Polite-Flock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$74

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-14 22:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 50% +$1

Sports

8% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 08:20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 11:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	06-14 22:32
btc updown 5m 1776269100	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-20 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-30 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-30 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-03 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-03 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 12:37
Golden Knights vs. Utah	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-13 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-01 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-24 16:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 22:32:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x197e14…
06-03 00:37:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb3b981…
06-03 00:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xabaf6e…
06-03 00:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x644355…
06-03 00:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7b6327…
06-01 22:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x33ab68…
05-30 08:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x79f36b…
05-30 08:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x561a38…
05-30 08:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe55ec0…
05-30 08:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7bc0ff…
05-28 17:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x897cee…
05-28 10:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0c9122…
05-28 10:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3d2a4a…
05-28 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5515bd…
05-24 16:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcec15c…
05-21 08:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf8fa42…
05-21 08:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x982c73…
05-20 11:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5cbec9…
05-20 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2e4fc2…
05-20 11:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3fcc29…
05-20 11:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xfdda83…
05-20 11:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x364e22…
05-20 11:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa0ce4c…
05-20 10:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdc310c…
05-20 10:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6cd438…
05-20 10:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa6239e…
05-18 07:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x77df48…
05-16 20:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x120f55…
05-16 20:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x81319b…
05-13 08:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6d82ed…
05-13 08:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa7c373…
05-13 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x4495b4…
05-13 08:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe384a9…
05-13 08:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb7cfbc…
05-13 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x943115…
05-13 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x410e54…
05-13 08:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8842d9…
05-13 08:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcb0eb8…
05-13 08:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2f6239…
05-13 08:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8212a0…
05-13 08:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd12cd5…
05-13 08:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x64513b…
05-13 08:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x71ad35…
05-08 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x971432…
05-08 09:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x72fee2…
05-08 09:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfc6172…
04-28 04:43:24	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Golden Knights	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8eb509…
04-27 14:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x30b252…
04-27 14:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4e44b0…
04-27 13:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x684ade…
04-27 13:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x25feda…
04-27 12:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9caee1…
04-22 11:39:42	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x18e2f8…
04-15 16:10:40	btc updown 5m 1776269100	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x43275d…
04-15 16:07:22	btc updown 5m 1776269100	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x83de23…