Variable-Sniffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

464

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 06:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$2

Sports

38% 100% +$3

Other

12% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775958600	2	$47	27	27	+1	open	—	04-12 01:55
btc updown 5m 1775544300	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-07 06:50
btc updown 5m 1776730800	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-21 00:25
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$40	36	36	+0	open	—	04-07 06:45
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-09 01:12
btc updown 5m 1775889600	2	$28	19	18	+1	open	—	04-11 06:45
btc updown 5m 1776477000	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 01:55
btc updown 5m 1776059700	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-13 05:59
btc updown 5m 1780535700	4	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	06-04 01:18
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	05-22 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 01:49
btc updown 5m 1776214200	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-15 00:51
atp cerund martine 2026 04 05	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-05 11:04
nba min ind 2026 04 07	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-08 00:18
nba tor mem 2026 04 03	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-04 01:42
btc updown 5m 1776566700	3	$18	24	15	+9	open	—	04-19 02:46
btc updown 5m 1782973500	6	$15	40	40	+0	open	—	07-02 06:28
btc updown 5m 1776130500	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-14 01:40
btc updown 5m 1775003700	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 00:40
btc updown 5m 1774746900	3	$13	9	7	+2	open	—	03-29 01:20
btc updown 5m 1774834500	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-30 01:40
btc updown 5m 1774404600	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-25 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$12	22	16	+6	open	—	05-27 00:57
btc updown 5m 1776910500	2	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-23 02:19
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-24 02:16
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-20 01:01
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-25 00:44
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-22 03:17
mlb col hou 2026 04 16	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-17 03:04
mlb ari bal 2026 04 14	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-15 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 01:58:56	btc updown 5m 1783043700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc23665…
07-03 01:58:05	btc updown 5m 1783043700	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf3c499…
07-03 01:57:52	btc updown 5m 1783043700	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6c88ac…
07-03 01:56:56	btc updown 5m 1783043700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2f8aa4…
07-02 06:28:55	btc updown 5m 1782973500	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x25c9f1…
07-02 06:27:52	btc updown 5m 1782973500	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x949f1d…
07-02 06:27:41	btc updown 5m 1782973500	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x34e8ff…
07-02 06:26:53	btc updown 5m 1782973500	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbff4ca…
07-02 06:26:29	btc updown 5m 1782973500	Down	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x587c3c…
07-02 06:25:56	btc updown 5m 1782973500	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x300725…
07-01 05:47:01	btc updown 5m 1782884700	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xae9500…
06-30 02:01:14	btc updown 5m 1782784800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x631aac…
06-24 01:31:29	btc updown 5m 1782264600	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2eb086…
06-23 00:53:25	btc updown 5m 1782175800	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x2d133b…
06-23 00:53:02	btc updown 5m 1782175800	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcbba6c…
06-23 00:52:56	btc updown 5m 1782175800	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0fb3a2…
06-23 00:52:38	btc updown 5m 1782175800	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3cbcb3…
06-23 00:52:32	btc updown 5m 1782175800	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x791bbf…
06-23 00:52:13	btc updown 5m 1782175800	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xec2ca6…
06-10 12:51:10	btc updown 5m 1781095800	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x61dd90…
06-10 12:51:00	btc updown 5m 1781095800	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x5a4229…
06-10 12:50:46	btc updown 5m 1781095800	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x46a637…
06-10 12:50:36	btc updown 5m 1781095800	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xd2c133…
06-10 12:50:22	btc updown 5m 1781095800	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x23af2b…
06-05 09:11:49	btc updown 5m 1780650600	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xb8d363…
06-05 09:11:30	btc updown 5m 1780650600	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3b3559…
06-05 09:10:15	atp azkara montsi 2026 06 05	Khololwam Montsi	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x35077e…
06-04 01:18:46	btc updown 5m 1780535700	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xfd76de…
06-04 01:17:21	btc updown 5m 1780535700	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x857b69…
06-04 01:16:45	btc updown 5m 1780535700	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0xd3ece3…
06-04 01:16:03	btc updown 5m 1780535700	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc3adbe…
06-04 01:15:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x64e5ec…
06-02 01:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x6a5999…
06-02 01:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2fa9f9…
06-01 02:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x224948…
06-01 02:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6adf85…
06-01 02:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf23f5c…
06-01 02:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7c93bb…
05-31 01:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc03daa…
05-30 01:47:54	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x06677d…
05-29 01:50:32	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x796f3f…
05-29 01:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2398b8…
05-29 01:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xd364c5…
05-29 01:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa9a30e…
05-28 01:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x141cc5…
05-28 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8e0886…
05-28 01:00:24	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)	Chicago White Sox	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xd340cb…
05-28 00:59:34	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdb74fe…
05-27 00:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa16e51…
05-27 00:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xf22533…
05-27 00:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x235077…
05-27 00:55:07	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd2240a…
05-26 01:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe42954…
05-26 01:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe87988…
05-26 01:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcb78f6…
05-25 00:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x8b3440…
05-25 00:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe2615c…
05-25 00:45:37	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa67865…
05-24 02:16:11	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3199af…
05-24 02:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xecdff1…
05-22 03:17:40	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa24775…
05-22 03:16:56	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x7e5b4f…
05-22 03:16:42	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd7616d…
05-20 01:01:01	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf33185…
05-19 01:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbd9c99…
05-19 01:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa8cddf…
05-19 01:15:09	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xad399e…
05-18 00:58:25	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xf17076…
05-18 00:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8f1ca2…
05-17 02:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9e5f9f…
05-17 02:37:34	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa6923b…
05-16 05:49:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd3a15b…
05-15 03:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x144b06…
05-15 03:37:02	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdb3531…
05-11 01:15:22	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7552c9…
05-11 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe12af1…
05-11 01:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77da40…
05-10 02:53:44	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3c2765…
05-10 02:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x6bd6d2…
05-10 02:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa54b93…
05-07 01:00:49	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x184877…
05-06 01:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0xc92619…
05-06 01:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6bb662…
05-06 00:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0f308a…
05-05 10:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x36c779…
05-04 01:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd76cb8…
05-04 01:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb3cc4a…
05-03 03:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd81007…
05-02 03:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x07d14c…
05-02 03:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x067ce2…
05-02 03:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xd0c09b…
05-02 03:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe7c858…
05-01 01:55:04	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa149f0…
05-01 01:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfdde5e…
04-30 03:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x74507f…
04-29 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x32d9b8…
04-29 00:18:42	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x8d91ce…
04-28 02:45:42	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf2e7ed…
04-28 02:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x27c891…
04-27 00:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x570daa…