Self-Reliant-Complaint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

757

lifetime

Volume

$3.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-19 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Other

34% 100% +$3

Sports

11% 28% $-22

Politics

6% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	3	$425	918	0	+918	open	—	07-15 18:53
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$420	1,024	0	+1,024	open	—	07-19 17:41
btc updown 15m 1770941700	3	$62	50	20	+30	open	—	02-13 00:23
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	02-15 20:25
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	7	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	06-14 17:02
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	8	$51	36	30	+6	open	—	02-25 07:28
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	4	$45	39	39	+0	open	—	02-13 05:56
bitcoin up or down february 23 2am et	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	02-23 07:51
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$40	29	29	+0	open	—	02-13 04:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$39	31	16	+16	open	—	04-06 08:53
bitcoin up or down february 12 9pm et	6	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	02-13 04:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 04:31
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	06-02 09:37
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	7	$29	30	29	+1	open	—	03-27 21:07
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	3	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	07-07 17:07
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	8	$25	31	31	+0	open	—	06-27 13:58
btc updown 15m 1770942600	2	$25	20	10	+10	open	—	02-13 00:42
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	3	$25	27	13	+13	open	—	02-14 08:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$23	20	10	+10	open	—	03-27 09:05
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 05:15
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	07-02 13:35
bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	5	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	02-15 07:36
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-10 13:17
btc updown 5m 1770874800	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-12 05:42
will jaxson hayes win the 2026 nba dunk contest	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-15 00:29
xrp up or down february 15 1am et	5	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	02-15 06:51
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 06:19
bitcoin up or down february 14 6pm et	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-14 23:54
btc updown 5m 1770946200	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-13 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 17:42:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcd2d24…
07-19 17:41:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	780	41¢	$320	0xdd57db…
07-18 06:37:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xdb5265…
07-15 18:53:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9189c9…
07-15 18:47:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	440	46¢	$205	0x76c9bf…
07-15 17:23:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xd0fcd3…
07-15 09:05:53	lol gen kc 2026 07 15	Gen.G	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x151234…
07-13 15:24:32	solana up or down july 13 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$2	0x010507…
07-13 15:23:11	solana up or down july 13 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2b9b27…
07-13 03:04:14	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xac0244…
07-13 02:25:32	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x07fb22…
07-13 02:11:26	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd8be49…
07-12 10:20:14	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7ca466…
07-10 08:06:28	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf28c92…
07-10 07:14:23	solana up or down july 10 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4c1ebe…
07-10 07:03:26	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x100be3…
07-09 13:58:25	wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	Coco Gauff	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4f1cf9…
07-09 11:53:13	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb3ba2e…
07-08 14:16:50	solana up or down july 8 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xe7d976…
07-08 14:00:40	solana up or down july 8 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x68faa2…
07-08 13:04:35	solana up or down july 8 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xef26da…
07-08 12:32:05	solana up or down july 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x84851e…
07-08 10:04:37	solana up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x30997c…
07-08 09:15:32	solana up or down july 8 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x17c389…
07-08 09:08:04	sol updown 15m 1783501200	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa812a1…
07-08 08:42:38	sol updown 15m 1783499400	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x70a624…
07-08 08:24:31	sol updown 15m 1783499400	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x85ed31…
07-08 07:21:07	solana up or down july 8 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf55471…
07-08 07:09:26	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7626f9…
07-07 17:07:50	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x37450e…
07-07 15:59:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x23eb05…
07-07 15:59:20	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x80864e…
07-07 15:59:05	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x12c1d0…
07-07 14:09:25	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x29ad68…
07-07 13:38:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x82c633…
07-07 13:34:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x90ddbd…
07-06 09:30:43	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xdc2842…
07-02 16:49:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xce844a…
07-02 16:10:26	will mu dip to 930 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x06b52d…
07-02 14:30:43	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xd568ba…
07-02 14:09:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x421771…
07-02 14:00:26	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x40a990…
07-02 13:35:10	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xe82007…
07-02 12:50:46	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x14ee70…
07-02 12:19:07	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x25dc2e…
07-02 10:23:19	will mu dip to 930 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x3e90ab…
07-02 09:42:10	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd63d72…
07-02 07:04:23	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x127385…
07-02 06:27:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x40b2b2…
07-01 13:43:02	btc updown 15m 1782913500	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x82a43a…
07-01 13:25:29	btc updown 15m 1782911700	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb0453b…
07-01 13:16:01	btc updown 15m 1782911700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2bdffa…
07-01 13:06:26	btc updown 15m 1782910800	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaa9ead…
07-01 13:04:20	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd04e99…
07-01 13:04:01	solana up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x89b745…
07-01 12:10:29	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdcc6c8…
07-01 11:01:17	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0b259c…
07-01 10:19:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x5c6b06…
07-01 10:00:22	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc6b0b9…
07-01 09:18:40	btc updown 15m 1782897300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0b787f…
07-01 09:11:44	btc updown 15m 1782896400	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x910e85…
07-01 09:01:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd1d5b2…
07-01 08:58:52	solana up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x5fab31…
07-01 08:55:11	btc updown 5m 1782896100	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb85ddf…
07-01 08:24:55	solana up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x83aceb…
07-01 08:01:13	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xadb4f2…
07-01 07:02:55	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x186918…
06-30 17:50:38	solana up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x49e4f2…
06-30 16:15:20	solana up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x48004f…
06-30 16:12:07	solana up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4661c6…
06-30 15:09:01	solana up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9d6dc4…
06-30 15:05:56	solana up or down on june 30 2026	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x91db53…
06-30 05:11:55	solana up or down june 30 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xece747…
06-30 02:05:22	solana up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf9cb6b…
06-29 16:29:26	solana up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x52f87a…
06-29 14:25:32	bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x7bfd24…
06-29 10:08:43	solana up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x34e965…
06-29 09:51:59	solana up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x4e1728…
06-29 09:43:37	solana up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4f4795…
06-28 16:35:17	bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf0df9f…
06-28 11:46:59	sol updown 15m 1782647100	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x533423…
06-28 11:37:59	sol updown 15m 1782647100	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe1a666…
06-28 11:36:52	sol updown 15m 1782646200	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x40706e…
06-28 10:13:13	solana up or down june 28 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6ad311…
06-28 10:01:23	solana up or down june 28 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x86ea16…
06-28 08:54:01	solana up or down june 28 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x99303d…
06-28 08:11:14	solana up or down june 28 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5089f4…
06-28 07:11:11	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x4c7679…
06-28 06:10:47	solana up or down june 28 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8ff927…
06-27 23:37:53	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xa360e3…
06-27 16:54:28	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x6adbf3…
06-27 13:58:58	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xf0bb78…
06-27 10:41:34	btc updown 15m 1782556200	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8a693b…
06-27 10:30:58	btc updown 15m 1782556200	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc9cc82…
06-27 09:59:14	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x82ba12…
06-26 06:38:56	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x48fc09…
06-25 23:32:23	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe34235…
06-25 17:12:22	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe5cc13…
06-25 16:05:11	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb2100d…
06-25 14:02:53	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x45c2d7…