Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$116

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-21 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

47% 78% -$31

Other

37% 71% -$19

Sports

11% 50% -$39

Tech

4% 67% -$27

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+21	$18	92¢	$20	+$2	08-16 01:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	1	$139	140	0	+140	Yes	+$0	02-08 14:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$131	75	75	+0	No	+$3	01-27 06:44
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	01-30 17:19
will president be said at the super bowl 277	1	$109	109	0	+109	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$98	98	0	+98	Yes	+$0	01-28 08:11
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$94	95	0	+95	No	+$0	02-28 02:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	03-15 02:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$87	51	51	+0	Yes	-$12	07-23 13:38
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$66	75	49	+26	Yes	+$21	02-23 12:30
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$44	23	22	+0	No	+$0	03-18 14:59
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$40	48	0	+48	No	+$8	01-20 11:16
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$39	124	0	+124	No	-$39	02-02 12:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$39	45	0	+45	No	+$5	03-17 03:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$39	41	0	+41	Yes	-$39	05-05 12:54
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$1	02-26 06:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$33	37	36	+0	Yes	-$32	04-08 20:37
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	1	$31	45	0	+45	Yes	-$31	06-22 23:45
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	1	$22	28	0	+28	No	+$6	08-09 15:00
will kanye release bully by march 27	1	$18	19	0	+19	No	+$1	03-28 05:30
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	08-16 01:47
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$14	28	0	+28	Yes	-$14	08-18 09:57
will spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy pop 933	1	$11	14	0	+14	Yes	+$3	08-19 03:11
will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-21 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 00:19:33	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x7d9d5f…
08-19 03:11:21	will spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy pop 933	Yes	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x93f29c…
08-18 09:57:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x3d4f0f…
08-16 01:47:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x786138…
08-09 15:00:13	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0xb3b8cc…
07-23 13:38:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	72¢	$37	0x1abf96…
07-16 16:12:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x8ccce0…
06-22 23:45:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0xb11b65…
05-05 12:54:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x7752a9…
04-08 20:37:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xdb1868…
03-28 12:17:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	37	88¢	$32	0x5dbf2a…
03-28 05:30:15	will kanye release bully by march 27	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xb3bde5…
03-18 14:59:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0xbfb8f3…
03-17 03:48:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	45	88¢	$39	0xbfcd90…
03-16 15:22:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x66fc66…
03-15 02:40:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x354d4e…
03-14 13:26:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x281762…
02-28 02:04:29	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x878aa6…
02-26 06:38:40	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x5b843b…
02-23 12:30:50	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	62¢	$30	0x0c4c52…
02-14 18:53:31	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	47¢	$35	0x07f72b…
02-09 10:45:17	will president be said at the super bowl 277	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xbf8d68…
02-08 14:02:41	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0xc96f66…
02-02 12:39:58	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	124	32¢	$39	0xb58d6f…
01-30 17:19:04	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xec101d…
01-28 08:11:15	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4fd440…
01-27 06:44:45	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	75	89¢	$67	0x979247…
01-25 17:03:38	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	75	85¢	$64	0x37482b…
01-20 11:16:12	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xd8d755…