Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.8%

Resolved

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$6.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-30 07:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

53% 0% -$14

Other

37% 0% -$21

Crypto

7% 56% -$14

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$782	535	535	+0	Yes	-$10	09-19 02:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	11	$623	603	603	+0	open	—	10-14 23:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$429	335	335	+0	No	-$7	09-16 11:22
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	4	$410	406	406	+0	open	—	09-30 20:44
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	5	$376	251	251	+0	open	—	10-24 12:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	2	$304	201	201	+0	open	—	10-15 20:45
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$304	201	201	+0	open	—	10-11 17:25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$285	205	205	+0	open	—	09-24 12:29
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$273	201	201	+0	open	—	10-22 09:19
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	3	$228	201	201	+0	open	—	10-30 07:22
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	2	$183	201	201	+0	open	—	10-05 11:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$168	330	330	+0	open	—	09-14 15:17
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	4	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	10-10 18:56
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	2	$151	201	201	+0	open	—	10-02 07:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$121	205	205	+0	open	—	09-22 07:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	2	$93	80	80	+0	No	-$5	09-25 18:09
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	2	$90	100	100	+0	Yes	-$14	10-04 04:35
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 15:14
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	2	$73	50	50	+0	open	—	10-28 04:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	09-29 01:51
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	3	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	10-27 23:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	10-27 13:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 12:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	2	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	09-20 22:15
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$38	80	80	+0	open	—	10-02 20:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	4	$33	40	40	+0	open	—	09-26 00:39
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	2	$31	50	50	+0	open	—	10-03 05:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	09-16 04:21
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	2	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-01 12:54
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	09-21 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:22:37	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	116	56¢	$65	0xb24f9d…
10-28 04:51:50	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x764040…
10-28 03:03:15	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x812ded…
10-27 23:52:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0x61ba4c…
10-27 22:15:48	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0xf97fc1…
10-27 19:29:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xb17ecc…
10-27 13:25:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x41ffc8…
10-27 09:06:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x3db514…
10-26 23:26:45	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	85	57¢	$49	0x432031…
10-26 16:22:29	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	201	57¢	$115	0x42da68…
10-24 12:18:45	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	75¢	$38	0xdcfe60…
10-24 12:18:32	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0xbf3170…
10-24 02:12:05	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	75¢	$151	0xf708cd…
10-22 09:19:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	65¢	$131	0xbb12c9…
10-21 15:24:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	71¢	$143	0x9193de…
10-19 20:47:50	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x364b0e…
10-19 10:25:41	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x78c114…
10-15 20:45:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	201	74¢	$149	0xdd1d98…
10-15 19:09:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	201	77¢	$155	0xa030f2…
10-14 23:07:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	201	26¢	$52	0x053c27…
10-14 21:30:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	201	28¢	$56	0x2c6dfb…
10-11 17:25:16	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	201	75¢	$151	0x8b2acc…
10-11 16:32:15	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	201	76¢	$153	0x4b06a5…
10-11 14:06:58	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xd023db…
10-11 13:34:27	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x2c1ca9…
10-10 18:56:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x913775…
10-10 18:03:21	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x224599…
10-05 11:30:55	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	45¢	$90	0x43d420…
10-05 10:37:53	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	46¢	$92	0x1a8566…
10-04 22:49:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	201	62¢	$125	0x5f6031…
10-04 22:48:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	201	62¢	$125	0x79e548…
10-04 04:35:20	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x05727a…
10-04 03:42:17	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xab567a…
10-03 05:44:27	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x9589d9…
10-03 04:51:23	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x41da9f…
10-02 20:10:41	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	80	22¢	$18	0x699d28…
10-02 19:17:30	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x63d556…
10-02 07:30:03	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	SELL	201	36¢	$72	0x1e21b5…
10-02 04:14:59	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	201	39¢	$78	0xbc6cb4…
10-01 17:33:38	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x632221…
10-01 12:54:47	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x3d11ef…
10-01 12:46:33	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe6fecf…
10-01 09:05:38	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x256442…
10-01 08:55:29	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x49b7fa…
10-01 08:06:21	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x68f7bf…
09-30 20:44:20	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	201	55¢	$111	0x056a88…
09-30 20:44:00	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xce3eb7…
09-30 17:48:03	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	201	59¢	$119	0xda6b66…
09-30 17:26:08	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x51c261…
09-29 19:45:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0x8fd168…
09-29 19:42:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x266d63…
09-29 19:39:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x85ac4a…
09-29 19:39:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xc55e20…
09-29 19:38:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x932a0b…
09-29 19:37:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x54a2eb…
09-29 19:35:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	201	66¢	$133	0x67ac39…
09-29 01:51:20	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x528c80…
09-29 00:00:17	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x95f2d8…
09-28 06:32:11	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x523e9a…
09-28 06:32:03	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd3d246…
09-26 12:14:50	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	SELL	205	43¢	$88	0x8c1111…
09-26 12:04:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	205	45¢	$92	0x0dee6d…
09-26 00:39:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x0c6ebc…
09-26 00:29:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xe9ee80…
09-25 18:09:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	80	55¢	$44	0x8fb9b5…
09-25 18:08:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0x42d579…
09-24 23:13:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x8da803…
09-24 22:23:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x842834…
09-24 12:29:27	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	205	69¢	$141	0x3dc826…
09-24 11:47:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	205	70¢	$144	0x42d8c6…
09-23 15:14:20	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$37	0x796ec7…
09-23 15:14:11	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x90f1be…
09-23 12:59:01	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xdff804…
09-23 12:58:49	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xaa651c…
09-23 11:39:58	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xae9a42…
09-23 11:38:05	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6b8389…
09-22 07:56:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	205	29¢	$59	0x7dc9db…
09-22 07:56:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	205	30¢	$62	0xa82ca2…
09-21 19:54:15	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x0378a3…
09-21 19:53:54	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1063f9…
09-21 09:20:06	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x9b53d7…
09-21 09:19:57	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xe164e2…
09-20 22:15:22	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xf6feb5…
09-20 21:40:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xebbec4…
09-19 02:56:22	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	205	74¢	$152	0xc474b1…
09-19 02:46:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	205	74¢	$152	0x3920eb…
09-16 16:57:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc1a704…
09-16 16:57:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x734125…
09-16 11:22:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	335	63¢	$211	0x6dca10…
09-16 11:22:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	335	65¢	$218	0xc61a0c…
09-16 04:21:40	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x440a52…
09-16 04:21:34	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbd418d…
09-15 14:42:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	330	71¢	$235	0x202fcc…
09-15 14:42:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	330	74¢	$244	0x5ffa80…
09-14 15:17:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	25¢	$82	0x85144d…
09-14 15:17:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	330	26¢	$86	0x0f15b5…
08-27 08:12:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x622820…
08-27 08:09:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaf9715…
08-27 08:09:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x611130…
08-27 08:09:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x21d059…