Equatorial-Parameter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

1,119

Trades

1,708

lifetime

Volume

$6.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-08 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% -$1,312

Other

1% 33% -$14

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+6	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	06-01 17:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$115	82,020	20	+82,000	No	-$75	06-03 16:04
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 15:10 UTC	14	$82	160	0	+160	Up	+$78	04-15 15:11
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:00 UTC	18	$82	160	0	+160	Down	-$82	04-15 03:02
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:45 UTC	8	$80	160	0	+160	Up	-$80	04-18 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:10 UTC	1	$80	160	0	+160	Up	+$80	04-18 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:00 UTC	1	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	04-18 18:00
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:10 UTC	9	$80	160	0	+160	Up	-$80	04-15 17:12
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:20 UTC	9	$80	160	0	+160	Down	+$80	04-16 09:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 06:35 UTC	10	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	04-18 06:37
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:10 UTC	11	$80	160	0	+160	Up	-$80	04-17 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:30 UTC	7	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	04-18 10:30
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:05 UTC	11	$80	160	0	+160	Up	-$80	04-17 16:08
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC	7	$80	160	0	+160	Down	+$80	04-18 21:32
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:05 UTC	11	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	04-16 02:08
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:05 UTC	10	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	04-18 10:05
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:30 UTC	13	$78	160	0	+160	Up	-$78	04-15 04:31
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:50 UTC	13	$78	160	0	+160	Down	+$82	04-15 01:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:50 UTC	1	$78	160	0	+160	Down	-$78	04-18 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:00 UTC	3	$70	141	0	+141	Up	-$70	04-18 21:00
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:10 UTC	10	$69	138	0	+138	Down	+$69	04-17 17:10
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:20 UTC	8	$41	80	0	+80	Down	-$41	04-15 04:21
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:00 UTC	4	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$40	04-17 19:00
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:55 UTC	6	$40	80	0	+80	Up	+$40	04-18 09:55
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC	7	$40	80	0	+80	Down	-$40	04-15 20:00
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:10 UTC	8	$40	80	0	+80	Up	-$40	04-16 09:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:50 UTC	3	$40	80	0	+80	Down	-$40	04-18 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:20 UTC	3	$40	80	0	+80	Down	-$40	04-18 10:20
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:20 UTC	6	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$40	04-17 21:20
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:00 UTC	5	$40	80	0	+80	Up	-$40	04-17 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC	1	$40	80	0	+80	Down	-$40	04-18 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 14:02:27	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa6dcfe…
06-08 11:00:03	xrp up or down june 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x33e040…
06-07 12:00:31	solana up or down june 7 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4a9fe6…
06-07 10:58:48	xrp up or down june 7 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x713b01…
06-06 12:20:00	solana up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x86a3c9…
06-05 23:04:04	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x026c0a…
06-05 22:16:15	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x1667bc…
06-05 17:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x363bef…
06-05 16:48:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x27bb49…
06-05 12:00:10	solana up or down june 5 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa4f17f…
06-04 17:57:15	xrp up or down june 4 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x2a005b…
06-04 17:57:13	xrp up or down june 4 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x90713d…
06-04 12:01:36	solana up or down june 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd42119…
06-04 12:01:30	ethereum up or down june 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb8e600…
06-04 12:01:28	ethereum up or down june 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x66fc63…
06-04 03:58:48	solana up or down june 4 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x98f771…
06-04 03:57:04	solana up or down june 4 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd9d538…
06-04 00:24:15	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf996b7…
06-03 22:55:30	ethereum up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5dde19…
06-03 16:04:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x6a92d4…
06-03 09:58:59	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9becb1…
06-03 04:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xf1652c…
06-03 04:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0619c5…
06-03 04:56:35	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x76ccb7…
06-03 04:55:06	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf10075…
06-02 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0acbfb…
06-02 17:14:15	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf354d5…
06-02 12:00:09	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf14b1a…
06-02 06:49:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x81cf3a…
06-02 04:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe0188a…
06-02 03:58:47	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x337a3c…
06-01 23:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7d505c…
06-01 21:56:08	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7c48ca…
06-01 18:03:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xeb2f3c…
06-01 17:47:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0xdaaf68…
06-01 17:43:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xec79c2…
06-01 17:39:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x52b5a1…
06-01 17:39:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x93b6a1…
06-01 17:39:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x328515…
06-01 17:26:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6dc9fe…
06-01 17:25:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xacd21d…
06-01 17:19:17	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd12f57…
06-01 15:33:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6f9a21…
06-01 12:01:36	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x37b12c…
06-01 09:20:13	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe62f0e…
06-01 06:15:30	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc24f05…
06-01 05:49:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x558825…
06-01 05:01:25	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x55a69c…
06-01 05:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbae47d…
06-01 04:05:22	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0a044f…
05-31 23:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf39774…
05-31 22:00:13	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe2e702…
05-31 17:16:15	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf71274…
05-31 06:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e899f…
05-31 01:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xccd537…
05-31 01:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x94a9b9…
05-31 01:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8fdc1a…
05-31 01:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x72d89f…
05-31 01:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x211e35…
05-31 01:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x153646…
05-31 01:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x538ee1…
05-31 00:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x586cb0…
05-30 06:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb060df…
05-29 11:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xed2ef7…
05-29 11:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x52bff2…
05-29 00:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xc95a94…
05-29 00:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaba4e9…
05-29 00:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5627cd…
05-28 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6cc271…
05-28 21:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x41dae9…
05-28 12:02:47	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4a7c4a…
05-28 12:02:45	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe1783d…
05-28 12:02:45	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb38598…
05-28 11:01:07	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xc8203b…
05-28 11:00:25	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc026cd…
05-28 11:00:10	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xa309f2…
05-28 00:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x698e41…
05-28 00:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16ac9d…
05-27 22:02:01	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x34753a…
05-27 22:01:53	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x046abc…
05-27 21:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6598e1…
05-27 21:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xe65e09…
05-27 12:01:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e7834…
05-27 12:00:12	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x474c99…
05-27 11:01:10	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xca2018…
05-27 11:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x50381f…
05-27 11:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf9e335…
05-27 10:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xacd842…
05-27 10:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6085c9…
05-27 00:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe34dcc…
05-26 21:59:07	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf7a26e…
05-26 21:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4b97fc…
05-26 12:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x139d3b…
05-26 12:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x12094b…
05-26 08:03:15	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ceedf…
05-26 00:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1701a1…
05-26 00:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xf7597d…
05-25 22:00:05	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcd0b5d…
05-25 13:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf8271b…
05-25 08:11:13	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x08ad8b…