xd8a0d1…
04-08 13:54:57	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x44e7ca…
04-08 13:54:57	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	254	67¢	$170	0x036295…
03-31 02:06:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	78	11¢	$9	0x049124…
03-31 02:05:19	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x5aa9ad…
03-31 00:50:25	btc updown 5m 1774918200	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xb448ed…
03-30 23:09:39	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xcdbcd5…
03-27 15:37:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	98	17¢	$17	0x4e461e…
03-27 15:36:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xd4af49…
03-27 15:22:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	134	17¢	$23	0xe98874…
03-27 15:15:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	42	46¢	$19	0x526698…
03-27 14:09:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xea6089…
03-27 03:35:19	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	No	SELL	66	92¢	$61	0xdc9e83…
03-27 03:06:21	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x067a55…
03-27 02:47:55	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x9a204c…
03-27 02:22:05	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0x16d6e7…
03-26 21:23:19	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x3ed8e4…
03-26 02:44:57	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xa1cced…
03-26 02:41:29	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$21	0xb38a90…
03-26 00:52:45	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x709fac…
03-25 23:45:43	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	255	65¢	$167	0xc98e95…
02-19 21:32:46	spx up or down on february 19 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbca784…
02-19 16:58:52	spx up or down on february 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x386d07…
02-19 16:58:26	spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb72b03…
02-19 13:56:32	spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8ba413…
02-15 03:25:31	btc updown 5m 1771125900	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0a5cb3…
02-14 02:25:37	btc updown 5m 1771035900	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x9b169a…
02-14 02:25:15	btc updown 5m 1771035900	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1a59d2…
02-14 02:24:39	btc updown 5m 1771035600	Up	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x87b729…
02-14 02:23:23	btc updown 5m 1771035600	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x72be28…
02-14 02:21:19	btc updown 5m 1771035600	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x778219…
02-14 02:20:59	btc updown 5m 1771035600	Up	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x5e6661…
02-14 02:20:23	btc updown 5m 1771035600	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x266511…
02-14 02:19:03	btc updown 5m 1771035300	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb7d3ec…
02-14 02:18:41	btc updown 5m 1771035300	Up	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0xd8a1b2…
02-14 02:18:31	btc updown 5m 1771035300	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x7a26e5…
02-14 02:17:57	btc updown 5m 1771035300	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x222322…
02-14 02:17:41	btc updown 5m 1771035300	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xcaec8e…
02-14 02:15:15	btc updown 5m 1771035000	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb9104a…
02-14 02:14:49	btc updown 5m 1771035000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3c9446…
02-14 02:13:49	btc updown 5m 1771035000	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x10e576…
02-14 02:13:13	btc updown 5m 1771035000	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0aa71e…
02-14 02:12:21	btc updown 5m 1771035000	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x952da0…
02-14 02:11:21	btc updown 5m 1771035000	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2bc589…
02-14 02:11:05	btc updown 5m 1771035000	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x713939…
02-14 02:10:17	btc updown 5m 1771035000	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xca9a3c…
02-14 02:09:27	btc updown 5m 1771034700	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x486a6b…
02-14 02:08:59	btc updown 5m 1771034700	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x980248…
02-14 02:08:51	eth updown 15m 1771034400	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x2226e0…
02-14 02:06:49	eth updown 15m 1771034400	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x83a0ec…
02-14 01:54:37	btc updown 5m 1771033800	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x160133…
02-14 01:53:43	btc updown 5m 1771033800	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x52d4de…
02-14 01:53:19	btc updown 5m 1771033800	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x835846…
02-14 01:50:23	btc updown 5m 1771033800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfe33b9…
02-14 01:49:21	btc updown 5m 1771033500	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x20cc96…
02-14 01:48:49	btc updown 5m 1771033500	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd83991…
02-14 01:48:29	btc updown 5m 1771033500	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2e60a7…
02-14 01:48:13	btc updown 5m 1771033500	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x04e9d0…
02-14 01:47:55	btc updown 5m 1771033500	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x70a780…
02-14 01:47:35	btc updown 5m 1771033500	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3cea7e…
02-11 16:50:07	btc updown 15m 1770828300	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xd08e24…
02-11 16:46:45	btc updown 15m 1770828300	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x10e5ee…
02-11 16:42:57	btc updown 15m 1770827400	Up	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x9a2a2c…
02-11 16:36:03	btc updown 15m 1770827400	Up	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0xc68969…
02-11 16:24:17	btc updown 15m 1770826500	Up	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0xd4d1a8…
02-11 16:23:41	btc updown 15m 1770826500	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3dbdda…
02-11 16:23:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	94	7¢	$7	0xc37cf4…
02-10 15:44:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x723d72…
02-08 04:50:15	spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xa0a12e…
02-08 04:45:03	btc updown 15m 1770525000	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x67548d…