Dizzy-Retina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$62

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-23 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

93% 38% +$216

Other

4% 0% -$191

Sports

2% 100% +$36

Crypto

1% 0% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+75	$30	45¢	$34	+$4	10-21 15:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+98	$40	18¢	$17	-$23	10-23 18:23
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	+178	$39	6¢	$11	-$28	06-26 16:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.2K	897	897	+0	No	+$58	05-14 16:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$748	766	602	+164	Yes	-$92	06-08 00:02
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$616	354	354	+0	Yes	+$89	03-23 20:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$507	362	362	+0	No	+$7	05-07 19:21
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$491	294	294	+0	No	+$91	07-19 19:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$479	345	345	+0	No	+$79	04-30 16:12
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$458	385	385	+0	No	+$158	06-08 00:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$411	364	364	+0	No	+$11	05-03 17:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$370	221	221	+0	No	+$70	06-01 06:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	2	$193	210	210	+0	No	-$7	05-23 13:56
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$156	96	96	+0	Yes	+$36	07-19 22:09
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$150	386	0	+386	Yes	-$150	05-25 20:56
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	1	$150	632	0	+632	No	-$150	05-04 08:52
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$125	155	155	+0	No	-$55	03-06 19:51
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	1	$100	434	0	+434	Yes	+$334	04-04 12:38
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	1	$83	238	0	+238	No	-$83	04-04 18:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$80	125	125	+0	No	$0	05-23 13:56
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$78	872	872	+0	Yes	-$22	05-09 11:29
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$70	4,430	0	+4,430	No	-$70	03-02 17:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$62	802	802	+0	No	-$8	06-14 13:55
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	2	$61	235	235	+0	No	-$19	03-14 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$53	86	0	+86	Up	-$53	04-26 02:02
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$47	244	0	+244	No	-$47	06-14 13:57
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$44	88	88	+0	No	-$16	03-06 19:52
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	1	$40	98	0	+98	open	—	10-23 18:23
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	1	$39	178	0	+178	open	—	06-26 16:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	1	$30	75	0	+75	open	—	10-21 15:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$30	300	0	+300	No	-$30	07-19 19:23
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	1	$28	78	0	+78	Yes	-$28	05-16 11:40
us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	1	$20	809	0	+809	No	-$20	06-17 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 18:23:38	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xa704af…
10-21 15:38:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xcee0a9…
09-09 15:41:52	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf5cd26…
07-23 17:33:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	714	2¢	$15	0x05f77a…
07-19 22:09:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x885c5d…
07-19 19:23:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x6dfb6a…
07-19 19:21:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	62¢	$60	0x4e6da9…
07-19 19:17:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	294	99¢	$291	0xecf6cf…
06-26 16:52:46	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	178	22¢	$39	0x9a1f1d…
06-17 20:17:17	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xfc2302…
06-17 20:14:07	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	Yes	BUY	377	3¢	$10	0x179ae5…
06-17 20:13:17	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0x53e543…
06-17 20:12:34	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	Yes	BUY	809	2¢	$20	0xcc43a2…
06-14 13:57:18	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0xefe36a…
06-14 13:55:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	802	3¢	$27	0x8bea5b…
06-10 20:55:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	802	4¢	$35	0xfcf38b…
06-08 21:04:48	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x33f559…
06-08 00:02:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xd095b3…
06-08 00:01:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	385	80¢	$308	0xabcaf1…
06-07 23:41:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	207	60¢	$124	0xf1ba79…
06-07 19:36:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	385	39¢	$150	0xb02136…
06-01 13:32:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	207	58¢	$120	0xa2e3b7…
06-01 06:04:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$220	0x25dfda…
05-25 20:56:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	386	39¢	$150	0xd45482…
05-24 09:54:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	221	68¢	$150	0xf829be…
05-23 13:56:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	210	44¢	$93	0xee6964…
05-23 13:56:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	125	32¢	$40	0x06756b…
05-23 11:37:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0x069c33…
05-23 11:37:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x91ac0a…
05-18 19:09:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	394	52¢	$204	0x58ab0a…
05-16 11:40:45	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	78	35¢	$28	0xd95a52…
05-14 16:34:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	73¢	$182	0xd88951…
05-14 08:47:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	394	51¢	$200	0x2317f5…
05-09 11:29:58	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	872	3¢	$28	0xfaf546…
05-08 07:13:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x5a0dd0…
05-07 19:21:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	362	71¢	$257	0xc99722…
05-07 09:14:35	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	872	6¢	$50	0x3b50c6…
05-06 09:11:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	362	69¢	$250	0x080cee…
05-06 06:08:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	308	61¢	$188	0x3b8286…
05-04 08:52:06	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	632	24¢	$150	0x1e66cb…
05-04 08:08:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0xfc3104…
05-03 17:00:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	339	70¢	$237	0xbfb573…
05-03 17:00:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	364	58¢	$211	0x853d8c…
05-02 17:43:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xf3cc7e…
04-30 18:23:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x4a9896…
04-30 16:12:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	345	81¢	$279	0x1fa3c6…
04-28 13:50:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xb74744…
04-26 02:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	86	61¢	$53	0x367558…
04-15 14:01:10	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	615	1¢	$8	0x54aa8c…
04-04 18:02:21	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	238	35¢	$83	0x41ebd1…
04-04 12:38:03	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	434	23¢	$100	0x622323…
03-24 11:09:19	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x8a4504…
03-23 20:47:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	354	100¢	$353	0xfdc73d…
03-14 01:46:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	251	75¢	$188	0xc4e4d0…
03-14 01:34:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xd7f691…
03-14 01:34:21	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	235	9¢	$21	0xb98149…
03-11 19:08:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	76	72¢	$54	0x03290d…
03-11 18:56:13	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	518	1¢	$7	0xa7acf7…
03-08 16:29:13	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	518	2¢	$10	0x5b11ac…
03-06 19:53:49	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x49e0de…
03-06 19:52:37	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	88	16¢	$14	0xc164af…
03-06 19:51:47	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	155	23¢	$35	0x53d747…
03-05 00:38:27	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x07f854…
03-03 16:26:11	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	155	58¢	$90	0x82dc76…
03-02 17:06:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,829	2¢	$30	0xf386c5…
03-02 14:07:31	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x729752…
03-02 13:52:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,975	2¢	$30	0x72bf4c…