Physical-Genie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$371.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.36K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-02 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

40% 40% -$5,239

Tech

29% 94% +$9,138

Other

29% 68% -$1,055

Crypto

3% 0% -$244

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	52	$75.3K	45,040	45,040	+0	No	-$2,745	05-24 08:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$37.4K	22,871	22,871	+0	Yes	-$859	07-28 16:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	8	$30.4K	16,311	16,311	+0	No	+$207	04-25 16:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$25.5K	13,815	13,815	+0	Yes	+$1,762	06-24 03:00
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$20.4K	10,484	10,484	+0	No	+$246	04-28 07:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$19.2K	11,234	11,234	+0	Yes	+$1,703	05-13 03:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$18.9K	10,638	10,638	+0	No	-$1,140	05-07 05:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$12.0K	6,691	6,691	+0	Yes	+$38	09-01 05:21
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?	23	$11.1K	6,092	6,092	+0	Yes	-$244	06-14 13:15
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	5	$10.7K	5,803	5,803	+0	Yes	+$687	06-13 15:23
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10.3K	12,498	0	+12,498	Yes	+$2,167	04-28 07:28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$10.0K	11,820	0	+11,820	Yes	+$1,820	05-25 07:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$9.2K	5,237	5,237	+0	Yes	+$365	05-18 13:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	17	$7.9K	4,325	4,325	+0	Yes	+$482	07-17 15:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$7.1K	6,091	6,091	+0	No	-$853	08-30 11:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$6.6K	3,947	3,947	+0	Yes	+$614	08-11 06:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$6.4K	4,727	4,727	+0	Yes	-$439	10-02 06:04
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$6.3K	3,469	3,469	+0	Yes	+$340	08-19 03:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$6.0K	3,322	3,322	+0	No	+$66	07-31 04:57
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	28	$5.5K	5,506	1,626	+3,880	Yes	-$272	07-22 17:43
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$4.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$47	06-25 16:25
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	15	$4.2K	3,684	1,039	+2,644	Yes	+$412	07-28 07:42
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$3.7K	4,081	0	+4,081	Yes	+$381	08-06 07:07
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$2.9K	1,628	1,628	+0	Yes	+$102	07-20 04:01
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,857	0	+2,857	Yes	+$357	09-01 07:57
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	4	$2.2K	1,152	1,152	+0	Yes	+$118	06-23 02:57
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,155	1,155	+0	Yes	+$60	08-26 16:26
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	16	$1.8K	2,315	0	+2,315	No	-$1,806	05-18 17:20
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	7	$1.7K	1,974	0	+1,974	Yes	+$247	06-29 10:17
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	5	$1.4K	757	757	+0	Yes	+$43	07-06 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 06:04:45	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,727	63¢	$2,961	0x6e7e03…
10-01 08:06:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,727	72¢	$3,400	0x8eafc8…
09-29 07:10:42	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	645	90¢	$581	0x90f1ef…
09-13 06:57:28	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	63¢	$700	0x7105eb…
09-01 07:57:09	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,857	87¢	$2,500	0xd86c70…
09-01 05:21:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	6,691	90¢	$6,032	0x9f2fa9…
08-30 11:53:21	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	609	82¢	$500	0xd00580…
08-30 11:23:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,091	51¢	$3,106	0xb71f2b…
08-26 16:34:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,091	65¢	$3,959	0x2990df…
08-26 16:26:15	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,155	92¢	$1,060	0xaedd77…
08-21 06:42:34	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,155	87¢	$1,000	0x61dec9…
08-21 06:41:04	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,221	82¢	$1,000	0x91a0d3…
08-21 06:18:52	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	645	62¢	$400	0x705a63…
08-19 03:54:46	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,469	96¢	$3,340	0xc7f314…
08-14 04:18:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6,691	90¢	$5,995	0xc4ac01…
08-11 06:58:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	3,947	92¢	$3,614	0x232c5e…
08-06 07:07:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,081	91¢	$3,700	0x820887…
08-03 07:07:47	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,469	86¢	$3,000	0x4b5646…
08-03 07:07:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3,947	76¢	$3,000	0x2604e2…
08-03 07:06:54	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,716	58¢	$1,000	0x36d90f…
07-31 12:16:47	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	95¢	$300	0xe55d71…
07-31 12:10:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,007	10¢	$100	0x328a73…
07-31 12:09:29	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x89e156…
07-31 12:09:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xcf57dd…
07-31 12:09:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	249	9¢	$22	0x2ca238…
07-31 12:09:20	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xa5d6d2…
07-31 04:57:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	3,322	92¢	$3,056	0xdf3cae…
07-29 04:24:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	3,322	90¢	$2,990	0x9ae384…
07-28 16:56:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9,354	79¢	$7,432	0x01b04b…
