Shiny-Maple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$587

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,805

lifetime

Volume

$65.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-13 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 40% $-587

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 1750 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774032300	247	$2.8K	16,114	13,159	+2,955	open	—	03-20 18:49
btc updown 5m 1774033800	6	$1.6K	4,532	3,104	+1,428	open	—	03-20 19:14
btc updown 5m 1774400100	4	$1.1K	833	826	+7	open	—	03-25 01:00
btc updown 5m 1774055400	5	$917	605	601	+4	open	—	03-21 01:15
btc updown 5m 1774031100	5	$879	1,189	783	+407	open	—	03-20 18:29
btc updown 5m 1774030500	4	$875	564	559	+5	open	—	03-20 18:20
btc updown 5m 1774030200	6	$859	782	772	+10	open	—	03-20 18:15
btc updown 5m 1774224300	7	$838	1,380	445	+935	open	—	03-23 00:10
btc updown 5m 1774033200	4	$802	3,790	300	+3,490	open	—	03-20 19:03
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	16	$743	13,410	3,779	+9,631	open	—	03-30 21:55
btc updown 5m 1774031700	6	$732	1,587	1,580	+7	open	—	03-20 18:39
btc updown 5m 1774220400	7	$712	646	642	+5	open	—	03-22 23:04
btc updown 5m 1774032900	4	$700	4,564	0	+4,564	open	—	03-20 18:58
btc updown 5m 1774031400	4	$604	995	650	+345	open	—	03-20 18:34
btc updown 5m 1774399500	5	$591	499	495	+3	open	—	03-25 00:50
btc updown 5m 1774056300	5	$563	850	845	+5	open	—	03-21 01:30
btc updown 5m 1774034700	2	$552	1,520	0	+1,520	open	—	03-20 19:27
btc updown 5m 1774035300	6	$547	1,035	907	+128	open	—	03-20 19:40
btc updown 5m 1774032000	7	$524	6,630	636	+5,994	open	—	03-20 18:44
btc updown 5m 1774098000	5	$523	413	411	+3	open	—	03-21 13:04
btc updown 5m 1774098600	2	$510	284	282	+2	open	—	03-21 13:15
btc updown 5m 1774659300	2	$498	623	616	+7	open	—	03-28 00:57
btc updown 5m 1774227000	7	$495	484	352	+131	open	—	03-23 00:54
btc updown 5m 1774032600	38	$482	5,661	1,009	+4,652	open	—	03-20 18:54
btc updown 5m 1774226700	4	$471	321	318	+3	open	—	03-23 00:50
btc updown 5m 1774057500	7	$465	339	337	+3	open	—	03-21 01:50
btc updown 5m 1774400700	3	$459	436	435	+1	open	—	03-25 01:10
btc updown 5m 1774220100	5	$458	270	254	+15	open	—	03-22 23:00
btc updown 5m 1774196400	5	$441	275	273	+2	open	—	03-22 16:24
btc updown 5m 1774028100	2	$436	273	270	+2	open	—	03-20 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 00:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	476	12¢	$58	0x2580ee…
05-13 00:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xf3999a…
05-13 00:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x793213…
05-13 00:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0x042d8f…
05-13 00:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc71357…
05-13 00:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfd0b31…
05-13 00:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xf242d5…
05-13 00:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x9fa38c…
05-13 00:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x68c316…
05-13 00:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x335e45…
05-13 00:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x18dcb3…
05-13 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xa7a841…
05-13 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x7e22b3…
05-13 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x79e412…
05-13 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x51699d…
05-13 00:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x54a1a1…
05-13 00:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x65eecf…
05-13 00:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	187	8¢	$15	0x934a8a…
05-13 00:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x377b41…
05-13 00:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1e8dae…
05-13 00:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x2a9188…
05-13 00:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x8ef9a2…
05-13 00:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x4380af…
05-13 00:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	128	37¢	$47	0x4e795f…
05-13 00:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x1380e7…
05-13 00:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x3fb467…
05-13 00:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	58	38¢	$22	0x0727c6…
05-13 00:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x7e08d2…
05-13 00:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	109	7¢	$8	0x33cbef…
05-13 00:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	73	56¢	$41	0xd3a79d…
05-13 00:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	73	32¢	$23	0x5d11b2…
05-13 00:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	93	42¢	$39	0x000636…
05-13 00:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xebf52f…
05-13 00:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	297	8¢	$25	0x56dcff…
05-13 00:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	132	18¢	$23	0x7b9cd2…
05-13 00:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x8f6cc9…
05-13 00:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1b8d90…
05-13 00:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	373	61¢	$228	0x453971…
05-13 00:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	373	26¢	$96	0x83c479…
05-13 00:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x18f94f…
05-13 00:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	125	39¢	$49	0x0dc19a…
05-13 00:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xe96f69…
05-13 00:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	205	1¢	$2	0x9818ef…
05-13 00:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x1de168…
05-13 00:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8e0763…
05-13 00:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x4fc735…
05-13 00:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x147428…
05-13 00:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xb174cb…
05-13 00:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xe4fc3c…
05-13 00:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x5dbb1d…
05-13 00:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	86	38¢	$32	0x7209ab…
05-13 00:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	86	17¢	$15	0x96bb47…
05-13 00:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	38	51¢	$20	0x1e23be…
05-13 00:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe86108…
05-13 00:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	197	65¢	$128	0x10e3c0…
05-13 00:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xde2bf6…
05-13 00:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x28c801…
05-13 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xfc27e6…
05-13 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xd78825…
05-13 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x98a294…
05-13 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x4b7c04…
05-13 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x0275f6…
05-13 00:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x2a2b97…
05-13 00:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x7d0ddd…
05-13 00:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf37ef8…
05-13 00:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	48	45¢	$21	0xd106af…
05-13 00:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd953ff…
05-12 23:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x806b7f…
05-12 23:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb7ac5e…
05-12 23:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x8937b5…
05-12 23:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5c23cc…
05-12 23:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x956093…
05-12 23:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0f5ac8…
05-12 23:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0x7851be…
05-12 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5134cf…
05-12 23:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	95	57¢	$54	0xe4e555…
05-12 23:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x5dffdc…
05-12 23:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd88a11…
05-12 23:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x328146…
05-12 23:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	174	9¢	$15	0x3d2090…
05-12 23:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe0883c…
05-12 23:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4bcbfe…
05-12 23:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x275ac0…
05-12 23:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	492	9¢	$45	0x8e4494…
05-12 23:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	313	3¢	$10	0x935fc3…
05-12 23:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x4f7fd3…
05-12 23:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1b80e5…
05-12 18:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x14e651…
05-12 18:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,212	8¢	$100	0xeaf75a…
05-12 18:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	169	18¢	$30	0xe69783…
05-12 18:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xa2e0c3…
05-12 18:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x02507b…
05-12 18:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	91	37¢	$33	0x34de2d…
05-12 18:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xe5a28f…
05-12 18:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	563	31¢	$176	0x06e216…
05-12 18:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	353	7¢	$23	0xedc997…
05-12 18:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	211	20¢	$42	0x62a2c5…
05-12 18:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x646e70…
05-12 18:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0x696102…
05-12 18:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	124	42¢	$53	0x81253e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	738	$279.0K	27,362	05-13 00:52
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	694	$719.2K	175,576	05-13 00:58
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	693	$105.3K	12,981	05-13 00:59
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	692	$1.40K	3,573	05-13 00:59
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	674	$6.47K	1,148	04-29 23:14
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	672	$3.82M	465,275	05-13 00:59
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	659	$35.0K	9,188	05-13 00:59
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	640	$29.2K	5,254	05-13 00:49