Damaged-Lilac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$532

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

2,872

Trades

3,410

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-26 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 53% +$108

Other

6% 57% +$302

Politics

1% 100% +$123

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$802	1,451	1,451	+0	Yes	+$202	03-21 05:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$309	1,584	1,525	+59	No	+$89	04-14 01:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$276	382	382	+0	Yes	+$84	04-07 23:34
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	2	$193	132	132	+0	Yes	$-7	04-21 22:09
btc updown 5m 1772902800	2	$155	150	142	+8	Up	+$7	03-07 17:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$105	176	171	+6	Yes	+$51	04-15 04:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$83	333	333	+0	Yes	+$23	04-06 02:47
btc updown 5m 1772901600	5	$60	64	55	+9	Up	$-6	03-07 16:40
fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	2	$56	58	58	+0	Under	$-4	06-26 03:16
btc updown 5m 1772859600	1	$54	100	0	+100	Up	+$46	03-07 04:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$51	115	111	+4	Yes	+$1	04-11 11:17
btc updown 5m 1772873100	3	$45	62	28	+34	Up	$-13	03-07 08:45
btc updown 5m 1773207300	3	$43	49	31	+18	Down	$-1	03-11 05:35
btc updown 5m 1772940900	3	$39	40	31	+9	Down	+$2	03-08 03:35
btc updown 5m 1773223800	2	$38	87	0	+87	Up	+$17	03-11 10:14
btc updown 15m 1774361700	2	$37	34	33	+1	Up	$-1	03-24 14:18
btc updown 5m 1773198600	3	$36	42	32	+10	Down	$-8	03-11 03:10
btc updown 5m 1773252000	2	$36	69	0	+69	Up	+$1	03-11 18:01
btc updown 5m 1772768100	2	$36	24	24	+0	Down	+$12	03-06 03:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$35	476	476	+0	Yes	+$15	04-06 02:47
btc updown 5m 1772904000	1	$35	64	0	+64	Up	+$29	03-07 17:20
btc updown 5m 1772963100	3	$34	37	32	+6	Down	+$2	03-08 09:45
btc updown 5m 1773225300	2	$34	65	0	+65	Up	$-1	03-11 10:35
btc updown 5m 1772902500	1	$34	64	0	+64	Down	+$30	03-07 16:55
btc updown 5m 1773238500	2	$34	76	0	+76	Up	+$10	03-11 14:15
btc updown 5m 1772840700	3	$33	36	26	+10	Down	+$0	03-06 23:49
btc updown 5m 1772873400	1	$32	64	0	+64	Down	+$32	03-07 08:50
btc updown 5m 1773232200	2	$32	64	0	+64	Down	$-32	03-11 12:32
btc updown 5m 1773367800	3	$30	68	0	+68	Down	$-6	03-13 02:10
btc updown 5m 1773296700	2	$30	58	0	+58	Up	$-6	03-12 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 03:16:31	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0x8a31b2…
06-26 02:47:41	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x016a60…
04-21 22:09:36	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	132	71¢	$93	0x3a46a6…
04-15 15:34:44	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xab6dc6…
04-15 04:10:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	171	44¢	$75	0x9d41c0…
04-14 01:49:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	234	13¢	$30	0x82f8ea…
04-14 01:46:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	948	7¢	$66	0x739312…
04-13 12:23:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x5c5206…
04-13 01:10:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x72a3ed…
04-12 02:02:11	btc updown 5m 1775959200	Down	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0x7d8dc8…
04-12 02:01:05	btc updown 5m 1775959200	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x459115…
04-11 11:18:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x06dd14…
04-11 11:17:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	111	23¢	$26	0x8cc883…
04-08 02:32:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0xc97d36…
04-07 23:35:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	577	23¢	$133	0x94a457…
04-07 23:34:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xdaf350…
04-07 11:25:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x282c4f…
04-06 08:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$30	0x74c2bf…
04-06 02:47:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	275	27¢	$74	0x15583e…
04-06 02:47:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	333	16¢	$53	0xcdee53…
04-06 02:47:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	476	5¢	$25	0xfb4049…
04-02 13:32:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	275	24¢	$66	0xe058b0…
04-02 13:32:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0xd0190f…
04-02 13:32:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0xd1811b…
03-25 01:29:05	btc updown 15m 1774402200	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xe1e919…
03-25 01:15:19	btc updown 15m 1774401300	Up	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x71b4ee…
03-25 01:14:11	btc updown 15m 1774401300	Down	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xc26f72…
03-25 00:59:47	btc updown 15m 1774400400	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xd80347…
03-25 00:43:47	btc updown 15m 1774399500	Down	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0x7040b1…
03-25 00:29:07	btc updown 15m 1774398600	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x741ac8…
03-24 15:44:43	btc updown 15m 1774367100	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x76629c…
03-24 15:28:47	btc updown 15m 1774366200	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x548b64…
03-24 15:13:47	btc updown 15m 1774365300	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x41fc8d…
03-24 14:58:47	btc updown 15m 1774364400	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xc90e6a…
03-24 14:43:47	btc updown 15m 1774363500	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x891acd…
03-24 14:32:51	btc updown 15m 1774362600	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x4e4489…
03-24 14:32:51	btc updown 15m 1774362600	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x319eac…
03-24 14:18:31	btc updown 15m 1774361700	Up	SELL	33	53¢	$18	0xb46e00…
03-24 14:13:47	btc updown 15m 1774361700	Up	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0xde68be…
03-24 14:11:23	btc updown 15m 1774360800	Up	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xe0a2a1…
