Vapid-Porcelain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$116

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$33.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$196

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-21 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

62% 91% +$91

Crypto

33% 100% +$18

Politics

4% 100% +$6

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	6	$2.3K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	+$9	06-10 06:47
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$2.3K	1,156	1,156	+0	No	+$1	05-26 04:42
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	8	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	No	+$3	05-23 05:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$2.0K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	+$16	08-11 15:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$1.9K	978	977	+1	No	+$18	04-27 14:32
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	19	$1.9K	962	961	+1	No	+$0	04-21 02:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$1.6K	825	825	+0	No	+$6	07-18 05:13
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	2	$1.4K	713	713	+0	No	+$10	03-13 06:24
will nvda reach 280 in march	2	$1.3K	670	670	+0	No	+$1	03-30 16:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	2	$1.3K	645	645	+0	No	+$2	06-26 08:08
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	2	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	+$1	02-27 15:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$1.2K	595	595	+0	No	+$1	02-25 03:40
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	2	$1.2K	594	594	+0	No	+$1	02-14 10:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$1.2K	731	731	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 05:00
trump out as president by march 31	2	$1.2K	610	610	+0	No	+$5	01-16 20:25
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	2	$1.1K	563	563	+0	No	+$5	03-25 21:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$975	976	0	+976	No	+$1	04-28 11:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$878	444	444	+0	Yes	+$6	06-17 16:49
will bitcoin reach 88k march 16 22	23	$801	403	403	+0	No	+$3	03-18 07:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$666	334	334	+0	No	+$2	06-24 23:56
googl above 370 on march 31 2026	22	$545	275	275	+0	No	+$4	03-28 06:48
googl above 340 on march 31 2026	2	$425	213	213	+0	No	+$1	03-31 15:11
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	6	$400	201	201	+0	No	+$1	06-24 09:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	11	$375	189	189	+0	No	+$2	04-21 01:35
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$347	176	176	+0	No	+$3	05-06 14:06
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$344	173	173	+0	No	+$1	07-07 16:10
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	4	$313	157	157	+0	No	+$1	03-26 12:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$287	144	144	+0	No	+$1	06-11 14:53
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$256	129	129	+0	No	+$1	08-19 03:27
googl above 250 on march 31 2026	4	$224	113	113	+0	Yes	+$2	03-31 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 09:05:33	bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0xca345a…
08-19 03:27:22	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xd0ee2a…
08-11 15:36:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	671	99¢	$667	0x7483ed…
08-11 15:19:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$101	0xe5bfb1…
08-10 18:03:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xbb4e12…
08-10 18:03:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x5f207d…
08-10 18:03:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe5fe0f…
08-10 18:01:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6c4f62…
08-04 00:22:51	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$127	0xf2c8c0…
07-29 18:18:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	129	99¢	$127	0xf13eea…
07-18 05:13:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x36e5d3…
07-08 02:32:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	174	99¢	$173	0x3e6d1c…
07-07 16:10:26	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0x48073f…
07-01 01:33:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x022304…
06-28 13:15:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,030	98¢	$1,006	0x5ff983…
06-26 08:08:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	645	100¢	$644	0xe07b54…
06-24 23:56:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0xdeb810…
06-24 09:09:16	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x6b3b72…
06-24 09:03:46	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x6a6d99…
06-24 08:58:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x8fb640…
06-24 08:53:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xae1bd2…
06-24 08:52:16	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbef59c…
06-23 01:44:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	645	100¢	$642	0x098bf5…
06-18 02:18:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x8b06a7…
06-18 02:17:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	380	99¢	$375	0x96e725…
06-18 02:17:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x4f352c…
06-18 01:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	334	99¢	$332	0x5609dc…
06-17 16:49:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	333	100¢	$332	0xe422d9…
06-13 11:52:21	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xe8ad90…
06-13 11:51:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	651	98¢	$638	0x681e00…
06-12 18:07:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xbe91b2…
06-11 14:53:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x24b035…
06-10 06:47:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	405	100¢	$404	0x5dbc3f…
06-10 06:47:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x1b819e…
06-07 14:21:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x236949…
06-07 04:14:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x66845e…
06-03 01:21:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x628f4f…
05-31 07:08:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	444	98¢	$436	0x52e1a4…
05-30 02:45:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	292	99¢	$290	0x03dcde…
05-29 14:29:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x7149e6…
05-29 02:23:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,170	99¢	$1,154	0xc93722…
05-26 04:42:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,156	100¢	$1,154	0x31c78b…
05-25 12:16:03	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,156	100¢	$1,153	0x7ebb68…
05-23 05:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	866	100¢	$865	0xc03e67…
05-21 12:35:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xecb954…
05-21 12:35:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x0ce283…
05-21 12:35:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x9d0da6…
05-21 12:35:31	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x4ea0ba…
05-21 12:35:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x8369fd…
05-21 12:35:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x56c84d…
05-06 14:07:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,150	0x63e47c…
05-06 14:06:34	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0xc610cb…
04-28 11:00:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	976	100¢	$975	0x350c60…
04-27 14:32:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	977	100¢	$975	0x6a74d7…
04-22 14:40:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	978	98¢	$958	0x662e60…
04-21 02:03:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0xf5d684…
04-21 02:03:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xef8484…
04-21 02:03:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x4181a8…
04-21 02:02:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0xc9a722…
04-21 02:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xcc02ac…
04-21 02:02:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9bcb86…
04-21 02:02:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x08d20f…
04-21 02:01:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x71ff78…
04-21 02:01:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x01a88f…
04-21 02:01:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	148	98¢	$145	0x44939a…
04-21 01:57:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x3f3f42…
04-21 01:56:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x53d867…
04-21 01:56:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xc0e213…
04-21 01:35:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0x9f477c…
04-21 01:33:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0x0e48f2…
04-21 01:16:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x5e073b…
04-21 01:16:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x26bfda…
04-21 01:13:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x7ca9a1…
04-21 01:01:02	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	176	98¢	$172	0xd9bfea…
04-21 01:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xc88ce1…
04-21 00:46:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf4f5b0…
04-20 22:29:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0cf300…
04-20 22:29:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4d54e1…
04-20 21:30:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe1809c…
04-20 21:24:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe3b3d9…
04-20 19:09:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21c537…
04-20 18:58:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2656ef…
04-20 18:52:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x5f3812…
04-20 07:06:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x41a32e…
04-03 15:59:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$187	0xdb15a3…
04-03 15:59:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	962	98¢	$943	0x7518cf…
03-31 15:28:19	googl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xe87672…
03-31 15:11:07	googl above 340 on march 31 2026	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xf31187…
03-31 10:07:01	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbc0612…
03-31 10:05:45	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x69b0e3…
03-31 10:04:59	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x46d8f6…
03-30 16:47:19	will nvda reach 280 in march	No	SELL	670	100¢	$669	0xf06d71…
03-28 06:48:51	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5f7efd…
03-28 02:02:29	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd252e8…
03-27 13:29:09	will nvda reach 280 in march	No	BUY	670	100¢	$668	0x7a2096…
03-27 13:28:31	googl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	81	99¢	$81	0xbb1536…
03-27 13:28:23	googl above 340 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	213	99¢	$212	0x5cd642…
03-26 12:59:03	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x0d0c93…
03-26 12:49:41	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc072e0…
03-25 21:26:17	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	No	SELL	563	100¢	$562	0x0b765f…