Self-Reliant-Complaint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

574

lifetime

Volume

$2.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-12 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

60% — —

Sports

17% 28% $-22

Other

13% 100% +$3

Politics

8% 0% $-0

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No		+11	$10	87¢	$10	$-0	06-04 08:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770941700	3	$62	50	20	+30	open	—	02-13 00:23
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	02-15 20:25
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	8	$51	36	30	+6	open	—	02-25 07:28
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	4	$45	39	39	+0	open	—	02-13 05:56
bitcoin up or down february 23 2am et	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	02-23 07:51
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$40	29	29	+0	open	—	02-13 04:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$39	31	16	+16	open	—	04-06 08:53
bitcoin up or down february 12 9pm et	6	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	02-13 04:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 04:31
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	06-02 09:37
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	7	$29	30	29	+1	open	—	03-27 21:07
btc updown 15m 1770942600	2	$25	20	10	+10	open	—	02-13 00:42
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	3	$25	27	13	+13	open	—	02-14 08:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$23	20	10	+10	open	—	03-27 09:05
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 05:15
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	6	$22	31	6	+25	open	—	06-09 13:41
bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	5	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	02-15 07:36
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-10 13:17
btc updown 5m 1770874800	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-12 05:42
will jaxson hayes win the 2026 nba dunk contest	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-15 00:29
xrp up or down february 15 1am et	5	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	02-15 06:51
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 06:19
bitcoin up or down february 14 6pm et	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-14 23:54
btc updown 5m 1770946200	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-13 01:33
btc updown 5m 1770876900	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 06:21
btc updown 5m 1770940800	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	02-13 00:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 00:54
ethereum up or down february 12 11pm et	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	02-13 04:48
btc updown 15m 1771136100	3	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	02-15 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 14:21:04	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0cdecd…
06-12 02:39:10	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe58a54…
06-12 02:19:21	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x0687fc…
06-12 02:15:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbd4751…
06-12 02:02:13	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xba7d12…
06-11 16:48:58	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	South Africa	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb22e07…
06-11 16:46:37	solana up or down june 11 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xdff7ab…
06-11 16:09:19	solana up or down june 11 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5e33a1…
06-11 15:29:54	solana up or down june 11 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xbe49ee…
06-11 15:08:39	solana up or down june 11 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe6301c…
06-11 14:38:10	solana up or down june 11 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2edb09…
06-11 14:36:57	solana up or down june 11 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb29dfe…
06-11 11:34:04	solana up or down june 11 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x42d946…
06-11 10:46:43	sol updown 15m 1781174700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5b5656…
06-11 10:46:15	solana up or down june 11 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x2f4350…
06-11 10:18:49	sol updown 15m 1781172900	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x033680…
06-11 10:08:01	solana up or down june 11 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf835dc…
06-11 09:40:18	solana up or down june 11 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa0e541…
06-11 02:52:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 11pt5	Spurs	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xff5155…
06-10 15:30:24	btc updown 15m 1781105400	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x44d3f7…
06-10 15:25:48	btc updown 5m 1781105100	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5c3b48…
06-10 15:18:33	btc updown 15m 1781104500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a8810…
06-10 13:39:06	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x1c963c…
06-10 13:25:48	sol updown 15m 1781097300	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x207561…
06-10 13:17:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xb4dddd…
06-10 13:16:58	sol updown 15m 1781097300	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x987a86…
06-10 13:01:52	sol updown 15m 1781096400	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb14554…
06-10 13:01:39	sol updown 15m 1781096400	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x88ed48…
06-10 09:07:10	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x8603e8…
06-10 02:26:48	wnba phx gsv 2026 06 09 spread home 7pt5	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb9f4bf…
06-10 02:19:52	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x198bd8…
06-09 15:03:33	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x1aae6c…
06-09 13:48:21	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x11cc93…
06-09 13:41:36	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x7c049d…
06-09 03:48:12	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xd2925c…
06-09 02:59:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 5pt5	Knicks	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8a5fb5…
06-09 02:40:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	Spurs	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x85ba14…
06-09 02:17:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1ce6f1…
06-09 02:02:19	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x617e11…
06-09 01:51:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x696310…
06-09 00:49:46	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaebe8d…
06-09 00:43:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1e1af0…
06-05 08:09:48	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xb44ce1…
06-04 13:33:34	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x55070e…
06-04 12:14:48	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf0dc5e…
06-04 10:50:36	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x6fa60b…
06-04 08:54:48	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf18d65…
06-04 02:52:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	Spurs	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x34144c…
06-04 02:34:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	Spurs	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xff8ef8…
06-04 01:57:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Knicks	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb09f9b…
06-04 01:35:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x3f2211…
06-04 00:59:39	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcc361c…
06-02 09:39:41	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb614de…
06-02 09:37:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9ffb17…
05-30 17:25:15	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x65be43…
05-27 00:59:48	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6475e9…
05-23 00:27:11	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x81e596…
05-12 05:15:45	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x58da4e…
05-12 05:13:44	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe0e8f0…
05-12 05:08:13	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xea6dae…
05-12 05:02:51	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x824b5c…
05-10 02:26:08	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4619ad…
05-10 02:09:34	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x27ffad…
05-10 01:10:58	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb44ec6…
05-10 01:10:15	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb17388…
05-10 00:58:00	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc48326…
05-10 00:36:39	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa9eebc…
05-09 03:27:40	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x761067…
05-09 03:12:03	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcd87ef…
05-09 01:53:38	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb27bee…
05-08 03:54:38	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb56c8…
05-08 03:05:26	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc90c5c…
05-08 01:46:50	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc8a9ce…
05-07 02:17:31	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x12705f…
05-07 02:17:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0xf840d0…
05-06 02:36:50	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbe1927…
05-06 00:52:40	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb6d648…
05-05 22:21:06	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x915fde…
05-05 01:37:56	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8d0575…
05-05 00:10:56	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd0fba9…
05-04 00:54:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x542e02…
05-04 00:54:26	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xf9f65d…
05-04 00:54:14	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x61a606…
05-03 23:00:20	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4116ab…
05-03 19:49:44	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xa49b42…
05-03 19:31:46	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfe70ad…
05-03 02:20:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x8bfd36…
05-02 05:27:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6d4376…
05-02 02:13:54	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x30de23…
05-02 02:06:54	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0a834a…
05-02 01:31:54	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc8cea2…
04-06 08:54:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa7268d…
04-06 08:53:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x8a3224…
04-06 07:26:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x47c56f…
04-04 03:40:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xaab063…
04-03 14:39:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x298c3b…
04-02 12:20:05	bitcoin above 66k on april 2	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xaaa266…
04-02 08:13:41	bitcoin above 66k on april 2	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb48dc3…
04-02 08:04:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc1c413…
04-02 07:34:27	highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x470cfb…