03-24 13:43:47	btc updown 15m 1774359900	Up	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xb35089…
03-24 13:28:47	btc updown 15m 1774359000	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xa7a709…
03-24 13:13:47	btc updown 15m 1774358100	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x936569…
03-24 12:59:39	btc updown 15m 1774357200	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x538507…
03-24 12:43:47	btc updown 15m 1774356300	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x387360…
03-24 12:29:53	btc updown 15m 1774355400	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x03c047…
03-24 12:14:07	btc updown 15m 1774354500	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x205b2a…
03-24 11:58:47	btc updown 15m 1774353600	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xe46cad…
03-24 11:43:47	btc updown 15m 1774352700	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x0c5d53…
03-24 11:29:07	btc updown 15m 1774351800	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xfdc2c9…
03-24 11:13:47	btc updown 15m 1774350900	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x614fde…
03-24 10:59:37	btc updown 15m 1774350000	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xa10ecf…
03-24 10:43:47	btc updown 15m 1774349100	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x7d64e7…
03-24 10:28:47	btc updown 15m 1774348200	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd632e9…
03-24 10:14:07	btc updown 15m 1774347300	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x265b50…
03-24 09:59:07	btc updown 15m 1774346400	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd2e8ac…
03-24 09:43:47	btc updown 15m 1774345500	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6b2a37…
03-21 05:12:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	469	30¢	$140	0x47253d…
03-20 17:01:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	404	25¢	$100	0x9864f7…
03-20 04:09:45	btc updown 5m 1773979800	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x3767c2…
03-20 04:04:49	btc updown 5m 1773979500	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x949496…
03-20 03:34:47	btc updown 5m 1773977700	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb7dfb4…
03-20 03:29:47	btc updown 5m 1773977400	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x9a4123…
03-20 03:24:51	btc updown 5m 1773977100	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x98d4f9…
03-20 03:19:49	btc updown 5m 1773976800	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xab5af7…
03-20 03:04:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	65	36¢	$24	0x2d0a92…
03-20 03:04:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	131	36¢	$47	0xea5a64…
03-20 03:04:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	262	36¢	$94	0xe24573…
03-20 02:49:49	btc updown 5m 1773975000	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x577517…
03-20 02:44:45	btc updown 5m 1773974700	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x39d840…
03-20 02:39:47	btc updown 5m 1773974400	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xf7a54d…
03-20 01:14:49	btc updown 5m 1773969300	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc17cf0…
03-20 01:10:03	btc updown 5m 1773969000	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x9eed98…
03-20 01:04:55	btc updown 5m 1773968700	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x563f25…
03-20 00:59:49	btc updown 5m 1773968400	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf15af8…
03-20 00:54:47	btc updown 5m 1773968100	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x310ba7…
03-20 00:51:15	btc updown 5m 1773967800	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1ce59d…
03-20 00:44:49	btc updown 5m 1773967500	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x71a971…
03-20 00:39:59	btc updown 5m 1773967200	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xda236f…
03-20 00:35:21	btc updown 5m 1773966900	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x4d010c…
03-20 00:34:51	btc updown 5m 1773966900	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x33d34b…
03-20 00:29:47	btc updown 5m 1773966600	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2ff6ec…
03-20 00:24:45	btc updown 5m 1773966300	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xcd9c3c…
03-20 00:16:15	btc updown 5m 1773965700	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8fe01e…
03-20 00:14:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	524	37¢	$196	0x6f2492…
03-19 09:47:05	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x234a4c…
03-19 09:46:27	btc updown 15m 1773913500	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x44d97e…
03-19 09:46:07	btc updown 5m 1773914100	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9486af…
03-19 09:45:51	btc updown 5m 1773913800	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc75577…
03-19 09:45:25	btc updown 5m 1773913500	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7e900b…
03-19 09:43:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	543	18¢	$100	0x4250ba…
03-18 12:09:45	btc updown 5m 1773835800	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8bde92…
03-18 12:04:49	btc updown 5m 1773835500	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x746511…
03-18 11:59:47	btc updown 5m 1773835200	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x20c8a9…
03-18 11:54:49	btc updown 5m 1773834900	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x86746c…
03-18 11:49:49	btc updown 5m 1773834600	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x844c82…
03-18 11:44:45	btc updown 5m 1773834300	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x20e4b5…
03-18 11:39:45	btc updown 5m 1773834000	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd9134d…
03-18 11:34:45	btc updown 5m 1773833700	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x68d097…
03-18 11:29:47	btc updown 5m 1773833400	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe70c4f…