07-28 07:42:51	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0a3ca7…
07-28 07:06:34	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	419	88¢	$369	0x8b42c8…
07-28 06:50:18	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0xec69b6…
07-28 06:50:18	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	88¢	$474	0x1c8e54…
07-28 06:50:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	87¢	$123	0xc8e9f7…
07-28 06:49:49	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	87¢	$58	0x7a3fc1…
07-28 06:49:37	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	990	87¢	$858	0x09f6a5…
07-28 06:49:34	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x9f5ad6…
07-28 06:49:34	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x4df50d…
07-28 06:49:33	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	86¢	$164	0x30692a…
07-28 06:49:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	86¢	$209	0xa4e4b9…
07-22 17:43:27	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x3d4629…
07-22 13:10:00	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9dff5e…
07-22 13:00:40	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	95¢	$203	0xf5bf28…
07-22 12:26:18	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc5a6c8…
07-22 11:53:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x2007cf…
07-22 11:24:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x29eca6…
07-22 10:23:58	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xce29ab…
07-22 08:03:07	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	95¢	$163	0x82a14c…
07-22 08:01:55	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	95¢	$145	0x80032a…
07-22 08:01:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x96a6e8…
07-22 08:01:03	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xbaf076…
07-22 08:00:36	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3db2fa…
07-22 08:00:15	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0968f9…
07-22 08:00:09	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3c613c…
07-22 08:00:07	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x1a549e…
07-22 08:00:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,116	96¢	$2,031	0x393227…
07-22 08:00:03	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	95¢	$494	0xa370fe…
07-22 08:00:03	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x797722…
07-22 08:00:00	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	94¢	$404	0xf281bb…
07-20 07:28:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,354	93¢	$8,746	0x9db1c6…
07-20 04:01:37	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,628	92¢	$1,505	0xffe4a9…
07-17 15:31:01	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	96¢	$235	0x112327…
07-17 15:30:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,948	96¢	$2,827	0xc672fc…
07-17 15:29:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,325	97¢	$4,201	0xd1385d…
07-11 04:31:01	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	274	87¢	$238	0x65fbfe…
07-11 04:30:31	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,354	86¢	$1,165	0xd08964…
07-11 04:29:29	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	93¢	$111	0xccc851…
07-11 04:29:14	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	91¢	$69	0xc483f1…
07-11 04:29:05	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8d5c74…
07-11 04:29:02	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0xabc683…
07-11 04:24:44	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,039	93¢	$966	0x1881e8…
07-11 04:23:17	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,626	41¢	$664	0x6e0365…
07-09 02:53:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,948	78¢	$2,299	0xd0638a…
07-08 09:20:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,500	75¢	$1,125	0x80a2b5…
07-07 10:16:14	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	70¢	$200	0x4ef79a…
07-07 10:15:40	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x732059…
07-07 10:15:40	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x2a5b06…
07-07 10:15:38	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xaef174…
07-07 10:15:38	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xaa8abd…
07-07 10:15:35	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	493	69¢	$340	0xb8597f…
07-07 10:15:32	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	817	68¢	$552	0xb5677e…
07-07 10:15:31	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xad07eb…
07-06 02:51:55	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	SELL	757	95¢	$717	0x14891f…
07-02 05:11:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	81¢	$1,215	0x85cdf0…
07-02 05:10:43	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	87¢	$136	0xb210a4…
07-02 05:10:34	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa009e4…
07-02 05:09:20	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	873	86¢	$751	0x135fad…
07-01 15:03:14	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	BUY	375	90¢	$338	0x1d3fe2…
07-01 15:00:35	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	BUY	301	89¢	$268	0x7307c1…
07-01 15:00:34	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	BUY	61	88¢	$54	0x91e5cf…
07-01 07:30:32	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8e5b93…
07-01 07:23:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,469	79¢	$1,951	0xba465f…
06-29 10:17:58	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xd6787f…
06-29 10:17:55	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,773	87¢	$1,550	0xf42e62…
06-29 10:17:55	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x29eef2…
06-29 10:17:55	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x15bcfe…
06-29 10:17:55	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x141b2c…
06-29 10:17:55	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0x009bf8…
06-29 10:17:53	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x49e7bf…
06-27 05:39:28	Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?	Yes	SELL	160	61¢	$98	0x09be16…